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Mar 18 18 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Trading is 95% mental (maybe even more).

That's why Mark Douglas' work was so transformative for traders of all markets — it's not just about TA. To be successful, you have to focus on the mental side of trading.

Here are 15 of his top quotes on trading psychology (save this): Image
1. "Good market analysis can certainly contribute to and play a supporting role in one’s success, but it doesn’t deserve the attention and importance most traders mistakenly attach to it."

Instead, you should be focused entirely on how your mind works.
2. "Confidence comes when you trust yourself to act in your best interest."

You know you make common, avoidable mistakes.

The only way to build true confidence is creating mental processes to stop you from making them in the first place.
3. "You don’t need to know what’s going to happen next to make money."

Making money comes down to executing an edge, over and over again, over a large series of trades.

Nothing else. Image
4. "What separates the 'consistently great' athletes and performers from everyone else is their distinct lack of fear of making a mistake."

Too often traders miss out on A+ trades because they're too afraid to take losses.

Stop worrying about what "could happen" and execute.
5. "When you achieve complete acceptance of the uncertainty of each edge and the uniqueness of each moment, your frustration with trading will end."
6. "When you really believe that trading is simply a probability game, concepts like right or wrong or win or lose no longer have the same significance."

It's time to stop attaching a 'right' or 'wrong' label to each one of your trades.
7. "The degree to which you think you know, assume you know, or in any way need to know what is going to happen next is equal to the degree to which you will fail as a trader."

Need to know more? You'll fail more.

Need to know less? You'll succeed more. Image
8. "Why do casinos make consistent money on an event that has a random outcome? Because they know that over a series of events, the odds are in their favor. They also know that to realize the benefits of the favorable odds, they have to participate in every event."

This is one of the main differences between gambling and trading — as a retail trader, you don't have to play every setup or day to make money.

Execute when your edge is present, and sit out when it isn't.
9. "The consistency you seek is in your mind, not in the markets."

Change is the only thing that's constant in the markets.

But, you can find consistency in your thought patterns, habits, and executions if you prioritize them.

This is how to win at trading.
10. "If you asked me to distill trading down to its simplest form, I would say that it is a pattern recognition numbers game. We use market analysis to identify patterns, define the risk, and determine when to take profits. The trade either works or it doesn’t."
11. "Market analysis will not solve the problems created by a lack of discipline and confidence."

It doesn't matter how 'right' you are on a move, if you don't have the discipline & confidence to trade your analysis, you'll never make money. Image
12. "Rarely will the typical trader stay with his system beyond two or three losses in a row, and taking two or three losses in a row is a very common occurrence for most trading systems."

The only way to avoid system hopping (especially on a losing streak) is to already have done a deep dive.

You must know the ins & outs of your strategy — how many losses in a row is normal, what environment the strategy works/doesn't work in, etc.

Most trades find something on X and think they can replicate it instantly. Not how it works...
13. "The market is a boundary-less environment; your mental structure must impose the rules and discipline needed to thrive."

That's what makes it so difficult for the majority — it is completely random, and to succeed, your trading must be structured.
14. "When you define your risk in advance, you acknowledge the possibility of being wrong. Without this, traders rationalize, justify, or avoid decisions, leading to losses."

Before entering, you must always know where you're going to get out if the trade goes against you.
15. "No man ever reached to excellence in any one art or profession without having passed through the slow and painful process of study and preparation."

It takes time to become a successful trader — but the more work you put in, the shorter your learning curve. Image
And one more for you...

Mark Douglas' 5 Fundamental Truths:

1. Anything can happen.

2. You don’t need to know what is going to happen next in order to make money.

3. There is a random distribution between wins and losses for any given set of variables that define an edge.

4. An edge is nothing more than an indication of a higher probability of one thing happening over another.

5. Every moment in the market is unique.

🔥
Boom! That's it.

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More from @TraderLion_

Mar 13
One of the best ways to identify a bottom in real-time is using US Investing Champ Oliver Kell's @oliverkell_ Price Cycle.

The key pattern you need to know: The Reversal Extension.

Here's what it is, how you can spot it on the charts, with examples: Image
What is a Reversal Extension?

