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Jan 15 β€’ 24 tweets β€’ 7 min read β€’ Read on X
🚨 THREAD: Immigration and Crime πŸ‡©πŸ‡°

Denmark may be a small country, but it publishes the most fascinating crime statistics in Europe: convictions by origin (β‰  citizenship).

πŸ‘‰ Here’s a summary in 12 striking visuals of these figures accumulated over 10 years ⬇️Image
A quick preamble:

πŸ‘‰ The most "astonishing" visuals are 2, 3, 8, and 12

πŸ‘‰ Definitions, e.g., "Western origins," are provided at the bottom of the illustrations

πŸ‘‰ Useful links can be found at the end of the thread ⬇️
1⃣ In Denmark, offenders are categorized by origin rather than nationality.

πŸ‘‰ Immigrants and their descendants (i.e., children) account for 40% of convictions for homicides, rapes, and violent robberies, despite making up only 12% of the population ⬇️Image
2⃣ Children of β€œnon-Western” immigrants are even more involved in delinquency than the immigrants themselves.

Here are the conviction rates, revealing the failure of assimilation:
🟒 β€œNative” Danes: 2.6%
🟠 Non-Western immigrants: 5.1%
πŸ”΄ Their children: 5.9% !!
⬇️Image
3⃣ The more violent the aggression (excluding crimes), the higher the conviction rate of descendants of non-Western immigrants compared to their parents.

πŸ‘‰ Up to 2x higher for attempted homicides, with a rate FIFTEEN TIMES that of "native" Danes ⬇️Image
πŸ‘‰ The "rebellious" sentiment also increases from one generation to the next.

Descendants of non-Western immigrants have a conviction rate nearly 3 times higher than that of their parents' generation for "offenses against public authority."

⬇️
4⃣ With more detailed granularity, Danish data highlights specific origins that are particularly involved in crimes and offenses, as shown on this map: Maghreb, Near and Middle East, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Africa ⬇️Image
5⃣ Conviction rates vary significantly by origin. Taking β€œnative” Danes as the baseline (1), the following conviction rates are observed:
πŸ‘‰ Maghreb: 3
πŸ‘‰ Rest of Africa, Afghanistan/Pakistan: 2
πŸ‘‰ Western Europe: 1 (same rate as native Danes) ⬇️Image
6⃣ The gaps are even greater when it comes to physical violence⬇️Image
πŸ‘‰ The conviction rate for individuals of African origin in assaults is 5 to 7 times higher than that of "native" Danes!
But that's not all... ⬇️
7⃣ The conviction rate for individuals of Sub-Saharan African origin for rape is a staggering FOURTEEN TIMES higher than that of "native" Danes.

πŸ‘‰ Maghrebi and Afghan/Pakistani origins are also notable, with rates around 8 to 9 times higher ⬇️Image
8⃣ Frequently requested, statistics on tax fraud do exist in Denmark.

πŸ‘‰ They reveal that Maghrebi and Pakistani individuals are particularly overrepresented in this type of offense, with conviction rates 4 times higher than those of "native" Danes ⬇️Image
9⃣ The figures for "serious tax fraud" confirm the trend.

πŸ‘‰ Maghrebi and Pakistani individuals are undeniably overrepresented, with conviction rates up to 8 times higher than those of "native" Danes ⬇️ Image
πŸ”Ÿ Finally, have you ever wondered who stole your bike?

πŸ‘‰ Danish statistics provide a clue: while "native" Danes remain the majority of offenders, individuals of African and Romanian/Bulgarian origins are significantly overrepresented ⬇️Image
1⃣1⃣ What is the impact of the higher crime rate among individuals of immigrant backgrounds on overall crime and offenses?

πŸ‘‰ A simple calculation shows it accounts for no less than 20,000 convictions annually ⬇️Image
1⃣2⃣ Over the past 10 years, immigration has had a decisive impact on crime trends in Denmark:

πŸ‘‰ The conviction rate among native Danes has been declining, which should have led to a reduction in the number of convictions.

❌ Yet, this has not been the case... ⬇️
πŸ‘‰ The combined increase in the immigrant-origin population AND its conviction rate has led to a rise in the number of convictions for crimes and offenses ⬇️ Image
πŸ”Ž If you have any doubts, as always, I encourage you to go directly to the official sources listed at the bottom of each visual. The Danmarks Statistik portal is available in English, and extracting data is straightforward.
➑️ ⬇️ statistikbanken.dk/STRAFNA4Image
⚠️ Of course, crime and delinquency existed long before non-European immigration.

πŸ‘‰ Individuals of immigrant backgrounds remain a minority among the convicted, just as the convicted are a minority among those with immigrant backgrounds ⬇️
However, Danish data once again illustrates the link between immigration and insecurity.

Visual 12, highlights the extent to which immigration impacts the evolution of crime and offenses in a country, even over just 10 years ⬇️
🚨 Furthermore, it is crucial to consider that the challenges of assimilation do not concern only immigrants but also (and perhaps especially?) their descendants, as evidenced by their higher conviction rates ⬇️
These two facts should necessarily be considered in debates about the regularization of undocumented migrants in sectors facing labor shortages.

A temporary solution to a workforce issue could contribute to insecurity for decades to come.
⏰ I’ll soon be publishing more data on other countries. Stay tuned!

πŸ‘‰ In the meantime, follow my account @marc_vanguard_i to stay updated on future posts.

πŸ‘‰ And most importantly… retweets, bookmarks, likes, and positive comments are the best ways to support my work ⬇️
πŸ‘‰ Here’s the first tweet of the thread for quick sharing ⬇️

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Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
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More from @Marc_Vanguard_i

Feb 20
🚨 THREAD: Immigration and Crime in Germany πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ

πŸ‘‰ Are foreigners truly overrepresented in thefts and frauds in Germany?

An exclusive and in-depth analysis of 21 million suspects recorded by German police since 2014 πŸ§΅β¬‡οΈImage
πŸ”΄ I have compiled Germany's federal crime data covering an entire decade.

This is simply the largest European crime dataset ever analyzed on Twitter.

πŸ‘‰ This allows for the most statistically significant figures possible ⬇️ Image
There is so much to cover that I will focus solely on thefts and frauds in this third thread. If you missed the two previous threads on other types of crime, I will link it at the end 😊

πŸ‘‰ Make sure to follow @marc_vanguard_i so you don’t miss upcoming analyses!⬇️ Image
Read 16 tweets
Feb 19
🚨 THREAD: Immigration and Crime in Germany πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ

πŸ‘‰ Are foreigners truly overrepresented in rapes and other s3xua| violence in Germany?

An exclusive and in-depth analysis of 21 million suspects recorded by German police since 2014. πŸ§΅β¬‡οΈImage
πŸ”΄ I have compiled Germany's federal crime data covering an entire decade.

This is simply the largest European crime dataset ever analyzed on Twitter.

πŸ‘‰ This allows for the most statistically significant figures possible. ⬇️Image
There is so much to cover that I will focus solely on s3xua| violence in this second thread.

If you missed the previous thread on other types of violent crime, I will link it at the end. 😊

πŸ‘‰ Make sure to follow @marc_vanguard_i so you don’t miss upcoming analyses! ⬇️Image
Read 21 tweets
Feb 17
🚨 THREAD: Immigration and Crime in Germany πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ

πŸ‘‰ Are foreigners truly overrepresented in homicides and other violent crimes?

An exclusive, in-depth analysis of 21 million suspects recorded by German police since 2014.

Discover TEN YEARS of crime data πŸ§΅β¬‡οΈImage
πŸ”΄ I have compiled for you the crime data from the German Federal Police over a decade.

It is simply the largest European crime database ever analyzed on Twitter.

πŸ‘‰ This provides the most significant numbers possible ⬇️ Image
There is so much to say that I will focus solely on physical and verbal violence in this first thread.

2 more threads will follow in the coming days.

πŸ‘‰ Be sure to follow my account @marc_vanguard_i so you don't miss them⬇️ Image
Read 23 tweets
Feb 14
πŸ›‘βœ‹ The myth of Syrian medical doctors is no longer tolerable, 10 years after Germany’s mass intake of immigrants.

πŸ‘‰ In this thread, discover how a "net" gain of ~1,200 doctors has become one of the most misleading propaganda arguments in recent years. πŸ§΅β¬‡οΈ Image
1⃣ The story begins in 2015.

πŸ“Š Chancellor A. Merkel (center-right) is under pressure in the polls from the Social Democrats, who advocate for the mass intake of Syrian refugees.

πŸ‘‰ In response, Merkel decides to undercut their position ⬇️Image
πŸ‘‰ In August 2015, Chancellor Merkel suspends European asylum rules to facilitate the mass intake of immigrants into Germany.

πŸ“ˆ From 2014 to 2023, the Syrian population in Germany grows by 850,000β€”an increase of over 700% ⬇️ Image
Read 16 tweets
Feb 13
🚨 THREAD: Immigration and Sexual Violence

πŸ‘‰ Let's tackle a controversial yet crucial topic: the origins of perpetrators of sexual violence in Europe.

Unprecedented insights from official statistics across 7 European countries ⬇️ Image
In France, foreigners are significantly overrepresented among those accused of rapes, regardless of the context.

πŸ‘‰ For every 50,000 French citizens, 3 were suspected of marital rape in 2021.

πŸ‘‰ For every 50,000 foreigners, 9 were accused.

But what about other countries? ⬇️ Image
The rest of this thread reveals the figures from police and judicial data for the year 2022 from 7 countries, including France and 4 neighboring countries, representing a total of more than 300 million inhabitants ⬇️ Image
Read 24 tweets
Feb 10
🚨 THREAD: In 2015, Angela Merkel opened Germany to a massive influx of immigrants.

πŸ‘‰ Results are unsurprisingly bad: high crime rates, double-digit unemployment,…

A striking overview and key takeaways in this thread πŸ§΅β¬‡οΈ Image
πŸ”΄ Reminder of the context: In August 2015, amid the "migrant crisis," Chancellor Merkel suspended European asylum rules, allowing asylum seekers to file their applications in Germany instead of being required to do so in their country of arrival ⬇️ Image
This decision would have a lasting impact on Germany's demographics:

πŸ‘‰ There were 2.5 million more non-European foreigners in 2023 compared to 2014 (+80% in less than 10 years!) ⬇️ Image
Read 26 tweets

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