Thread by @Marc_Vanguard_i

🚨 Grooming gangs

Do Pakistani immigrants have high rates of sexual offenses against children ?

🇩🇪 German police data reveals that Pakistani nationals are 4 times more likely to be implicated in these crimes than German citizens.

Thread 🧵

1⃣ First, for those who do not know me, this is the international account of Marc Vanguard.

@marc_vanguard is the #1 French-speaking account primarily focused on statistics about immigration.

👉 Follow me for more data 👈

Now, let's get into the numbers ⬇️

2⃣ I have compiled an exclusive database using German police data spanning 5 years.

Imagine: 10 million data points, covering over 1,000 types of offenses and 180+ nationalities.

This is an absolute gold mine.

All sources are provided at the end of this thread ⬇️

🇵🇰 The data reveals that 182 Pakistani citizens were charged with sexual offenses against children between 2017 and 2021.

👉 With 75,000 Pakistanis living in Germany, this results in a staggering suspect rate of 2.4‰.

Now, let’s compare this to German citizens ⬇️

🇩🇪 Among 72 million Germans, 42,000 were suspected of such offenses.

👉 This gives a suspect rate of 0.58‰.

👉 2.4‰ ÷ 0.58‰ = 4.1

👉 A Pakistani living in Germany is 4.1 times more likely to have been implicated in a sexual offense against a minor than a German ⬇️

3⃣ Some may argue that this is simply due to the overrepresentation of males among Pakistani immigrants.

Well... that does explain part of the gap.

👉 But even after accounting for gender differences, Pakistani crime rates remain alarmingly high ⬇️

There are ~50,000 Pakistani men in Germany.

🇵🇰 If we assume that 100% of the suspects are men, this results in an adjusted crime rate of 3.5‰ ⬇️

🇩🇪 Performing the same calculation for Germans gives a suspect rate of 1.2‰.

👉 The adjusted rate for Pakistani men is still about 3 times higher than that of Germans ⬇️

Let me repeat.

🔴 Even after accounting for the gender gap, Pakistani immigrants are still 3 times more likely to be implicated in such offenses than Germans 🔴

And Germany is not an exception ⬇️

⚠️ Of course, the statistics mentioned here are not exclusively related to the modus operandi of the "grooming gangs" in the UK.

However, these overrepresentations resonate with the atrocities committed in Telford or Roterham⬇️

4⃣ Now, we’re entering a section where I didn’t have time to translate all the work published on my French account @marc_vanguard.

I’ll leave you with some charts in French (apologies!) and a key takeaway that I’m sure you won’t forget ⬇️

It seems that immigrants from the same countries tend to follow similar crime patterns in their host countries—regardless of the host nation.

Here’s a striking case study: robberies vs. rape, comparing North Africans to Afghans/Pakistanis ⬇️

https://x.com/marc_vanguard/status/1741483595431121369

🥷 Robberies (and similarly for thefts):
- North Africans exhibit a record-breaking crime rate
- Afghans/Pakistanis show a comparatively lower rate

🔞 Rapes:
- Afghans/Pakistanis exhibit a record-breaking crime rate
- North Africans show a comparatively lower rate

⬇️

And I keep observing the same pattern, over and over, whether I’m analyzing German, Italian, or French crime data.

⬇️

5⃣ As promised, here are the sources for the data used in this thread.

But instead of just dropping links, I’ve created a tutorial to help you find:

👉 Figures from German police records ⬇️

👉 Figures from the German census⬇️

🔴 If you’re interested in data on immigration and crime, you’re in the right place at the right time.

👉 I’ll be publishing much more content on this English and German-speaking account in the coming weeks!

➡️ If you found this thread interesting, feel free to like and share it—that’s what it’s here for.
Here’s the first post of the thread for reference 👇

https://x.com/Marc_Vanguard_i/status/1875680234663768222