Michael Dnes Profile picture
Jan 25 22 tweets 7 min read Read on X
@SamCoatesSky was expressing his astonishment yesterday on Sky News that the PM had singled out one judicial review applicant to blame for the legal challenges bedevilling infrastructure projects.

Let’s fix that 😈

Here’s a story that starts with a man shut in his cellar. Image
(I believe the reason the PM identified the man he did is because he doesn’t have any live court cases. Where someone does (and this person always does) it would risk forcing a mistrial

Not a limit on me - obviously)
Simon Norton was a genius – one of the most gifted mathematicians of the twentieth century. That came at a cost – later retold in The Genius in my Basement.

After years of brilliant work, he could be found in a cellar filled with unwashed plates, obsessing over bus timetables. Image
He loved buses. Truly, madly, deeply. His idea of a just world was one where a person could travel to every National Trust property by bus.

Which may be the most English thing ever.
He was also rich – his family owned one of London’s oldest and fanciest jewellers.

And when he died in 2019, he left his fortune to a minor transport charity he’d set up – the Foundation for Integrated Transport.

theguardian.com/education/2019…
For a man called Chris Todd, this was timely,

For several years, Chris had worked at the UK’s leading sustainable transport charity – the Campaign for Better Transport

And he thought they were melts.
Chris thought CBT should be suing the pants off of government. Especially for their big road-building plans (that’s me!)

He and the CBT parted ways; with Chris planning to set up a new activist group – Transport Action Network.
That would probably have been a pipe dream, were Simon Norton still alive. But instead, his legacy was now at the Foundation for Integrated Transport, burning a hole in their pocket.

Chris applied for a grant. They gave him £60k initially. Four grants later, it’s now over £400k. Image
(You might ask ‘how does funding a campaign to sue the government repeatedly’ square with the FIT’s stated charity goal of promoting bus networks. That’s one for the Charity Commission. Perhaps the lawyers take their fees in travel cards)
And now it was game on!

Almost as soon as the money hit TAN’s account, they were off to sue the roadbuilders.

And lost. Image
They would lose. They argued that extra carbon emissions were incompatible with net zero, and required the whole programme to be halted.

The total emissions were 0.0016% of carbon budget 5. And that was before the 2040 EV switchover was included.

(❤️our snarky judge too) Image
It’s a good thing they lost too.

You might say ‘roads are bad’! Fair enough.

But lots of government programmes raise emissions.

Had they won, the precedent would have killed the winter fuel allowance for starters. Image
The case was also thrown out as early as it could be.

A judicial review has to gain ‘standing’ in order to be heard – basically there needs to be evidence that the case has any chance of success to be worth the court’s attention.

They failed at that. Brutally. Image
But that didn’t discourage Mr Todd

Having taken us to court, he now declared that “Our English legal system is failing the public good, and puts deference before decarbonisation”

And then took DfT to court again

And again.

And again.

And again.

And again. 6 times in 4 years
Mr Todd loses every one. But that’s not the point.

First, every case has its crowd funder. That’s as much as £70k for the bank.

(Extra-juicy, because the Aarhus convention caps damages at £10k) Image
Image
Second, every case gets lovely media coverage – ‘planners bad’ when started and ‘sad defeat for plucky campaigners’ when chucked out.

You can't buy advertising this good Image
Third – Mr Todd has perfected a neat tactic.

Launch a judicial review _just before construction starts_ and demand the courts delay the project while the case is heard.

This has delayed £2-3bn worth of projects
The A428 near Cambridge – which has 90% local support

The A66 Trans-Pennine – the first upgraded link across the Pennines in fifty years, also with 90% support

Both challenges dismissed as rapidly as the courts would allow. And then that dismissal appealed as slowly as possible Image
Image
Every passing month sees teams idle and cost inflation biting harder.

Lord Banner put the price of a typical delay at £66-121m per project, but these are big ones.

