Crazy things are happening in the Middle East. Trump is visiting the gulf, lots of rumors about a Palestinian state, Netanyahu and Co are visibly upset. I’m going to give my white-pilled opinion, and then my black-pilled opinion 🧵
THE POSSIBLE WHITEPILL: the rumors are true and Trump is planning to recognize a Palestinian state. He does so by recognizing Palestinian full sovereignty over the 1967 borders, negotiated a ceasefire in Gaza, full elections in Palestine, the whole caboodle.
This will lead to one of two scenarios: the end of Israel, or the complete and total destruction of the Palestinian people
SCENARIO ONE: Trump recognizes a Palestinian state, full sovereignty over ‘67, etc. the settlers in the West Bank go batshit, and decide to exterminate the Palestinians. The IDF actually tries to stop them, and this leads to a civil war in Israel: settlers spill Jewish blood
The Israelis are shocked by this and decide that enough is enough, but they don’t fully understand how crazy the settlers are. Internal fighting, riots, chaos: kingdom of Jordan is forced to intervene, and as the government in Israel collapses, Jordanian army takes over.
The Palestinians in Israel are also attacked on mass, and start rising up which causes more chaos, giving the Jordanian army another excuse to invade: protecting fellow Arabs from pogroms and extermination etc.
Eventually, the Ashkenazis start leaning on mass, with a Mizrahi minority staying, and they’re basically pummeled into submission as Palestine, Israel, and Jordan are united as one country.
This has huge ramifications, because uniting all three could also inspire Lebanese/Syrians to say, ‘well why not continue this and unite under one country?’ The Jordanians just banned the MB, and they can invade Syria under the pretense of fighting Salafism/protecting minorities.
Basically, Abdullah II realizes the vision of his great-grandfather: a United Kingdom of Syria, as was promised to Prince Faisal in 1915.
At that point, especially with the weakening of American influence, and the lack of desire to continue our presence in the Middle East, the region becomes multipolar: Syria, Iran, Turkey, and the gulf vying for dominance.
The Turks would likely be pushed out, as their presence would be seen as imperialism. The gulf countries don’t have the capacity to conquer Syria. If Abdullah is wise, he’ll find allies in Iran/Russia/China. It’s the possibility of Arab sovereignty for the first time in centuries
SCENARIO TWO: the destruction of Palestine. The Israelis basically go for broke and the whole society follows the settlers in complete extermination and expulsion of the Palestinians. Jordan attempts to stop it, but Israeli defeat them, and once again the Ummah does nothing.
The Israelis push the Palestinians out, and even go into Jordan for ‘security reasons’, and greater Israel is achieved, the Arabs are fully humiliated once again, having to endure another century (at least) of subjugation. The gulf Arabs become dominant vassals.
Iran does nothing, Turkey annexes parts of Syria, a second Sykes-Picot emerges.
@UnrollHelper
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