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May 13 16 tweets 3 min read Read on X
EXPLAINER

Hello Folks! Trade is the exchange of goods and services. But have you ever wondered what is the role and influence of governments in trade? Today we delve into Free Trade Areas among them The Africa Continental Free Trade Area(AfCFTA): 🧵 Image
1. WHAT IS A FREE TRADE AGREEMENT?

A Free Trade Agreement (FTA) is a treaty between two or more countries to reduce or eliminate trade barriers, such as tariffs and non-tariff barriers eg. quotas, to facilitate the exchange of goods and services.
2. WHAT IS AfCFTA?
It is an initiative of the African Union under Agenda 2063 that seeks to create an African common market boosting intra African Trade and Economic Integration. It entered into force in 2019 and trade commended in 2021.
3. HOW IS IT BEING IMPLEMENTED?
Implementation is taking place in 3 phases:
Phase One (2018-2021): Focused on trade in goods and services and dispute settlement. It champions trade negotiations for the elimination of tariffs on 90% of goods in a span of 5 to 13 years.
Phase Two (Ongoing): It covers Intellectual Property Rights, Competition Policy , Investment and the position of women and youth in trade.

Phase Three: It focuses on e Commerce and Digital Trade with the Digital Trade Protocol still awaiting ratification. (Feb 2024)
4. WHAT SHOULD BE EXPECTED FROM THE AGREEMENT:
(a) An increase in intra African trade by 52% (UNECA).
(b) An increase in African GDP by 7% by 2035 (World Bank).
(c) An increase in intra African exports by 109% and international exports by 32%. (2035).
(d) Achieve Tariff elimination on 90% of goods in the next 5-13 years.
(e) Enhanced efficiency through innovation and competition.
(f) Regional Integration by harmonization of  trade policies.
5. WHAT HAVE BEEN THE ACHIEVEMENTS SO FAR?

(a) The creation of the largest free trade area encompassing 54 nations and a population of 1.3 Billion.
(b) A successful pilot program in Kenya and Ghana (2022).
(c) The launching of the Pan African Payments and Settlements System (PAPSS) in 2022. It facilities cross border payments in local currencies.
(d) Adoption of the Digital Trade Protocol (2024) which leverages technology for economic growth.
(e) Adoption of the Investment Protocol (2023) that seeks to promote sustainable investment in Africa.
6. WHAT HAVE BEEN THE CHALLENGES THIS FAR?

(a) Smaller economies fear that the larger economies such as Egypt, South Africa and Nigeria are set to benefit the most from the agreement therefore slowing down implementation.
(b) Non tariff barriers discourage trade eg. varying regulations, delayed customs clearance etc.
(c) Exporters are facing challenges during clearance as there is yet to be a harmonized Rules of Origin policy.
(d) Some countries are still practicing protectionism to protect domestic industries.
(e) Poor Infrastructure slows down or impedes trade.
7. WHAT ARE THE LONG TERM GOALS OF AfCFTA?

(a) Establishment of a Single Continental Market.
(b) Deepened Economic Integration.
(c) Sustainable and inclusive socio economic development.
(d) Industrial Development and Diversification of the Economy.
(e) Enhanced Global Competitiveness.
(f) The free flow of Persons and Capital.
(g) Creation of a Continental Customs Union and Common Market
(h)Promotion of Digital Trade and Innovation.
(i) Food Security and Agricultural Transformation.
(j) Improve policy coherence.
AfCFTA does not seek to replace regional political and economic blocs but seeks to harmonize trade policies throughout the Continent.

Ends!!

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More from @PolicyNextgen

May 14
EXPLAINER

Hello Folks! Have you ever wondered how Kenya facilitates trade beyond the EAC and Africa? Today, we continue our Trade Series by delving into the Kenya-EU Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA): 🧵 Image
1. WHAT IS THE EUROPEAN UNION?
It is a union comprising of 27 member states, a combined population of 450 million and an economy of $20T. It is therefore one of the most significant unions in the world.
2. WHEN WAS THIS AGREEMENT SIGNED?
The agreement was signed on 18th December 2023 during the visit of EU President Ursula Leyen to Nairobi. It subsequently came into force on 1st July 2024.
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EXPLAINER

Hello Folks! Trade is one of the basic activities performed by mankind. But what informs how Trade is conducted? Today, we analyze the various principles that influence trade: 🧵 Image
1. Balance of Trade:
This is the difference between a country's imports and exports during a certain period. When imports surpass exports, a country is said to have a trade deficit. When the opposite happens, a state is said to have a trade surplus.
Countries with the largest trade surplus are China, Germany and Ireland respectively at $594B, $225B and $182B. Countries with the largest trade deficit are the US, India and UK respectively at $1.2T, $250B and $150B. Kenya has a trade deficit of $150B.
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May 9
EXPLAINER

Hello Folks! What is considered being poor? How is it determined whether one is poor or not? Today, we delve into the International Poverty Line, How it is Calculated and those who are Most Affected: 🧵
1. WHAT IS POVERTY?

According to the World Bank, poverty is living under $2.15 a day. This is the International Poverty Line. However, the complementary poverty lines for lower and upper middle income countries are $3.65 and $6.85 respectively.
2. HOW ARE THESE FIGURES ARRIVED AT?
A tool known as Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) is used. It measures the value of different currencies by accounting for different price levels in different countries. It is based on a theory that goods should cost the same globally.
Read 12 tweets
May 7
EXPLAINER

Hello Folks! Over the past few weeks, there has been a raging debate on whether it was proper for President @WilliamsRuto to call our neighbours Uganda and Tanzania Least Developed Countries while in China.
Below is the criteria used to classify countries: 🧵
1. HIGH INCOME COUNTRIES/ DEVELOPED COUNTRIES:
These are countries with a Gross National Income (GNI) per capita of $14,006 or more.(World Bank)This is the sum of all income earned by a country's residents divided by the country's mid year population.
Other characteristics include High Human Development Index above 0.8, low poverty, advanced infrastructure and diversified economies. (Committee for Development Policy under UN ECOSOC) Examples are US,UK,Canada etc. No African country features on the list.
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