David Kirichenko Profile picture
Apr 25 18 tweets 6 min read Read on X
🧵1/ Garage Land: How Ukraine’s wartime defense tech startup scene is changing the future of warfare.

The war triggered a mobilization in garages and workshops across Ukraine, spawning cutting-edge innovations and hundreds of defense tech startups. Image
2/ For Americans Justin Zeefe and Deborah Fairlamb, the war was a wake-up call.

They met in early 2022 and launched Green Flag Ventures (GFV), a VC fund backing Ukraine’s wartime tech startups—and taking them global. Image
3/ Ukraine can sustain itself through innovation, Zeefe said. These companies develop and battle-test technologies faster than anyone.

GFV funds early-stage firms needing $100K–$600K.

Ex:
— Kara Dag (drone countermeasures)
— Himera (tactical comms)
— Swarmer (drone swarms) Image
4/ Zeefe, a former US intel officer, and Fairlamb, embedded in Ukraine’s tech scene since 2004.

“Our skills just clicked,” said Zeefe. "Deborah brought deep financial and local knowledge, I brought ops and intel. Together, we could help these founders survive and grow.” Image
5/ The two see echoes of 1990s Israel: a culture of ingenuity, a surplus of engineering talent, and innovations tested under extreme conditions. “Wartime creates clarity. These startups move fast and build things that work,” Zeefe said. Image
6/ Ukraine’s defense sector is booming: $1B output in 2022 is expected to reach $15B this year.

Hundreds of startups are now working alongside state firms to build drones, artillery, and smart weapons. Image
7/ But while Ukraine innovates, allies lag behind.

Ukrainian firms iterate weekly. U.S. defense startups spend billions—and struggle to get prototypes off the ground.

WSJ reported many U.S.-built drones can’t even fly reliably. Image
8/ Drones in Ukraine are also upgraded every few weeks, far faster than the Pentagon’s years-long budgeting cycle. Californian startup CX2 says no US company is matching Ukraine’s pace. Image
9/ In 2023, Ukraine launched Brave1, a national platform to fast-track defense tech.

Now supporting 1,500+ startups with grants and technical aid, Brave1 helped push defense tech investment from $5M to $40M in one year. Image
10/ Ukraine’s decentralized model creates intense competition. Dozens of drone models are fielded and improved constantly.

Russian state media admitted that their forces near Pokrovsk are facing “massive attacks by Ukrainian drones.” Image
11/ With European support, Ukraine now produces 40% of its military needs domestically.

The UK, Denmark, Sweden, and the Netherlands are pouring funds into Ukrainian drone tech—knowing they’ll benefit too. Image
12/ Lyuba Shipovich, CEO of Dignitas, which runs the @VictoryDrones project, said her team collaborates directly with Ukrainian soldiers on the frontline. This allows them to receive instant feedback, quickly improve technologies, and redeploy them to the battlefield. Image
@VictoryDrones 13/ Yet, despite the battlefield success, Ukraine’s defense innovators still face major funding gaps. Of the $3bn invested globally in defense tech in 2024, only $100m went to Ukrainian companies, Zeefe said. Image
@VictoryDrones 14/ But interest is growing. In just six weeks, GFV raised $2m, bringing its total to $5.2m of a $20m target. Europeans, particularly in Scandinavia, are showing strong interest, and other NATO countries want to place direct orders with Ukrainian companies. Image
@VictoryDrones 15/ The GFV fund expects to deploy all capital by the end of 2026 and launch a larger second fund in early 2026. Zeefe is also betting that the world’s reliance “on Ukrainian experience and leadership in defensive readiness capabilities” will grow. Image
@VictoryDrones 16/ Ukraine’s resilience is showing that wartime innovation can attract investment and bring real results. As Europe scrambles to rearm for a potential future conflict with Russia, Ukraine’s tech will become an important part of the continent’s security architecture. Image
@VictoryDrones 🧵End of the thread.

Source: cepa.org/article/garage…

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More from @DVKirichenko

Dec 1
1/ Ukrainian Naval drones hit two Russian shadow oil tankers off Turkey's coast on Nov 28, expanding Ukraine's kinetic sanctions program.

