David Leonhardt Profile picture
Feb 24 7 tweets 2 min read Read on X
The left has lost power in the U.S., Germany, Italy and Sweden. Canada and Australia may be next. And the far right is growing across the West. But there is one European country where the left has won re-election and marginalized the far right: Denmark. Why? 🧵
First, it's worth emphasizing just how progressive Denmark's center-left party -- the Social Democratic Party -- is:
* It's expanded abortion access, both earlier in pregnancy and for teens.
* It's passed among the world's most ambitious climate laws, on agriculture...
The Danish Social Democrats have also:
* Spent more on Ukraine aid, as a share of GDP, than any other country.
* Reoriented the retirement system to be more progressive and more favorable to lower-income workers.
* Cracked down on housing speculation by private equity.
The key difference between Denmark's center-left and the center-left in the U.S. and much of Europe is that Danish progressives listened to working-class voters on immigration -- and reduced immigration levels.

nytimes.com/2025/02/24/mag…
As Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen told me, immigration is the #1 reason that the Danish left still governs even when the left is in retreat almost everywhere else.
Consider this: Around the world, there is not one clear example of a country that has accepted large numbers of newcomers in recent decades while marginalizing the far right and reducing inequality.
Immigration is now roiling politics in the U.S., Canada, Australia, South Africa and Europe. The left's recent strategy -- lecturing working-class voters and ignoring the burdens on their communities -- hasn't worked. Denmark points to an alternative. nytimes.com/2025/02/24/mag…

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More from @DLeonhardt

Dec 12, 2024
Some defenders of the Biden administration continue to argue that its policies weren’t the main reason that immigration soared – or even argue that the administration didn’t actually loosen policy.

These claims are inconsistent with the evidence. I’ll lay it out here. 🧵
Point 1: The Biden administration loosened immigration policy in many ways. It celebrated doing so. The changes weren’t a secret.

whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
Start with the Democratic Party’s 2020 platform on immigration. It talked almost exclusively about making it easier for people to enter the country – a stark change from Obama’s more moderate approach....
Read 20 tweets
Aug 30, 2024
More colleges will soon begin reporting the racial makeup of their first-year classes - the first classes since the Supreme Court banned race-based affirmative action. What should you expect? 🧵
1. M.I.T. was the first elite college to report data – and reported a sharp decline in Black and Latino students. But don’t expect the same pattern at every college. There were likely be variation…
news.mit.edu/2024/qa-underg…
... Some others colleges will probably have big declines too. Others will probably maintain similar levels of diversity as last year in at least one underrepresented category (Black, Latino or Native).
Read 21 tweets
May 19, 2024
For a country that's supposed to be so polarized that Washington is gridlocked, there sure has been a strange amount of bipartisanship legislation over the past few years. 🧵
nytimes.com/2024/05/19/bri…
The list of bipartisan legislation includes bills on:
- Semiconductors
- Infrastructure
- Covid
- Ukraine
- TikTok
- The electoral process
- The aviation system
- Gun violence
- Veterans' health
- Anti-Asian hate crimes
- The Postal Service
Trade policy fits the pattern, too. The moves to confront China's subsidies for its companies have come from both the Biden and Trump administrations.
Read 10 tweets
Jan 7, 2024
Since Covid, many colleges have dropped their SAT and ACT requirements. But now that decision is creating problems – because the tests contain real information about students’ likelihood of doing well in college.
The evidence is extensive and growing. 🧵

nytimes.com/2024/01/07/bri…
Consider this new data, from prof's at Dartmouth and Brown, based on data from elite colleges.... There’s only a modest relationship between high school grades and college grades. The relationship between test scores and college grades, though, is strong.

opportunityinsights.org/wp-content/upl…
Image
Or this data, from an academic paper published last summer… Standardized test scores are a good predictor of which students do well enough in college to be admitted later to a top grad school or get a desirable job. High school grades are much less so:
opportunityinsights.org/paper/collegea…
Image
Read 17 tweets
Oct 23, 2023
The 1965 immigration overhaul was a monumental achievement. It ended the system's discrimination against Asians, Africans, eastern and southern Europeans and disabled people. But the law's authors also made a second promise, and it’s worth revisiting.
theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
LBJ, Ted Kennedy and other champions of the 1965 law promised that it would change only *who* the U.S. admitted to this country – not *how many* people immigrated to the U.S. This promise was crucial to the selling of the bill. And it turned out to be false.
“Do we appreciably increase our population, as it were, by the passage of this bill?” Emanuel Celler, the bill’s champion in the House, said. “The answer is emphatically no.”
Read 10 tweets
Aug 22, 2023
I consider this chart to be the clearest indictment of our country’s path over the last several decades: In 1980, the U.S. had a typical life expectancy for an affluent country. Today, the U.S. has the lowest life expectancy of any affluent country: Image
I’ve spent the last several years writing a book that tries to make sense of how our country has gotten here – and what we can do to set ourselves on a different path. I hope you’ll read it.
penguinrandomhouse.com/books/217260/o…
The story that I tell is a difficult one at times. There is plenty of reason for outrage. But there is also reason for hope, for resilience, and for confidence that Americans have the power to create a better society than the one we now have. Why? We have done it before.
Read 12 tweets

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