I’d estimate about £200-300m of extra public costs on those two schemes. Which still get built. Image
I suspect, in Chris’ mind, that’s a quarter-billion less for other road projects – so quite the triumph.

Not bad, for one man’s dream and £60k of starter funding.

And they’re just getting started. Image
When the first challenge came, and I saw how thin it was, I told a colleague – if people misuse the law like this, one day the law will end up changing.

And the PM – a career human rights lawyer – seems to agree. Image
And, TBH, this is just.

Judicial review is a crucial protection of our civil liberties. Not a back door for people who can't win democratic support for their beliefs.

Time to put the laws back to public use, not private agendas.

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More from @MichaelDnes1

Dec 31, 2024
Is the UK’s electric vehicle target about to fall to pieces? And why might it all hinge on parking in East London?

I shouldn’t tell you – yet – because our report only goes online the new year. But, since it’s running in the papers, here’s a thread.🧵🔌🚗 Image
(Here’s the Guardian article)

theguardian.com/environment/20…
Electric vehicle sales were booming. Around 2021, you couldn’t forecast high enough. The OBR revised their forecasts up three times in two years, and were still a third short of reality.

The explanation is simple - drivers loved electric cars, and government incentives worked. Image
Read 24 tweets
Dec 23, 2024
Since the HS2 bat tunnel is back in the news (turns out it may actually kill the bats), time for one more story.

Which came first – HS2 or the bats? 🚄🦇🧵 Image
HS2 affects a particularly sensitive bat – Bechstein’s bat. The infamous £100m bat tunnel was built to save them from being hit by passing trains.

In 2005, we only knew of six colonies in the UK. None of which were near HS2.
But in 2007, the bat conservation trust went out to find more of them.

And they brought something new - the Autobat Image
Read 22 tweets
Dec 7, 2024
Does HS2 have a future?

And why might that question hinge on an unseen government document and a sugar mill in Nottinghamshire?🧵 Image
Last time I wrote about HS2, I mentioned there was a government document that had turned my sense of what to do with HS2 on its head.

Time to stop teasing. Here it is.


And this is what it says in a picture (plus my thoughts)

But you need some context. assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…Image
First things first: the last government massively pared back plans for UK high-speed rail.

What began as a ‘Y’ network linking London, Birmingham, Manchester and Leeds is now struggling to be an ‘i’ after Manchester and Leeds connections were dropped Image
Read 26 tweets
Nov 28, 2024
We have a new report out today. Because we’ve found one weird fact that unites all four constituencies that swung Reform for the first time at the election.🧵 Image
Full report here, for your entertainment

stonehavenglobal.com/moving_hearts_…
All four constituencies are ‘missing’ a road.

None of them in quite the same way. But all of them in a way that seems to summarise a piece of what it means to live in non-urban Britain these days. Image
Read 29 tweets
Nov 3, 2024
Back in July, I got into trouble for writing about road pricing.

But there was one thing so explosive I had to leave it out. Now I'm free, I should finish the story.

And, thanks to my new employer, I have the numbers🧵
(If you want the last thread, I had to take it down for … reasons. The basic content is still available here



TLDR: you can – briefly – make painless changes to motoring taxation)threadreaderapp.com/thread/1809853…
That was the pull. But there was also a push, and it’s about the tax we pay on fuel.

We tend to imagine motoring taxes as a tax on luxury. But, as a percentage of income, they fall much more heavily on the poor. Image
Read 21 tweets
Oct 31, 2024
It’s the time for Budget dissections. Now I’m free to talk, it’s my turn to have a go. What does the Budget really do for transport?🧵 Image
The big news is fuel duty. 7p/litre of rises were threatened; 0p arrived.

Despite petrol being 11p/litre cheaper than in April.

That’s £3.0bn in revenue next year foregone. And, let’s be honest, more in following years when the Chancellor does the same again.
Why this matters is because of the continuity. The Conservatives froze and cut fuel duty throughout their tenure.

But now, crucially, it’s bipartisan. Image
Read 25 tweets

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