The strikes targeted vessels carrying around $70 million worth of oil off the coast of Turkey.

🧵 Image
2/ The targets: Kairos & Virat -- both flying Gambian flags but identified by Western authorities as part of Russia's "shadow fleet" designed to evade sanctions.
3/ The strikes occurred 28-35 nautical miles off Turkey's Kocaeli province, well beyond Ukraine's previous operational range in the northern Black Sea.

This represents the technological progress Kyiv continues to make, and also, increased boldness.
Read 18 tweets
Nov 17
1/ Ukraine’s drone revolution is forcing Europe to confront an uncomfortable truth: you can’t defend a continent with million-dollar missiles against $20k drones.

What Ukraine learned through survival, Europe is learning through necessity.

🧵 Image
2/ Across Europe, cheap drones have shut down airports and crossed borders.

Officials say Russia is likely behind some of these flights, testing how NATO reacts.

Hybrid warfare grows: telegraph.co.uk/world-news/202…
3/ The cost gap is huge:

• A Patriot interceptor can cost several million for example.

• A Shahed-style drone can cost $30k–$60k

Not many other options are scalable, even deploying helicopters across the front.

Europe can’t win trading expensive shots for cheap targets.
Read 14 tweets
Nov 3
1/ The last thing Putin expected from his bunker in Moscow in early 2022 was that his army would be ground down fighting for mere inches of territory 3.5 years into the invasion.

For the past two years, Kyiv has also increasingly brought the war home to Moscow’s elites.

🧵 Image
2/ In the days leading up to May’s Victory Day parade, Ukrainian drones were already buzzing near Moscow.

Kyiv said China asked Ukraine not to strike Moscow while Xi Jinping was in attendance, likely because it doubted Moscow’s ability to protect him. newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/zelenskyy…
3/ For years, both Russian and foreign observers saw Putin as a shrewd, calculating statesman—a leader whose luck and timing always seemed to favor him, until his army met the Ukrainians on the battlefield. lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete…
Read 18 tweets
Nov 3
1/ What happens to Russian identity once the war in Ukraine ends?

A great reckoning began in 2022, after Moscow launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

It wasn’t just for the Ukrainians, but for the Russian people too.

🧵 Image
2/ When Moscow launched a full-scale invasion against Ukraine in 2022, it wasn’t just a war over land.

It was a war over identity.

For centuries, Russia has defined itself as an empire built on myths.
3/ Those myths — that Russia is the heir of Kyivan Rus and the “Third Rome” — are collapsing.

As Ukraine resists and prevails, the Russian people are being forced to confront something they have never faced: life after empire.
Read 27 tweets
Oct 20
1/ Ukraine’s naval drones have sunk warships, hit oil terminals, and even shot down Russian fighter jets.

Ukrainian drones have ushered in the era of the timid navy (at least in the Black Sea).

🧵 Image
2/ Since 2022, Ukraine has neutralized a third of Russia’s Black Sea Fleet, forcing it to retreat from occupied Crimea.

Today, Kyiv’s unmanned surface vehicles (USVs) are enforcing a de facto blockade on Russian ports and warships.
3/ Ukraine lost nearly all its navy after the 2014 invasion. Instead of rebuilding conventionally, it went asymmetric.

“The navy had to be built according to an asymmetric principle.”

Result: A high-tech fleet of drones. Kyiv's tech navy.
Read 19 tweets
Oct 16
1/ As Russia’s invasion nears its fourth year, Moscow is struggling to replenish its ranks and is increasingly turning to foreign fighters to sustain the Kremlin's colonial war in Ukraine.

🧵 Image
2/ In early October, Ukrainian troops captured a 22-year-old Indian fighting for Russia.

He claimed he’d been arrested while studying in Russia and was forced to sign a military contract to be freed — trained for just two weeks before being sent to the front. Image
3/ Russia has reportedly recruited tens of thousands of foreigners from the Middle East, Africa, and East Asia through social media campaigns.

Many were promised non-combat roles and citizenship — only to end up on the battlefield. Image
Read 15 tweets

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