Thread by @beatsinbrief

The recent "WARMING OF TIES" between Pakistan and Bangladesh is raising concerns in India. 🇮🇳

Once a reliable friend, now shaking hands with India’s arch-rival Pakistan isn’t sitting well with Delhi.

Here’s how much of a “THREAT” this is for India in the future: (Thread🧵)

1/n With the recent ouster of Sheikh Hasina's govt. in Bangladesh came the end of 15 year of her rule.

Under her, India enjoyed very good and stable relations with Bangladesh with cooperation from both sides and mutual understanding too.

But this is all coming to an end as -

2/n The interim Yunus govt. of Bangladesh has some other designs for their country. Under the new interim govt. relations b/w Pakistan and Bangladesh are warming up and getting stable day by day.

Their increasing closeness is making New Delhi uncomfortable. A nexus which India-

3/n doesn't wanna deal with. Recently, Pakistan's PM Sharif & Yunus held talks on the sidelines of D-8 in Cairo, Egypt.

Where talks regarding boosting trade and increasing co-operation in various fields was discussed. In last 15 years, under Sheikh Hasina's rule, things were -

4/n quite the opposite. During Hasina's rule, Pakistan never enjoyed such warm relations with Bangladesh. And that was in India's interest.

As things are changing now with - increasing anti India sentiments in Bangladesh and anti India approach of Yunus govt. has complicated-

5/n the relations even further. Why this is so much of a concern to India?
Well, India is already dealing with Pakistan on western and China on northern border.

A hostile Bangladesh is something which India does not want. And certainly not a Pakistan-Bangladesh - China nexus.

6/n Let's dig further:

Pakistan and Bangladesh are also exploring military co-operation in future and Bangladesh's increasing hostile posture towards India is not sending right signals to New Delhi.

A Pro-Pakistan Bangladesh will also be a Pro-China one. And it is already a-

7/n concern for India -- specially IAF. As China sits on higher elevation along the border. The geography along Indo-China border favours India in many ways as mountain ranges make it difficult for the Chinese to effectively keep an eye on Indian forces in Siliguri corridor. BUT-

8/n With recent changes in government and attitude of Bangladesh towards India. There won't be surprises if tomorrow IAF finds Chinese radar stations in Bangladesh close to Siliguri corridor.

And that area is plain. Making it easier for surveillance of Indian forces there.

9/n The security ramifications will be huge for India to deal with. Things become more serious when it is highlighted that as of now - India has no response to such a dynamic threat if this type of development takes place.

Hence, India hopes for the best and counts on -

10/n it's years of goodwill with Bangladesh.

But as they say, there are no permanent friends in geopolitics. What is permanent are geopolitical interests of each country. How India handles all of this is yet to be seen. 🇮🇳

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