Farzad Mostashari Profile picture
Feb 15 16 tweets 6 min read Read on X
1/ After residency at Mass General Hospital, I reported to Atlanta to meet my fellow CDC Epidemic Intelligence Service Officers.

I have never felt so intimidated by my peers

The best and the brightest, they were star clinicians, had served in disaster zones; MD/PhDs and MSF.
2/ We were placed at various centers throughout CDC, learning from the world's experts- in tuberculosis, mosquito-borne diseases, food-borne diseases, ...

and some of us were placed with state & local Health departments to be on the front lines of outbreak response
3/ In my first day on the job, I got into a city sanitation car to investigate an outbreak of bloody diarrhea at a state psychiatric facility.

My boss has served in the EIS. Her boss, the legendary head of the NYC Bureau of Communicable Disease had also.

Our commissioner too.
4/ Over the next 24 months we got intensive training in epidemiology, public health informatics, statistics.

But we also went to the bedside.

The logo of the EIS is a shoe with a hole on it

To me, the worn out shoe perfectly encapsulated the spirit of humility and service Image
5/ I investigated outbreaks of listeria that was causing deaths in cancer patients and pus-filled abscesses in stillborn children.

We found and recalled the contaminated hot dogs.

and innovated new genomic methods for identifying outbreaks faster. Image
6/ I traced an outbreak of Vibrio (a cousin of the bacteria that causes cholera) to oysters harvested in Long Island Sound that had become contaminated in 77 degree August waters and put in a stop order that broke the outbreak Image
7/ I was the officer on duty when a child was bitten by a bat that might have been rabid.

I was on call for clusters of salmonella, church and mosque potlucks, Hepatitis outbreaks among restaurant-goers, and more.

I was on vacation when birds started dying in a Bronx zoo
8/ There was also a cluster of cases of fever and encephalopathy in Queens. Many died.

We sent biopsies and blood tests to the only lab in the country that could diagnose what was going on.

West Nile Virus

The lab and the scientists proudly wore a CDC badge.

So did I Image
9/ This was the first time that virus had ever been seen in the New World, and birds-especially crows had fallen dead in piles in Queens before the human cases- they had no immunity

We developed a methodology to use statistical clustering to identify the spread of the virus. Image
10/ CDC's experts had investigated West Nile - in Romania, and other arboviral illnesses- throughout the world.

So when the outbreak came to our shores they could advise the local health department.

My fellow EIS Officers helped me go door-to-door in Queens, drawing blood Image
Image
11/ West Nile was the biggest public health response I had seen.

Until 9/11

I came out of the subway at Chambers-WTC to go to work shortly after the second plane hit.

I didn't go home til dawn broke the next day, through streets filled with white ash and the burnt stench
12/ Some of the only planes that flew on Sept 12 carried EIS Officers from around the country to NYC to help.

We were worried about a biterrorist attack, and rapidly set up a system that collected symptom data around the clock from patients coming into Emergency Departments. Image
Image
13/ That rudimentary manual system - staffed by humans- public health workers- morphed into "syndromic surveillance" that analyzed electronic ED and hospital triage data to detect illness clusters.

A system that's become a third pillar of public health surveillance today Image
14/ And then, a month later, we did have a bioterrorist attack- weapons-grade anthrax- through the mail.

I saw my first coal-black anthrax "eschar" then

And in a hospitalized baby the second

And worried that I might carry the spores home to our baby too.

But we kept working Image
Image
15/ Those were some of my memories of my years spent at the EIS, with some of the brightest and hardest working colleagues I've ever had.

Many went on to lead their divisions at CDC, to become state health officers and city epidemiologists. Led international orgs

and now?
16/ When you hear, "the CDC's Epidemic Intelligence Service class was cancelled and the officers fired" I hope this gives you a sense of what has been lost.

Not just the outbreaks that can't be investigated, the surge capacity gone, but our future public health leadership lost

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More from @Farzad_MD

Apr 30, 2024
1/ When Walmart enters any business you can expect that they will leverage their massive scale to get better economics, create value for customers- and drive out local mom and pop competitors

Thats what many assumed would happen w primary care clinics

but it didn't

why not?
2/ The first thing I have to acknowledge is to rule out "execution"

They aren't perfect (their Athena and Epic EMR travails show that) but Walmart knows how to execute, and they won't scale something until they've figured out how to make it profitable.

