H.A. Hazony Profile picture
Feb 24 14 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Israeli PM Netanyahu laid out his vision for southern Syria:

1) IDF will remain indefinitely across on the Hermon Mt.
2) Syrian forces won't be allowed south of Damascus.
3) IDF will ensure safety for the Druze in Syria.

Establishing a de facto autonomous Druze zone.
Thread. Image
A coalition of Druze have announced the formation of the Sweida Military Council.

The militia seeks to unite Druze forces and acquire the ability to ensure the safety of the populace in southern Syria.

The only obvious threat they could counter are Jolani's forces in Damascus. Image
The Council's statement can be found on this Kurdish Media post.

Essentially, they have thrown their lot in with the Kurdish SDF: they are willing to remain part of Syria, but they want local autonomy, and are willing to use military force to keep it.
In reference to Netanyahu, the military leader of the Druze force, Tariq al-Shoufi, "extended gratitude to all those who support the Military Council’s stance and contribute to protecting the Druze community and ensuring regional stability." (@RojavaNetwork). Image
Several armed groups in the region have released statements in support:
However, this diplomatic gambit is not without resistance. Various Druze players are interested in preventing an alliance with Israel, well documented in the attached thread:

I have written about the interests of the players in the region a few times, see bellow.

Essentially, the Druze receive protection from the Islamists in Damascus,
Israel receives a buffer zone between the homeland and the Turkish-Islamist alliance.
Israeli media reports that the IDF is offering the Druze of southern Syria employment opportunities inside the state of Israel.

Economically, life for Israeli Druze is much better than that of their Syrian cousins. This may be a tactic to encourage support for the new alliance. Image
If the Jabal al-Druze autonomous zone survives, it will cement the relationship between the Jewish and Druze nations.

Israel would become the protector of a majority of the Middle East's Druze, the fate of the two people's would be intertwined. Image
Netanyahu's strategy seeks to counter Erdogan's attempt to co-opt Syria.

The Druze and the Kurds seem to be gravitating towards Israel's orbit because they know the moment Trump pulls out of Syria, the Sunni-Turkish forces will overrun them.
Another faction joins the Druze coalition.

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More from @HAHazony

Jan 16
"The hostage deal is a mistake, undoubtedly, but one the Israeli government has to make.
While the agreement will endanger the lives of IDF soldiers, and raise the likelihood of copycat attacks in the future, the political constellation has forced Netanyahu's hand."
Thread. Image
Those were the words I wrote in Nov. 22, '23, before the previous hostage deal between Israel and Hamas was signed.

As the sentiment against the current deal is boiling to the point of hysteria, it is time to do this again.

1/14
The deal promises a release of 33 Israelis (women & children) in return for 990 terrorists.

During this time, the IDF will withdraw from population centers in Gaza, and 600 trucks of humanitarian aid will enter the strip a day.

2/14 Image
Read 16 tweets
Dec 15, 2024
Following yesterday's discussion of Israeli annexation of Druze villages, Erdogan publicly states that Syria's major cities could become Turkish provinces.

Discussed region: Purple.
Turkish occupied territories: Black.

What interests does Turkey have in this region? Image
Yesterday, Dec. 14, 2024, President of Turkey spoke before his party at Sakarya.

He indicated that the post-WWI situation in the middle east was over. Essentially, he is saying what everyone has known for years: The Sykes-Picot paradigm is a mess and needs to be junked.
Of course Erdogan DIDN'T say that he was GOING to annex parts of Syria.

The statement was hypothetical, it could easily mean that he will annex the whole country.

It could also mean that he isn't going to annex anything at all.
Read 13 tweets
Dec 13, 2024
The Druze of southern Syria have publicly declared their desire to secede from Syria and be annexed to Israel.

Based on topography this is what the annexation would look like.

The IDF has already taken over the DMZ in yellow and moved into some of the Druze towns.
Thread. Image
For a recap on who the Druze are, see my thread from earlier this year:

A video has been released of the representatives of the Druze villages gathering on the border with Israel saying:

"Where is our fate? Israel!"

"We ask to be annexed to the Israeli Golan to preserve our dignity."
Read 12 tweets
Dec 11, 2024
It's been two days since Assad fled Syria, the government collapsed, and the rebels took power.

Why then does the fighting continue?
Why is Turkey bombing northern Syria?
And what are the key Turkish interests in Syria?

Thread. Image
Turkey played a pivotal role in toppling the Assad regime, supplying HTS with armored vehicles & Toyotas.

The Rebels; "Shaheen" suicide drone is allegedly of Ukrainian design, how it found its way to Syria is still unclear, but Turkey may have played a role Image
Image
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Furthermore, Turkey exerts direct control over the Syrian National Army.

Together with their proxies, they took control of large regions in Northern Syria between 2016-2019. Image
Read 12 tweets
Dec 10, 2024
In the past two days, Israel has bombed more than 250 targets across Syria.

Simultaneously, IDF forces have moved into the Israel-Syria demilitarized zone.

Why is Israel getting involved in the Syrian war?
What are the core Israeli interests?
Thread. Image
Assad's regime was propped up by Iran and Hezbollah. Israel's war decimated these forces and kicked the legs out of Assad's defenses.

In Aleppo, the first city to fall to the rebels, Hezbollah troops had been fully withdrawn. Assad was left alone.
Israel caused Assad's collapse Image
The forces now taking power in Syria are not sympathetic to Israel.

HTS and SNA are Turkish proxies, allied with Hamas, and subscribe to a radical Jihadi worldview.

Turkey took advantage of Iran's collapse in the face of the IDF to maximize its position. Image
Image
Read 11 tweets
Nov 17, 2024
In the past year, some have declared that Christians and Nietzscheans are inherently opposed, that collaboration between the two is impossible

What exactly was Nietzsche's view of Christianity?

And is a political alliance between Nietzscheans and Christians possible? Thread. Image
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Nietzsche took Christianity very seriously. He devoted attention to it in most of his works. The faith was, to him, THE great question of our time.

Nietzscheans who fail to take Christianity seriously should be dismissed as unserious people.
1/
For Nietzsche, Christianity was the essence of Western civilization. The faith was the engine by which all progress had been made in Europe.

Christianity bound and directed human drives to accumulate and spiritualize power, thereby building civilization.
2/ Image
Read 20 tweets

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