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roon Profile picture
@tszzl
Dec 28 • 3 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
this is funny because japan was a serious competitor to america until it underwent massive population collapse and could not backstop with immigrants. even now it relies on chinese/korean temp labor and offshoring to get anything done
it's the exact counterexample to the blood and soil excellence policy. the japanese are a highly successful culture and people and they couldn't maintain their lead in e.g. manufacturing and technology while facing population decline
the tradeoff of course is that it's lovely to visit, a cultural powerhouse, and a idyllic and unique place. but the long line of craftsmen are handing off their practice to a nonexistent new generation. shops open for a thousand years going out of business. a demoralized people

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More from @tszzl

roon Profile picture
Dec 11
people are mostly wrong about psyops and information warfare. you can bet your bottom dollar that the boomer spooks are not great at manipulating online opinion. they lost control long ago
now it’s not necessarily true that the successor (Rome Is The Mob) is any better but you must let slip your illusions of control
the most skilled person you know at social media is in command like 5% of days. much less professional mossad kgb spooks. creating a Russian botnet or whatever doesn’t matter you can only say the things that people already want to hear
Read 5 tweets
roon Profile picture
Jul 12
twitter was better than x.com
the entropy of twitter has decreased. the slop to life ratio has gone up. the gini coefficient has increased. there are fewer posts that get lots of attention and many posts that get few attention.
when you prioritize engagement on any platform, viral memes, self help slop, linkedin "insight" threads, dating content, celebrity pics, porn replies, etc takes over
Read 13 tweets
roon Profile picture
Aug 13, 2023
there's something at the core of the american ideology that's only captured in happy go lucky 80s movies, which is that the noble pursuit of fun is probably one of the most productive forces in the universe and works way better than grinding away dutifully on things you hate
adhd schizophrenic novelty seeking culture that leads to so many outlier success stories

very little of the best of mankind is accomplished in pursuit of legible incentives but just the joy of ones hands and a fundamental agency
rationalists love legible incentives because it helps them feel in control of the demystified material world. but the reality is you have no idea why elon musk loves the letter X so much and is willing to rearrange the universe into endless tiles of letter X
Read 4 tweets
roon Profile picture
Jul 3, 2023
human nature has clearly changed over time:
- people are vastly smarter thanks to better nutrition and abstract language environments
- people are less cruel and violent due to their distance from warfare
- exiting malthusian poverty removes many foundational traumas
even if it’s true that it’s the same animal under all that, what does that matter? aren’t there fundamental differences between feral children and normal ones? the life trajectory of their psychology isn’t a triviality but an essential feature
the average woman, were they to survive to adulthood and marriage, would have seen 2 of their 4 kids die. the average man was probably torturing animals to cope with the brutality of life. how can fixing that not change the mass psychology of your civilization?
Read 4 tweets
roon Profile picture
May 15, 2023
one of the least examined most dogmatically accepted things that smart people seem to universally believe is that ad tech is bad and that optimizing for engagement is bad
on the contrary ad tech has been the single greatest way to democratize the most technologically advanced platforms on the internet and optimizing for engagement has been an invaluable tool for improving global utility
it’s trivially true that overoptimizing for engagement will become goodharted and lead to bad dystopian outcomes. this is true of any metric you can pick. this is a problem with metrics not with engagement.
Read 6 tweets
roon Profile picture
Apr 29, 2023
name one interesting discovery that came out of a careful application of advanced statistical tools to re analyze old data
all i can think of really is stuff like ozempic and metformin and im not really sure about those. they are incremental at best
and an endless series of minimum wage econometrics results that are all fake
Read 4 tweets

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