In the last decade the dictatorship governing the United Arab Emirates has poured billions of dollars into backing the Assad regime in Syria, the warlord Khalifa Haftar in Libya and the genocidal RSF militia in Sudan, only to watch all 3 lose their civil wars in slow motion.
Besides Iran, there is no regime in the Middle East more dedicated to destabilising the region and financing the industrial scale slaughter of civilians, Iran however does not enjoy the luxury of alliances and lucrative business partnerships with western liberal democracies.
If you want to start seeing the stabilisation of the Middle East, step one is imposing economic costs on the blood soaked monarchy in the Gulf incentivising destabilisation, tyranny and conflict.
Sanction the UAE.
Not that anymore needs to be added to the list, but they are also the Middle East country providing the most support for Netanyahu and Israel’s relentless bombardment of Gaza.
If there is a conflict anywhere in the MENA region, you can almost guarantee the UAE is involved.
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Sharaa’s failure to bring groups like the SNA to heel though is coming back to haunt him. Of course that’s easier said than done with domestic situation & relationship with Turkey to consider, but what we’re witnessing on the coast is unconscionable & fundamentally unacceptable.
Outsiders are of course going to ignore the violence perpetrated by former regime elements & hold the government entirely to blame, but that is to be expected, and in fairness, the new Syrian authorities are the only ones the responsibility for security ultimately falls on.
European leaders need to stop saying to themselves that it can’t get any worse than this, it can and it will, and a European defence strategy against Russian invasion is critical.
Defence spending needs to be significantly ramped up and Europe must re-arm to prepare for the threat.
To not do so now is not folly, it’s sheer madness.
War is coming, whether we want it or not. The only way to prevent it is victory in Ukraine, and if European leaders aren’t prepared to stomach the costs for that without Washington, then it will be their own children who will be fighting Russian troops in the near future.
The same people who told you Russia would never invade Ukraine are now telling you Russia would never invade the Baltic States.
They were wrong in 2022, and they’re wrong again today.
I don’t want to be tweeting this from Vilnius in 3 years time.
Europe is not going to get any clearer warning signs than this.
To prevent catastrophe, we must all prepare for war.
I want all dictatorships to be replaced with democracies.
As a liberal democrat, by definition, I oppose all regimes.
I support revolutions to overthrow regimes.
Put “regime change fanatic” on my tombstone, that’s fine.
I am a regime change fanatic & you @aaronjmate are an accomplice to Assad’s war crimes, who advocated for him at the UN, at the invitation of the Russian government, and you and your colleagues, for pay, were the propaganda wing of a regime engaged in industrial human slaughter.
@aaronjmate Both of us are still relatively young, but I need you to understand this, I promise you, I will spend the rest of my life making sure none of you ever truly know of a moment of peace.
And when I am in Syria, I will be searching through Mukhabarat documents for your names.
What is happening in Syria today is happening in spite of those foreign policy decisions, and in spite of those who presented Assad’s victory as the only possible resolution to the Syrian civil war.
Now the conflict is no longer in the hands of the western powers.
The US & Russia effectively came to an agreement that Assad should stay in 2015, and 9 years later, the consequences of that monstrous, despicable decision are rippling out across Syria.
These people always fundamentally misunderstood why Syrians tried to topple the regime.