A Reversal Extension is a large reversal bar in a stock or index that is already extended to the downside below the 10 and 20 EMA.

Look for heavy volume capitulation — showing that buyers start selling and sellers cover shorts.
More characteristics of Reversal Extensions:

→ Look for a defined support level on a higher timeframe.
→ Heavy volume capitulation on the reversal bar is a key ingredient.
→ After the reversal extension, expect volatility, then look for price to tighten
Read 9 tweets
Feb 19
One question we get a ton — does the 8% stop loss rule from William O'Neil still work?

While it depends on the exact scenario, we've heard a different type of strategy from other market wizards:

Here's more on the the 3-4-5 rule:
Traditional CANSLIM methodology taught an 8% stop loss from a proper buy point, but even those who traded with WON said his stops were much tighter.

And if you study great traders like @markminervini or @Upticken, you'll see they implement the 3-4-5 strategy (or something similar).

Here's what that means:
Instead of setting your stop 8% from a proper buy point (and not being able to size like a superperformer), split your stops up like this:

→ 3% stop loss: sell 1/3
→ 4% stop loss: sell another 1/3
→ 5% stop loss: sell the final 1/3

You've built in wiggle room for price while also being able to put upwards of 25% equity in a name without risking more than 1% of your capital.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 16
It takes the best traders 5-7 years to find a system that works for them to ultimately become profitable.

Here are 10 lessons (from market wizards & hundreds of top traders) that will shorten your learning curve significantly: Image
Lesson 1: Trading Takes Patience & Hard Work

There's no shortcut to success in the markets.

William O'Neil is a perfect example of this — he put in the time necessary to build a system that fit his personality (CANSLIM).

Study the greats, & you set yourself up to be one.
Lesson 2: Stay Positive, Focused, & Disciplined

@Upticken is a great example of always staying positive no matter what.

Use the minor setbacks as lessons, always focused on improving and becoming the best trader/person you can be.
Read 13 tweets
Feb 14
William O'Neil was a true visionary.

From being the youngest ever to own a seat on the New York Stock Exchange, to turning $5,000 into $200,000 in less than a year.

Here's his story & a deep dive into the principles behind one of the greatest traders ever: Image
WON was from the souther plains of Oklahoma and went to college at Southern Methodist University.

His investing background was heavily influenced by great traders like Nicolas Darvas, Gerald Loeb, and Jesse Livermore.
Another name that stuck out to him was Jack Dreyfus, who in the late 1950s and early 60s had one of the best performing mutual funds in the country.

WON studied his methodologies, what worked + what he was doing differently than everyone else, and eventually created CANSLIM.
Read 19 tweets
Jan 31
Earnings season is here, and the best way to take advantage of it is by mastering one specific edge:

The High Volume Edge.

This is the same pattern that made traders like @Qullamaggie millions.

Here's everything you need to know (so you come prepared to start next week): Image
What is the High Volume Edge?

Simply put, you're looking for huge gap ups (10% or more) on BIG volume. Big volume is:

· The Highest Volume Ever (HVE)
· The Highest Volume Since IPO (HVIPO)
· The Highest Volume In 1 Year (HV1)
· The Highest Volume Since Last EPS (HVLE)
Why is High Volume an Edge?

After a news surprise or EPS report, institutions are forced to react. These reactions are either:

· Accumulate shares in a big way
· Distribute shares in a big way
· Do nothing (rare)

Volume is the easiest way to identify their actions.
Read 15 tweets
Jan 14
There's no better way to study fear & greed than by analyzing historical corrections (perfect for this environment).

Here are 8 you must study, ranging from the 80s to 2018:



1: Feb 1980

Peak Date: Nov. 28, 1980
Percent Loss: 27%
Absolute Low: Aug. 12, 1982
News: Recession Image
2: October 1982-July 1984

Peak Date: October 28th, 1983
Percent Loss: 14$
Absolute Low: July 24th, 1984
News: Heightened hostilities in the Persian Gulf, Interest Rates, 5 year bull prior without significant pullback, computerized trading Image
3: August 1987

Peak Date: August 25th, 1987
Percent Loss: 34%
Absolute Low: December 4th, 1987
News: The Plaza Accord & Louvre Accord Image
Read 10 tweets

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