TheIntelFrog Profile picture
Jan 11, 2025 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Southern California wildfire thread for Saturday 11 January 2025

Updates will be posted throughout the day here.

1/
Current fire status as of 1443z.

Palisades Fire is 21,596 acres and 11% contained.
Eaton Fire is 14,117 acres and 15% contained.

More than 12,000 structures have been destroyed.

2/ Image
Resources assigned to the Palisades Fire include:

3,700+ Personnel
463 Engines
26 Helicopters

4/ Image
Resources assigned to the Eaton fire include:

2,832 Personnel
391 Engines
112 Tenders

5/ Image
Per radio traffic - N302FD as FIRE2/HELCO (Helicopter Coordinator) has just requested 2 type 1 helicopters immediately as the fire is making a run in the Mandeville area.

6/ Image
Per the National Weather Service: this evening through tomorrow evening, conditions will be favorable for very rapid fire growth and extreme fire behavior with sustained winds of up to 30mph with gusts as high as 70mph.

7/Image
Fixed wing operations are cranking up over the Palisades Fire.

N3NT as AIR ATTACK has completed their initial checks and ordered 1 lead plane. Tankers will follow soon.

8/ Image
Per radio traffic - DIVISION J is requesting law enforcement to the area of Via de La Paz and Sunset Blvd for possible looting. Suspects driving a white sedan with fire department hats in the windshield. Suspects are now out with Task Force 27. Requesting LE expedite.

9/ Image

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More from @TheIntelFrog

Feb 6
So, China detonated a nuclear bomb with a yield of "hundreds of tons" and used seismic decoupling to obscure it from the outside world?

Let's take a look at this a little deeper in a short 🧵.

1/
First, what is seismic decoupling in regards to nuclear testing?

It is the "detonation of nuclear explosions in large underground cavities so as to muffle or decouple the seismic waves".



2/ apps.dtic.mil/sti/tr/pdf/ADA…Image
How big of an explosion can seismic decoupling mask?

No more than 10 kilotons, or 10,000 tons.

For reference, the bomb dropped on Hiroshima was 15 kilotons.



3/ nationalacademies.org/read/12849/cha…Image
Read 6 tweets
Feb 1
🧵 This is what buildup looks like when it’s happening in real time

Competing surveillance near the Strait of Hormuz isn’t a headline, it’s a data point. A US Navy MQ-4C on one side and an Iranian UAV on the other.

Same water. Same time. Different altitudes.

1/
Surveillance is one of the first indicators that posture is shifting.

➡️Before forces move visibly.
➡️Before strikes are discussed.
➡️Before statements are made.

Sensors go up first to give commanders a view of the battle space.

2/
As regional tempo increases, three things usually scale together:

• Surveillance coverage
• Logistics flow
• Forward positioning

You rarely see just one without the others.

3/

Read 12 tweets
Jan 23
This storm has triggered quiet, coordinated action across several sectors.

From power and water, to telecom, fuel, retail, and shelters, systems are already shifting into emergency posture.

Let’s pull back the curtain on what’s happening behind the scenes 🧵

1/
As of 0500z, 11 states had declared states of emergency and 1 state (Texas) has issued a preemptive disaster declaration.

2/ Image
These actions are taken to trigger emergency powers that allow executive leadership to bypass certain requirements (such as competitive contracting rules) in order to swiftly and effectively manage the emergency.

3/
Read 10 tweets
Jul 19, 2025
I believe the first flight of B-61 nuclear weapons were delivered to the newly updated facility at RAF Lakenheath, UK yesterday by US Air Force C-17A Globemaster III #AE2FAC as RCH4574 following the pattern of similar nuclear swaps.

1/
On July 15th, US Air Force C-17A Globemaster III #AE2FAC as RCH4574 from the 62nd Airlift Wing arrived at Kirtland AFB, NM from McChord AFB, WA.

2/ Image
The 62nd AW is the only unit in the USAF that is certified to ferry routine nuclear weapons shipments.

3/

theaviationist.com/2025/07/17/hig…
Read 8 tweets
Jul 4, 2025
Catastrophic flooding is occurring in Central Texas this morning.

📸The Kerrville Daily Times Image
Image
3/

Texas Task Force 1 has assets in the region and are responding to assist local authorities with searches and rescues. Image
Read 48 tweets
Jun 11, 2025
Iran/CENTCOM/Middle East developments-June 2025 🧵

- VOLUNTARY evacuations of DoD dependents from various Middle East bases
- US Embassy in Iraq preparing to evacuate nonessential personnel

1/
Range map of Iran’s missile program.

2/
Read 54 tweets

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