I went to Olin College, a tiny engineering school outside Boston.
Olin was once the top engineering college in America, now its in free fall. The actions of the board and administration are unacceptable; Olin was a powerhouse, and it still can be.
Here's what's really going on
Olin was founded in 1997, fueled by a $460 million gift from the Olin Foundation, as an experimental hub for reimagining engineering education.
It championed hands-on, project-based learning. The approach worked, and scaled up at many top universities.
Olin decided to stay small, giving every student a full scholarship and housing, never expanding beyond a few hundred students.
Admissions selectivity soared, and the college quickly ranked among the top in the nation.
It was an incredible place.
I was fortunate to attend Olin for 2 years, which changed my life as it did for many others who have done incredible things in tech.
You may know some of them, from critical employees at OpenAI that pioneered the LLM, to the founders of many large venture backed companies
In July of this year, Olin reduced their scholarship from covering 51% of tuition to just $10,000 a year.
This is on top of a 50% cut made years ago ago in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis, when it was promised Olin would eventually cover 100% of tuition again.
Information about the exact state of spending and the endowment has become noticeably sparse over the past few years.
The annual reports detail "financial challenges," but seem almost entirely written by ChatGPT.
For such a pressing issue, why is so little care taken?
I reached out hoping to understand the decision and make a significant financial contribution to ease the strain.
My emails and calls received no replies.
News of the scholarship change has never been widely disclosed, despite all the PR that celebrates it still going out.
Weeks later, the curtain lifted on a big change:
Dr. Gilda Barabino, just the second president in the college's not-even-three-decade history, was stepping down just four years into her term.
Once again, this news was never disclosed to the public. Why?
With the scholarship gone and a president stepping down, students began to ask valid questions.
One student penned an open letter in the campus paper, requesting answers
They were threatened with disciplinary action if the letter wasn't removed in 24 hours. no answers given.
The cat was seemingly out of the bag, fearful that this news would leak more broadly they sent this to alumni, shamelessly defending their actions and demanding criticism stay behind closed doors.
Cosigned by the President and the Board Chair
Why choose to attack free speech?
Why is the board and administration so afraid of public disclosure of the truth?
Why have they routinely silenced calls for accountability and threatened students who spoke up?
Why is the removal of the scholarship and resignation of the President missing from any public news?
It's possible these questions have reasonable answers.
However, with a pattern of threatening students for exercising free speech, delaying and suppressing disclosure, and circling the wagons around a failing admin, a good outcome is increasingly hard to imagine.
Olin can be fixed.
I have had a team working on a recovery plan for months, the solution is simple -- stop the bleeding, get back to basics, and cut admin overhead.
You can return Olin to full scholarship within 10 years without outside dollars if you're smart and aggressive
Other alumni are organizing efforts as well, but, like mine, their calls are ignored. The administration prefers to fail privately rather than admit their path is unsustainable.
To save the institution, we need transparency and the resignation of those responsible.
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basically everyone underestimates how big of a role office selection plays in the outcomes of companies and their cultures.
i recently had the chance to spend 24 hours at LEGO headquarters. it is a great example of how company culture is directly downstream of physical space
LEGO is a relatively strange company for the toy industry. even at ~$10b in annualized revenue, the company has never taken a dollar of equity financing, and is still family owned and controlled since 1932
the company is based in billund denmark, a farm town of just 7000.
the company and the kristiansen family through their holding company (KIRKBI) functionally own the town of Billund from the airport (majority control), to a large majority of real estate, and hotel/tourist infrastructure.
this allows them to make remarkably long term decisions
regardless of where the ai cycle ends, it is inevitable that the number of investable assets pre-ipo is going to go from 1000s to dozens pretty quickly
most of the market has intuited this, but very few are taking it deadly seriously.
my view of what’s going on here;
I’ve written about the causes of this shift elsewhere, but the story is very simple,
even if all model progress plateaus tmrw (or already has months prior) we already have a world where the marginal cost of the inputs that make up a company are orders of magnitude cheaper
this means, counterintuitively, the cost of building anything consequential is much more expensive
things that used to be cheap as a result of good software— distribution, attention, install base— are now order of magnitude more expensive and the returns they drive much greater
if you talk to every investor up >80% this year at institutional scale they all have kind of the same view in private
ai will not lead to super intelligent utopia, it’ll plateau far before then, but it will allow everyone to wirehead themselves on fake companionship, labor, etc
the question for the entire street is how do you invest in a “global opt out” in a way where the Qataris can still run billions with you.
the answer seems to be to continuously talk about super intelligence and buy the precursors instead of the sin stocks directly
you’ve seen this kind of “motte and bailey” trade before when crypto was going to rewire the entire US financial system, and wasn’t actually just a way to loot retail for exit liquidity at scale
that isn’t to say these models don’t have huge effects on cost structure
its hard to pinpoint exactly when it happened, but sometime in the last five years our world shifted from most people being resonable, high social trust actors
to grifting, scamming, and violence being the norm and i don't think we're going back to high trust society.
whatever the cause, i'm very unsympathetic to the easy explanations like "m2 supply" "trump" "plandemic" etc. there's something different going on here that started before 2016.
i am even less sympathetic to the idea that the solution is "monasteries" or some kind of "exit"
my rough view is that we've been living in an island of false stability since that started some time during the post-war-reconstruction period (maybe 46-47?) that lead to a tremendous amount of technological/cultural progress
the cultures of tech and washington are fundamentally incompatible.
in tech the foundation of a good career are reckless sharing of favors, expecting nothing in return, endorsing young ideas and people, and public networks of influence
in washington, any of these will end you
in the fullness of time tech will end up having dramatically less influence on american politics than finance or any other industry that was once a similar size.
we are used to infinite, positive sum games. tech came in like a conquering army, and will be run out by midterms
it'll be a record year for lobbying firm profits, certainly a record year for _state house_ lobbyists as tech learns their ABCs of government, and you should expect a lot of consolidation and retirements in this space.
but the # of bills will be all time low, this too will fade
the reason you feel exhausted is because you've convinced yourself being always online is the requirement for great work. great work isnt driven by 24/7 slack messages, isn't driven by coding at the party. great work is driven by intense periods of focus, followed by leisure
this is ultimately one of the weird side effects of 1) internet companies spitting off so much cash and 2) that cash being so unattributable from the individual labor/work units of a single individual.
when the faangs professionalized, they brought in professional management
general management, the product 90s MBA programs,-- is so deeply weighted in factory floor mgmt/effficiency movement/taylorism.
this means professional management obsesses with the legible inputs (meetings, messages, responsiveness) and is allergic to the magic of technology