hitesh.eth Profile picture
Feb 1 1 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Is the AI Agent Narrative Over?

AI Agent Narrative was the hottest narrative of the last month, giving easy 10x returns to everyone who decided to hop in during Oct-Nov. Coins like $VIRTUAL pulled 100x, $AIXBT went 1000x, and many other AI agent coins on Solana and Base ended up providing great gains to holders—if they didn’t roundtrip everything.

Now, roundtripping gains is a psychological problem, not a cyclic problem, which you need to handle with care on a personal level. Also, when we talk about the cyclic nature of narrative rotation, we usually see a narrative dominating each quarter, followed by a deep correction, and then going back for round two when a fresh wave of speculation emerges around it.

AI agent narratives run on innovation. People speculated on innovation, thinking they would make something groundbreaking. Many agents explored different use cases in the past few months, but most of them didn’t manage to sustain that energy for long. Many teams have already left building, but a few builders are still pushing forward, trying to catch up with the next evolution of agents.

What we have seen so far were stage 1 and stage 2 agents, and now we are progressing towards stage 3 agents—with their own intelligence layer and model training. That’s where we’re going to see a new wave of speculation, mainly around agents that help crypto with complex tasks that previously had high learning-based entry barriers.

One such example is DeFi yield farming. In a bull market, we see an abundance of different yield farming opportunities offered by various protocols across multiple chains every day—but can we really catch, process, and execute fast enough? It’s hard if you’re not deep in the game, and that’s where you need an AI agent to handle yield farming for you.

You still see people getting into meme launches and making 500x returns, but can you really learn the art and get into the trenches to perform with the best possible outcome? It’s tough—unless you have an AI agent trained to do meme trading for you.

Specialized, profit-focused AI agents will eventually take center stage in the next wave. They will revolve around DeFi—we will call them DeFAI agents. Many smart folks are building great things in this space right now, and we’re going to see some amazing and improved AI agent launches soon.

These will be trained on high-quality data with fine-tuned models, delivering attractive profits. Win rate, ROI, and PnL will be the key metrics driving the next wave of speculation around agents.

Now, the old agents that failed to evolve in this new direction will completely fall out of the attention cycle, and their tokens will be dead for good. Some of the projects where devs are grinding every day to improve the agent, make it smarter, and actively share progress with the community—those are the ones that will bounce back when the attention shifts again.Image

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with hitesh.eth

hitesh.eth Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @hmalviya9

Mar 31
$25M-$50M worth of tokens up for grabs.

You could earn a decent share of it..

but only if you yap.

Let me present a yapping framework for all of you🧵
Initia announced an airdrop today.

Around 0.25% of the supply is going to the Top 4000 Yappers from its leaderboard on @KaitoAI.

42 accounts with less than 1K followers are in the top 100 of the leaderboard, and one of the accounts in the top 10 has 200 followers.

These 100 folks might cook pretty big if Initia decides to do a weighted airdrop to Kaito Yappers.Image
Now take it as an inspiration because if these small accounts have made it, why can't you?

They figured out a way to share content that gets some sort of engagement and earn yaps for it..

but earning yaps is tough ser??
Read 17 tweets
Mar 20
Every narrative needs a story

RWA got the BlackRock story

Let's understand the potential of emerging RWA narrative 🧵
A company with $11.6T worth of assets took the lead in RWA tokenization with over $1.2B worth of tokenized US Treasury Bonds.

The US issues around $2T worth of bills every month, so even with 0.1% market share, BlackRock could tokenize $2B worth of T-bills monthly. Image
Considering BlackRock's overall network effect, this share is expected to increase, potentially reaching 1% of monthly issuance, which would equate to $20B worth of tokenized assets each month.
Read 18 tweets
Mar 13
How does your mind play with you all the time when you invest in crypto?

Let’s reflect on it so you can all understand what went wrong 🧵
Why should I buy this coin?

Just because some random dudes are shilling it on X and YT?

Should I take it as a good deal simply based on their influence?

People are commenting positively about the coin they’re mentioning too—so does that make it good?
Or should I spend a few hours understanding what this project actually does, the role of the token within it, and the fundamental value it offers to investors?

Is smart money buying these tokens, or is it just a bunch of retail traders hyping it up so we buy—only for them to dump on us once they hit their target?
Read 15 tweets
Feb 13
RWAs are projected to hit $10T by 2030—a 1000x surge.

But scaling to that level needs the right infrastructure.

Enter OndoChain—an omnichain network built to power RWAs at scale.

Here’s why it could be the next big thing 🧵
RWAs have been a booming narrative since 2023.

According to DeFiLlama, the sector has grown 11x in two years—from $756M in 2023 to $8.52B today—driven by a surge in users and RWA-protocols. Image
And the reason is clear

As BlackRock’s CEO put it: “RWA is the future of finance.”

And everyone is racing to be part of this future—one where traditional assets like commodities, cash, real estate, and treasury bills can be tokenized.
Read 17 tweets
Jan 23
What is the future of Public Blockchains?

And what are the roles of tokens in those networks?

Can these tokens manage to sustain value in the near future?

Let's talk about it today 🧵
The whole idea of Public Blockchain started with Bitcoin.

The Bitcoin Blockchain was created to facilitate p2p payments between two parties in a distributed and decentralized manner.

The currency being used to facilitate these payments is BTC. Image
BTC as an internet currency was quite popular before 2014.

A lot of people were using Bitcoin back in those days to accept cross-border payments.

It was a better alternative to PayPal because you were saving a straight 5% on payments, which PayPal used to charge in those days.
Read 23 tweets
Jan 7
DeFAI narrative is starting soon.

The total market cap of this narrative is below $1B.

Expect it to reach at least $10B in the coming months.

Learn about DeFAI while it's still early 🧵
I shared a tweet in Dec'23 that gave a hint about what's coming in DeFI x AI in the future.

Now, we're going to see the tokenization of what was once called LLM-powered web3 intents.

What you're seeing at the early stage of DeFAI projects like @griffaindotcom, Heyanon, and Neur are simply interfaces with LLM-powered web3 intents, now rebranded as abstraction layers for DeFAI.
Read 18 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(