Fernando Nikolić 🇦🇷 🟠 Profile picture
Apr 29 9 tweets 2 min read Read on X
I was there yesterday when Spain went dark.

It took less than an hour for panic to set in.

Cash became, surprisingly, worthless.

Here’s what actually happens when the systems break: 🧵 Image
No internet.

No phone service.

No warning.

Within an hour, lines were already forming at supermarkets and gas stations.

People didn’t wait for answers and just acted on instinct.
Then, the rumors.

Someone said it was a cyberattack.

Others said the UK, Germany, France, Italy, Netherlands, and Greece were also hit.

There was no way to confirm anything.

Fear spread faster than facts.
I went to grab supplies.

It didn’t matter if you even had cash.

Stores couldn’t give change.

If you only had a €50 bill for a €5 item, you either handed it over or walked away with nothing.
I didn’t have a radio at home.

The only way to get updates was to walk to my car, turn on the radio, and listen there.

It was the only working source of information.
One thing became obvious:

The more centralized the system, the more fragile it is.

The Iberian Peninsula's interconnected grid turned a local issue into a regional blackout within minutes.
The power eventually came back.

But the illusion didn’t.

It doesn’t take days, or even hours, for society to start unraveling.

It takes minutes.
Decentralize what you can.

Keep basic tools around.

Don’t assume the systems you rely on will always be there.

Yesterday made that very clear.
Modern systems are fragile. Most people won’t see it until it breaks.

I built @BTCPerception to track global narratives and sentiment around Bitcoin and financial infrastructure: because media is infrastructure too.

If you’re into that, follow along.

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More from @basedlayer

Jun 7
They called torrents piracy.

Then they built Spotify.

They’ll do the same with Bitcoin.

Here’s how the cycle plays out, every time:

🧵👇 Image
Image
In 2008, I worked at Universal Music.

I told them torrents weren’t theft.

They were feedback.

Signal that users wanted access, not ownership.

They didn't take me seriously. (got fired)
By 2015, those same execs had licensed to Spotify……THEN bundled streaming rights into IPO decks.

Tech didn’t kill the music industry.

It forced it to evolve.
Read 9 tweets
May 15
The @FT has now covered Bitcoin 400 times since 2018.

I pulled the data from @BTCPerception to find out if the Financial Times has been a net positive or negative for how their readers learn about Bitcoin.

🧵👇 Image
Since 2023, the FT ramped up its Bitcoin coverage after barely touching the topic outside of major crashes in 2018 and 2021/2022.

Seems like they only showed up when Bitcoin was bleeding.

Until tradfi started leaning in last year, of course 😉 Image
Out of 400 articles, 45% have been negative, and just 11% positive.

That’s 1 in 10 pieces painting Bitcoin in a good light.

The rest?

Same old: scams, volatility, regulation fear. Image
Read 6 tweets
Apr 12
Bitcoin in the age of ETFs, macro chaos, and capital flight.

Some of the sharpest macro alpha I’ve heard on Bitcoin in a while.

Framed through five ideas you won’t forget from Jeff Park (@dgt10011) at @BitwiseInvest.

Let’s unpack. Image
“There are two types of Bitcoin: Negative Rho and Positive Rho.”

→ Negative rho BTC thrives in inflation + QE

→ Positive rho BTC thrives in deflation + collapse

One is an inflation hedge.

The other is a chaos hedge.

Either way, Bitcoin wins.
“Bitcoin ETF options killed the institutional use case for altcoins.”

Altcoins were the high-beta workaround when BTC was untradeable in size.

Now? Institutions can play volatility cleanly with ETF options, CME futures, and structured products.

BTC has reclaimed the casino.
Read 7 tweets

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