@clairlemon One thing I've learned throughout my life is that fighting a war doesn't prevent war in the future. There's always more war.
Being reasonably prepared does, however, often provide a deterrent from invasion or escalation of conflicts.
Being reasonably prepared does, however, often provide a deterrent from invasion or escalation of conflicts.
@clairlemon Rebuilding Ukraine's industrial capabilities and the militaries of Europe's NATO members is an effective deterrent. Freeing up American forces and materiel from the European theatre provides effective checks against Chinese expansion in the Pacific
@clairlemon and resources to assist partners combatting salafi and houthi brushfires in Africa, the Near East, and Southeast Asia.
By contrast keeping Ukraine a heavily subsidized bleeding shell crater accomplishes nothing strategically.
By contrast keeping Ukraine a heavily subsidized bleeding shell crater accomplishes nothing strategically.
@clairlemon Allowing the war to push to its natural conclusion would increase Putin's status at home and internationally. A full scale counter invasion is never going to be in the cards both due to nuclear deterrent and tepid support for offensive wars in the West particularly post GWoT.
@clairlemon A brokered peace meanwhile highlights Russia's failure to overwhelm a much weaker but determined adversary and the costs of Putin's ambitions. He gets to save fave slightly but is denied the laurels of victory.
@clairlemon A closer US-Ukraine economic relationship would also place US interests within the buffer region between Russia and NATO member states (a deterrent in itself given two centuries of American banana republic policies)
@clairlemon and a chance at the same kind if strong economic expansion that has allowed Israel to survive in a sea of adversaries for around seventy years.
There's a lot of potential in a well-worked peace deal.
There's a lot of potential in a well-worked peace deal.
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