Thread by @Marc_Vanguard_i

🚨 THREAD: In 2015, Angela Merkel opened Germany to a massive influx of immigrants.

👉 Results are unsurprisingly bad: high crime rates, double-digit unemployment,…

A striking overview and key takeaways in this thread 🧵⬇️

🔴 Reminder of the context: In August 2015, amid the "migrant crisis," Chancellor Merkel suspended European asylum rules, allowing asylum seekers to file their applications in Germany instead of being required to do so in their country of arrival ⬇️

This decision would have a lasting impact on Germany's demographics:

👉 There were 2.5 million more non-European foreigners in 2023 compared to 2014 (+80% in less than 10 years!) ⬇️

👉 Consequence: while 1 in 10 residents in Germany was a foreigner in 2014, it is now 1 in 6.

A major demographic shift in less than a decade ⬇️

These nationalities are particularly involved in crimes and offenses.

👉 For example, Afghans have a suspect rate more than 4 times higher than that of Germans.

👉 Some nationalities, however, have much lower rates (e.g., Indonesia). ⬇️

Let’s take the example of intentional assaults.

👉 Among 1,000 Germans, 4 were suspects in assault cases in 2023…

👉 ... but this rate jumps to 12 for foreigners! ⬇️

👉 The number of recorded assaults increased by +16% between 2014 and 2023.

👉 But how much of this rise is truly attributable to immigration? ⬇️

- Quick parenthesis -

🎯 I am the X account gathering all immigration statistics from government sources.

👉Follow me (@marc_vanguard_i) for more threads 👈

- Now, let’s continue ⬇️

📈 The number of foreign suspects has risen sharply—there is a clear before and after 2015.

Since 2015, an average of 40,000 more foreign suspects for assaults each year.

👉 Total since 2015: 360,000 additional foreign suspects in assault cases. ⬇️

👉 A tragic human toll, especially considering that the number of German suspects has been declining over the long term (aging population, reduced alcohol consumption, etc.). ⬇️

🟣 The same pattern applies to most offenses:

📈 More and more foreign suspects

📉 Fewer and fewer German suspects
In some cases, these trends offset each other, as seen with homicides. ⬇️

Just as the human toll of the open migration policy amounts to 360,000 additional suspects for assaults since 2015, we can estimate:

👝 60,000 for non-violent thefts

👊 11,000 for robberies

🔪 2,400 for homicides ⬇️

But another immigration policy would have been possible.

Let’s take assaults as an example:

📌 105,000 foreign suspects in 2014

📌 171,000 foreign suspects in 2023

Now, let's imagine a different scenario... ⬇️

... that instead of admitting millions of high-crime-rate immigrants, Germany had only welcomed Indonesians since 2015.

👉 A theoretical calculation shows that instead of 171,000 foreign suspects in 2023, there would have been only around 112,000. ⬇️

⚠️ Of course, all of this is just a theoretical calculation.

But it invites reflection: should the countries of origin of immigrants be selected based on the past results of their integration?

👉 In this context, Syrians and Afghans did not seem to be the best choice. ⬇️

🟣 Indeed, the social and economic integration of immigrants shows varying outcomes.

👉 While Afghans and Syrians still have unemployment rates above 30% (!!), Indonesians, for example, are at only 3%. ⬇️

🟣 Another aspect is the education level: immigrant students are more than 2 years behind in mathematics.

And we’re talking about 1 in 10 students in Germany. ⬇️

🟣 The accumulation of all these factors weighs heavily on public opinion: Germans believe Merkel's migration policy has failed.

👉 78% believe that the integration of immigrants is poor, both in the labor market and in society in general. ⬇️

👉 64% see immigration as a disadvantage for Germany, compared to only 33% in 2015, marking a historic shift. ⬇️

🗳️ Many voters are turning to the AfD, an anti-immigration party that did not even reach the 5% threshold in the 2013 elections.

📈 The AfD has gradually established itself as Germany's second-largest party, a major shift in a previously static German political landscape. ⬇️

👉 Immigration continues to reshape the German political landscape: on the left, an anti-immigration party has emerged from a split in "Die Linke", the local version of LFI.

💥 This party, BSW, has already gathered twice as many votes as Die Linke in the European elections. ⬇️

👉 Even the CDU, Angela Merkel's party, has now adopted a much firmer stance on immigration, particularly since October 7, 2023 ⬇️

https://x.com/_FriedrichMerz/status/1716060045052383650

➡️ Under pressure, Social Democratic Chancellor Olaf Scholz has taken positions that would have once placed him to the right of Angela Merkel (e.g., "border controls within the EU are currently essential"). ⬇️

📅 New elections have been scheduled for February 23, 2025.

Immigration is once again one of the major topics of debate. ⬇️

Let’s draw lessons from the case of Germany 🇩🇪.

👉 The massive reception of refugees with high crime rates for humanitarian reasons or labor shortages in "high-demand professions" must be approached with the utmost caution.

➡️ I encourage you to widely share these figures to raise awareness about the impact of the migration policy of Europe's most populated country.

Retweets, likes, and bookmarks are welcome. Here's the first tweet in the thread for reference 👇

https://x.com/Marc_Vanguard_i/status/1888990137863880834