You've been looking at financial statements all wrong.
I'll teach you how to analyse the Income Statement, Cash Flow Statement, and Balance Sheet in this thread—something no one else teaches.
Collaborated with @Analyst_Mayank
(1) Income statement:
Reveals a company’s revenues, expenses, profit and loss over a period (Financial Year or a Quarter)
Investors should analyse it systematically to assess trends and red flags if any.
(1.1) Analyze Revenue (Top Line)
Check Sales Growth: Compare revenue over multiple periods
Identify Revenue Sources: Look at core operations vs. non-operating income. Revenue from core operations is important. Non-core income could be a small part derived from income from investments, Forex gain etc.
Seasonality & Trends: Some businesses have cyclical revenue (e.g., retail spikes during festivals)
🔹 Key Metric: Revenue Growth (%) (A rising trend suggests business expansion)
(1.2) Examine Cost of Goods Sold (COGS)
Direct costs linked to producing goods/services (Raw material, Labour, electricity etc.)
High COGS means Lower gross margins, which may indicate production costs may be too high OR there are Inefficiencies in the supply chain or manufacturing process
Declining Gross Margin may be due to new inefficiencies coming in or company’s inability to pass on the rising cost of raw material and production (labour expenses, electricity expenses etc.) to the customers.
(1.3) Evaluate Operating Expenses and Operating Profit (EBIT)
Selling, General & Administrative (SG&A): Expenses related to advertising, salaries, rent, Depreciation and Amortization
If operating costs rise faster than revenue, profitability decline
Earnings Before Interest & Taxes (EBIT): Profitability measure that shows how profitable the core business is, excluding financing and tax costs
Compare EBIT across companies in the same industry
Net Profit (Net Income): Final earnings available for shareholders after all expenses, including taxes and interest
A consistent increase in net profit indicates a financially stable and growing business
🔹 Key Metric: Net Profit Margin = Net Profit / Revenue (Higher net margin = More profitability and more income available for shareholders)
A company having high EBIT but less net profit can be due to high interest cost. Once the debt is reduced or repaid, the company will be able to generate much higher Net profit for the shareholders
Limitation of an Income Statement:
It records sales and the associated profitability at the moment the invoice is generated. However, it does not indicate whether the transaction represents a legitimate sale or merely an artificial billing intended to inflate revenue
Cash flow and Balance sheet can help us in digging deeper and check the quality of sales
(2) Cash Flow Statement (CFS)
Crucial for understanding how a company generates and uses cash
Unlike the income statement, CFS focuses on actual cash movement during the period, helping investors assess liquidity, solvency, and overall financial health
(2.1) Cash Flow from Operating Activities (CFO)
Shows cash generated from core business operations
Positive CFO means the company is generating cash from operations
Negative CFO may indicate operational inefficiencies
🚨 Red Flag: A profitable company with negative FCF for extended periods may struggle with liquidity
Healthy companies generate strong cash flow from operations and maintain positive FCF.
Growing companies may have negative investing cash flow due to expansion.
Struggling companies might rely heavily on financing activities for cash.
(3) Balance Sheet:
Provides a snapshot of a company’s financial position at a specific point in time. It helps investors evaluate a company's liquidity, financial stability, debt levels, and overall strength
A balance sheet consists of three key sections:
Assets (What the company owns)
Liabilities (What the company owes)
Shareholder’s Equity (Net worth of the company or the Book Value). It is this portion which is listed in the market and trades at market value and is known as Market Capitalization
(3.1) Analyze Assets: Strength & Efficiency
Current Assets (Cash, accounts receivable, inventory): Measures short-term liquidity
(1) Darvas box is a system that follows trends, meaning it doesn't try to predict market movements in advance. Instead, it reacts to what is happening in the market.
(2) Darvas Box Rules:
- Spot a fresh 12-month high.
- Buy fundamentally strong companies
- See if the stock is part of a strong sector.
- Once the box is formed, if the price closes above the top, it’s a buy signal. Buy at the next day's open.
- If the price closes below the bottom, it’s a sell signal. Sell at the next day's open and start again.
Rockingdeals Circular Economy Limited, previously Technix Electronics Limited, is a B2B recommerce company that deals in bulk trading of surplus, open-box, and refurbished items.
Founded in 2002, it began its operations in 2005, providing products such as home appliances, apparel, and electronics.
(2) Sector & Industry outlook:
- Global recommerce market is expected to reach $355 billion by 2025, growing at an annual rate of 21%.
- Infogence Global Research estimated India's re-commerce market at USD 29.54 billion in 2022, forecasting a yearly growth of 6.15% by 2027.
- Grant Thornton report states that India's refurbished furniture and appliance market, valued at $5.7 billion in 2020, is predicted to reach nearly $9.8 billion by 2025.
- Refurbished electronics market was valued at about US$ 5 billion in March 2021 and is expected to reach US$ 11 billion by March 2026, showing a growth of over 2x in five years, with an annual growth rate of around 17%.
If he were alive, he would have celebrated his 100th birthday today.
35 lessons on investing as a tribute to Charlie Munger: 👇
Save this thread to read later!
I’ll share a complete 1995 interview with Charlie Munger at the end of this thread.
(1) A great business at a fair price is superior to a fair business at a great price.
(2) A lot of people with high IQs are terrible investors because they’ve got terrible temperaments. And that is why we say that having a certain kind of temperament is more important than brains. You need to keep raw irrational emotions under control. You need patience and discipline and an ability to take losses and adversity without going crazy. You need an ability to not be driven crazy by extreme success.
Ivan Scherman, a world-champion quant trader with a 491% returns, shares a strategy that wins 75% of the time with 3-to-1 profit potential.
I'll explain his strategy in this mega thread:
Please bookmark this thread. 📌
(1) Ivan Scherman, CMT, CFTe, is the Portfolio Manager and CIO at Emerge Funds Investments, is renowned for his outstanding track record in managing algorithmic strategies.
(2) Scherman said the strategy, tested from 1957 to now, had a 75.3% win-rate and a profit factor of 3.16, meaning you earn 3.16 for every 1 lost.