There is a narrative out there that we shouldn’t care about higher emissions because because plants love CO2.
Well, firstly, we’re not plants.
Secondly, the reason we should care about more CO2 in the Earth’s atmosphere is because it’ll be bad for modern human civilization 🧵
Higher CO2 levels trap heat and push global temperatures higher at a rate societies struggle to handle.
Historically, CO2 has varied, like 1,000 to 2,000 ppm in the Eocene 50 million years ago, with temps ten to fifteen degrees Celsius above today's.
That made Earth ice-free, with seas one hundred meters higher. There were no humans back then.
In the Pliocene, 3 to 5 million years ago, CO2 was closer to today's 420 ppm, with temps two to three degrees warmer, still flooding coasts. Still no humans.
Humans evolved when CO2 was 200 to 280 ppm, with stable climates ideal for agriculture and settlement.
Is there a "right" temperature for Earth? Not really, Earth doesn’t care. But we do, because modern civilization relies on stability!
Even a two-degree rise could shift crop zones, intensify storms, and drive mass migration.
If Iran didn't have a nuclear electricity program, it might have gotten the bombs already.
Let me explain 🧵
To build a civilian nuclear electricity program, a country must work with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and sign a safeguards agreement.
Without it, they can’t buy the specialized technology needed, like centrifuges or reactors.
It's not like you can buy this stuff on Amazon or EBay, and the companies that sell it will only do so if the country has signed the agreement.
The safeguards agreement allows the IAEA to monitor nuclear facilities closely, ensuring no shady activities take place.
This makes it much harder to divert materials from a civilian program to a secret weapons project.
Starting with the juiciest EO of them all: Reforming the NRC!
If you’ve been in pro-tech spaces on X, you’ve heard that the Nuclear Regulatory Commission is to blame for nuclear’s abysmal performance in America in the past 30+ years.
“Since 1978, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) has authorized only five new reactors, and of these, only two have been built,” reads the EO.
Ignore the fact that the NRC has actually licensed 14 new reactors since 1978, though only 4 began construction and a measly 2 finished.
The truth is that the aftermath of the oil shock in the 1970’s had a lot to do with reactor’s orders disappearing:
- Interest rates were super high.
- Load growth slowed down a lot.
- Productivity at construction sites went down (partly because after Three Mile Island regulations were changing in real time.)
To learn more about this, pre-order my book Rad Future. Yes, this is a shameless book plug.
I don’t have any hot takes on the immigration controversy, but felt inspired to share my story.
Some of my most vivid childhood memories in Brazil are of watching American movies after getting home from school.
They were light movies like Bethoven, Paulie or Babe.
In hindsight there were a lot of talking animals.
I loved the United States of America even then, before my developing brain could understand why.
Life simply appeared to be a lot better in America and everyone seemed happier.
I mean… people had air conditioning, laundry machines, dishwashers and TALKING PETS, how could they not be happier?!
For years I dreamt of moving to the US, as a deep part of my soul always knew it was my true home.
The opportunity finally presented itself when I was 18 years old and a modeling agency based in Miami invited me to spend a couple of months working there.
two years ago i called big pro-nuclear organizations to ask what they were doing to save diablo canyon. the responses were the same: “don’t waste your time, it’s a done deal.”
guess i’m a terrible listener, because i kept digging…
california legislature will decide on the future of diablo canyon. it’s obvious that keeping it open is the right thing to do to keep the lights on, reduce emissions and ensure california remains a climate leader. #SB846
one objection to keeping it open was what people called a “solar tax”. the issue was fully cleared yesterday and the rooftop solar industry has removed its opposition to it. win win 🏆
BUT WHAT ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKES?
don’t listen to me, listen to this expert of 50 (!) years in earthquake engineering and earthquake risk management: