Zack Guzmán Profile picture
Jan 18 16 tweets 7 min read Read on X
Three days before the inauguration, Trump has launched a memecoin that has since risen more than 10,000%

He did so after inviting the Crypto Industry to a black tie event in DC

Here’s my theory on $TRUMP, which is almost diabolical, but totally something Trump is capable of 🧵 Image
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First, the backstory: Trump is coming into office following an intensely anti-crypto administration

Trump’s inner circle has used crypto personally to make millions in short order

He’s launched multiple NFT collections over the last few years using a company called CIC Digital Image
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The crypto industry is desperate for change. Companies donated HEAVILY to the Trump campaign

In fact, the crypto industry do rates more money to campaigns this year than basically any other industry in the US

So, fitting that an invite-only Crypto celebration might come about Image
But right when this party is raging and attended by everyone in the Trump circle, Trump launches the $TRUMP memecoin

It immediately explodes to $15 billion

From sources there, it sounds like no advance mention was made. No one was told about it

Imagine the mind F—

This ball was the invite of all invites in crypto. To be there would have you feeling like you made it — like you’re in Trump’s inner circle

Only for him to turn around and launch the fastest-ever memecoin to hit $15 B

And you didn’t know about it Image
Literally Snoop Dogg was there
Trump’s pick for Treasury Secretary
Speaker Johnson
Vivek
Don Jr.

And all these crypto industry execs. Packed in a room to kiss the ring.
And they aren’t even on the inside.

The end result: The biggest power play you’ve ever seen Image
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Trump has now shown the entire crypto world what he can do without them

All while they were together in the most exclusive room — somehow still on the outside

It shows everyone that the only inner circle that matters in crypto now is his inner circle

Think about that. Image
This is all happening while the Trumps are also building their DeFi project World Liberty

The platform is picking and choosing which cryptos will be winners and losers as we speak, and they can front-run as much as they want and absolutely print cash

I’m not saying Trump just used everyone in crypto by throwing a black tie event in DC while simultaneously launching a memecoin without them, but that’s exactly what he did

This industry is his industry now, whether they are aware of it or not

Frankly, that’s extremely sad
Crypto is at an existential moment. I understand the desire to make quick money

I understand the excitement of thinking short-term

I understand stand why Trump, a man who has grifted in every way to make money for himself would so easily win the industry

But this ain’t it Image
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We as an industry have worked too hard for too long

We’ve worked too hard to fight the narrative that everything in crypto is a scam

And I say this as someone who bought $TRUMP

But do we want to be the movement we know we can be or do we want to be Hawk Tuah girl? Image
The choice is ours, but only if we stick together

Divided, we’re likely to be plucked off (because who can resist the President when he calls?

United, we might have a shot.

Our community-owned outlet @coinage_media will be watching 👀

Join now ⬇️
@coinage_media Like and RT this thread so, you know, we don’t sell just short-term think into oblivion 😙
@coinage_media Also, I'll be putting together a full video recap for the @coinage_media YouTube channel

Subscribe if you haven't already — we're so close to 100K subscribers! 🙂
youtube.com/@coinage_media…
@coinage_media Follow me @zguz or @coinage_media and turn on the 🔔 so you don’t miss the next time a President drops a memecoin

Subscribe to our free substack (which sent the alert to 11,000 subscribers last night): coinage.substack.com/p/bitcoin-anal…
@coinage_media Alright, if you made it this far in the thread you might as well vote in this poll:

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More from @zGuz

Jan 5
NEW: Terra Founder Do Kwon is now facing a maximum penalty of 130 years in prison after being extradited to the US

He appeared in US court for the first time to face extensive fraud charges that could impact all of crypto

Here's what happens next 🧵⬇️ Image
The criminal charges detailed in the DOJ's 79-page indictment include new allegations that were not part of the SEC's civil trial

The criminal case goes into further detail as the DOJ must show Do Kwon acted with criminal intent

Prosecutors even cited my old interviews with Do: Image
The reason why this case is more interesting than the SBF/FTX case is because it more directly applies to crypto projects and founders experimenting in DeFi

We covered the difference between failure & fraud in our @coinage_media mini-doc with Do Kwon:

Read 6 tweets
Mar 25, 2024
It was surreal to be back in court for Do Kwon's trial, just a few floors from where SBF was convicted

I was the first to interview Do after Terra's collapse, and went to SBF's home right before his trial. Here's why these cases are both extremely different and eerily similar 🧵
For starters, this is a civil fraud case against Do Kwon and Terraform Labs. There is no jail time associated with this ruling (though the DOJ was lingering around the courtroom today)

At the heart of the case is exactly what we explored in our interview — Failure vs. Fraud
The SEC has built their case around the climax of our piece on Terra's collapse. As we presented it more than a year ago, this was always going to come down to:

Who knew what?
and when did they know it?

coinage.media/s1/inside-cryp…
Read 6 tweets
Mar 25, 2024
NEW: Do Kwon / Terra vs. SEC off to a hot start in Manhattan court today

We already got a jury selected along with opening statements from both the SEC and defense teams (plus’s some pretty hilarious material from Judge Rakoff)

Here’s everything from Day 1 🧵 Image
It’s my first time back at the courthouse since SBF’s trial, and this one is way less crowded

Showed up late cause I was coming straight from Newark, but still got a seat.

Most obvious difference: all suits in the courtroom. Terra and the SEC came to play for the civil trial!
Judge Rakoff laid out ground rules from the jump:

Trial expected to take 2 weeks
Only 4-word objections allowed

“The only way you can get me mad is a speedy objection. You say 3 words: ‘Objection, lack of foundation.’ Ok, maybe I’ll extend to 4 words.”
Read 11 tweets
Aug 10, 2023
People always ask me why I get so excited about Web3.

The answer is that it enables more intimate and better user experiences that have been destroyed by terrible Web2 models that misalign incentives

Let me use a simple example in this thread: Dating Apps 🧵🩷


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First off, start by liking and bookmarking this thread so you have something to come back to whenever someone else asks you why Web3 is better 😄

Alright, let's get into why the old Web2 model for tech has been resulting in terrible user experiences — starting with Hinge Image
Hinge launched in 2012. (I am not ashamed to say that I... was an early user.) But it looked very different than Hinge today

Back then, it was built on the idea of leveraging shared social networks to meet quality "friends of friends" hence the name "Hinge" Image
Read 13 tweets
Nov 16, 2022
The Winklevoss Twins' crypto platform Gemini is the latest player to get hit in the crypto collapse

But they were seen as one of *the good* crypto platforms — above board, regulated, and backed 1:1. So how did even they run into problems? A mini thread 🧵 Image
First off, as we've seen this year — centralized crypto lenders have basically been operating as unregulated banks: promising interest rates 140x-higher than traditional banks, taking in customer deposits, and loaning them out

Even Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz said that
But unlike Celsius, and BlockFi, Gemini had tried to appear safer with its operations

For one, it never launched its own risky token. It had a stablecoin, sure, but GUSD was backed 1:1 with audited cash held in a trust ✅

It also didn't offer 8% interest to its customers alone
Read 9 tweets
Sep 6, 2022
Most NFT mints optimize to sell out as quickly as possible, or make a lot of money. But if NFTs are all about "community" around a shared goal you'd think fostering the *right* community would be a higher priority

Here's one decentralized approach to put community first 🧵thread
2/ First thing first: Identify a genuine shared goal that isn’t “number go up.”

With precious few exceptions, the NFT market is currently driven by speculation. People will always want to make money. That’s never going to change.

But that creates a destructive paradox
3/ A “community” of people trying to outmaneuver and undercut each other for profit is not a community. That’s a 10,000-way Mexican standoff

When the shared goal is only financial upside, you can share the desire, but when push comes to shove, you’ll rarely all share the success
Read 23 tweets

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