They couldn't
3/ To their credit, they tried a lot of permutations over the past 10 years, and strictly as an operator, you have to give them respect that they could be a force

- Third party vendor
- Walmart Health clinics
-Oak St Health
- Own clinics + telehealth

Read 16 tweets
Nov 2, 2023
1/ Final rule for Physician Fee Schedule is out.

let's see how the Medicare Shared Savings Program provisions played out compared to the proposed rule.

(tl;dr mostly as proposed- incremental improvements to the nation's most mature, and most successful value based program)
2/ risk adjustment should be updated to the new "v28" approach for performance and benchmark years.



my only complaint is that it's only applied moving forward- if it's good policy why not allow existing contracts to update?

3/ Fixing the glitch where ACO risk scores and regional risk scores weren't treated equally (ACO gets a cap, now region does too)



(again, why not have a simple single approach for all contracts instead of only applying it moving forward?)

Read 12 tweets
Sep 11, 2023
1/ What are the factors driving the mysterious slowdown in Medicare cost growth?

It's been a longstanding dinner conversation among health policy folks, and I have one idea to add to the mix that I haven't seen discussed yet.. Image
2/ There were lots of theories batted around in the article and the followup from @sangerkatz

My fav: "Talk Therapy Actually Works" (@ZekeEmanuel)

Policymakers setting expectations of cost control inhibit investments and behaviors that drive cost growth
nytimes.com/2023/09/09/ups…
We saw similar unexplained slowdown in healthcare costs during the *ultimately unsuccessful* Clinton health reform efforts.

The slowdown happened almost immediately in 1992, even though nothing had happened yet, other than campaign talk

(@jrovner can prob give history on that) Image
Read 8 tweets
Dec 24, 2022
1/ Warning!

nerdy Medicare payment deep dive

OMNIBUS EDITION

You've read the headlines ("Medicare pay cuts partially averted") but to understand what led us here--and what's to come-- we need to go deeper

Also, some cool tangents on effective/ineffective financial incentives
2/ let's walk through the weeds of

"a temporary patch on an expiring pandemic patch for the unintended consequences of a good-will effort to fix pay imbalance between primary care & specialists, made worse by a failure to predict future inflation, w a sop to value-based pay"
3/ The "failure to predict medical inflation"

remember the annual "doc fix" scramble? it was because the "sustainable growth rate" was indexed to inflation, which was near zero for years. So Congress had to constantly step in to reverse its own past efforts to control costs. 😧
Read 27 tweets
Dec 22, 2022
1/ Medical Debt- a holiday story

A few years ago, I found myself poring over a printout of ED frequent fliers with a PCP in Mississippi.

The office manager knew why they were going to the ED.

“They’re not going to show their faces here. They all owe us money.”
2/ Because of the Emergency Medical Treatment & Labor Act, the ED would see them even if they owed money

But thousands more dollars would have been added on top of the prior debts

His bills will climb. His credit score will drop. Collection agencies will start hounding him
3/ When I was in college I got dehydrated at a crew meet and an ambulance took me to the ER. A couple of liters of fluid later I was fine

But I couldn't figure out what to do when the bills started coming

For years I carried the stress and shame of being sent to debt collection
Read 17 tweets
Nov 1, 2022
1/ Let's flip through the Physician Fee Schedule Final Rule just out, w shared savings focus

Here's a little trick to get past all the pesky comments (that people spent 1000's of hours developing and submitting), and right to the meat of the matter:

CTRL-F "we are finalizing"
2/ First up: we want to increase participation!

strong evidence for providing upfront capital, especially to rural, underserved, low income ACOs (see AIM)

Good idea to expand it 👍

Lots of comments about eligibility criteria, repayment, etc etc.

"finalized as proposed"
3/ We want to increase participation!

Let's allow folks to stay in one sided risk for longer, especially lower income (no hospital) ACOs

Makes sense 👍

Lots of comments about who, how, when, etc etc

"finalized as proposed without modification"
Read 23 tweets

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