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JChoe Profile picture
@JoohnChoe
Feb 19 • 6 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
The best outcome that I can see here is some kind of European unified military command with Zelensky in its leadership.

We'll be at odds with them on several issues like Africa, China, maybe even Russia.

But the alternatives are either capitulation now or another war later.

🧵
Trump's otherwise-inexplicable comments regarding Zelensky's popularity make sense in this context. It is a lie so easily disproved as to be laughable.

Zelensky is actually substantially more popular than Trump, who has never had an approval rating higher than 50%. Image
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According to my theory, the reason why Trump is talking about Zelensky's approval rating doesn't have a whole lot to do with the actual situation as far as elections, either.

It is especially jarring considering the Napoleonic rhetoric Trump uses himself.
Image
I think the strategy behind why Trump is talking about Zelensky's approval rating and delayed (wartime) elections is this:

Zelensky is the only leader right now who could conceivably unite Europe against Russia, especially now that the U.S. is sabotaging itself because of Trump.
The "Army of Europe" idea has been raised before and shot down before several times, I don't have any illusions about that.

I'll tell you what though: The last times people raised the idea, the largest land war in Europe since WWII wasn't happening, so...
looking back at that last tweet I realize I have ended up sounding like some kind of pro-Ukraine Hank Hill so

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More from @JoohnChoe

JChoe Profile picture
Feb 15
let me get this straight

We just elected a President who put a foreign intelligence 'asset' in charge of intelligence and an abusive alcoholic in charge of defense

And they screwed up just ONE security conference - their first! - so badly that Europe is about to unite and rearm
Not as in "oh *waves hand lazily* Europe is screwed" the way that people say "the West"

As in

Team Trump screwed up Munich so bad that Zelensky got up there like nuclear Charles Martel

And all those countries you hear applauding *agreed*
Volodymyr the Hammer

A fitting epithet if this all comes to fruition

For those unaware, Charles Martel is the reason why there is a Europe today and not, like, an Eastern Caliphate

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_M…
Read 4 tweets
JChoe Profile picture
Feb 14
OK, so people overseas (Ukrainians especially) might not get this

Vice President Vance is out there today, talking about recovering American "optionality" in negotiations with Russia by saber-rattling

because SecDef Hegseth screwed up so very, very badly a few days ago

1/3 Image
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You should not evaluate this as "oh wait Vance is on our side now!" or "Vance is one of the good guys!"

Look at statements Vance has made on Ukraine, Politico has a helpful summary from July of last year

There's no shortage of them and they're all bad

politico.eu/article/jd-van…
I hate to say it but look what we're doing with the Eric Adams/DoJ matter, or for that matter where Canada and Mexico are with us

The U.S. is not in a position right now to be dictating the terms of very much

As a U.S. ally right now I'd start looking at plans for worst cases
Read 4 tweets
JChoe Profile picture
Feb 9
The NIH funding freeze is an interesting anti-disinfo problem

The question is "how do you explain the impact of (here we go) reduced NIH indirect-cost reimbursement for research" and make it more approachable than disinfo

I think the way to explain it is about patriotism

(🧵) Image
So, this is about reduced funding at the end of the day so examples of NIH research that saved lives might be apropos

This is a fairly obvious answer though I don't think anyone is gonna win a Macarthur Genius Award for realizing that Image
At a more academic level it strikes me that this goes to the heart of American competitiveness and the way that we subsidize science & medical research in this country

Howard Zinn discusses this a bit; that goes back to a relative of President Bush(es) named Vannevar Bush Image
Read 9 tweets
JChoe Profile picture
Jan 30
In 1956, a United Airlines DC-7 was involved in a midair collision with a Lockheed L-1049 Super Constellation over the Grand Canyon, killing all 128 souls aboard. This is cited as a driving impetus behind the nationalization of American air traffic control.

🧵 Image
I was completely ignorant of all this, this morning, I just looked this up; but when you read about it, you can kind of see why this led to a nationalized air traffic control service.

It starts from just asking 'why' - the 'five whys' exercise, really.
Why did the planes collide?

Because they weren't being tracked in realtime.

Why weren't they being tracked in realtime?

Because they were 'off-airways', which meant, in 1956, in uncontrolled airspace.

Why was there uncontrolled airspace through which PASSENGER PLANES flew?
Read 12 tweets
JChoe Profile picture
Jan 25
The odds that we go to some kind of incredibly stupid war with a NATO ally and partner, Denmark, over Greenland, increases from "negligible" to "non-negligible" because our country just made an abusive, vapid, Deus-Vult-tattoo-having vetbro talkshow host into our SecDef

🧵 Image
The odds of nuclear weapons use within the next four years goes up, because consultation with SecDef is supposed to be a check on the President's authorization of nuclear launch, and it is laughable to think Hegseth will serve as any kind of check to Trump
At this point, if Trump had a senior moment and said "let's nuke Mexico!" it is difficult to envision a 25th-Amendment Cabinet majority, or any kind of internal check in the Defense command chain, that would actually stop him from doing that.
Read 14 tweets
JChoe Profile picture
Jan 16
So here's the deal with Facebook's new fact check & hate speech rules.

Let me explain who I am: from January to July of 2021, starting with the insurrection - actually, because of it - I co-led a team that deplatformed extremists for Facebook. These are our numbers.

🧵 Image
Our data is the subject of an SEC whistleblower complaint filed with the help of @wbaidlaw. This is why I can talk about it.

whistlebloweraid.org/new-disclosure…
There are multiple levels of content monitoring on Facebook by multiple departments, and while I can't speak to its 'in-line' fact-checking in detail or its larger-scale policy -
Read 22 tweets

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