The chief of research at China's central bank just unveiled its blueprint for financial transformation.
Beijing wants China to become a "great financial power" globally.
It also wants stock and bond markets to play a central role in China's technological rise (🧵):
2/15
On 18 May, Ding Zhijie (丁志杰) ,the head of the Chinese central bank's research department, presided over the release of the "China Financial Policy 2025 Report" (中国金融政策报告2025) at the Tsinghua PBCSF Global Finance Forum.
3/15
The theme of this year's report is "Continued Deepening of Financial System Reforms - Accelerating the Development of a Modern Financial System with Chinese Characteristics" (持续深化金融体制改革 加快建设中国特色现代金融体系)
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4/15
Ding highlighted five recommendations from the report for advancing the ongoing reform of the Chinese financial system.
5/15
One - Optimising the allocation of financial resources.
This will involve elevating the role of capital markets in a financial system long dominated by the state-owned banks.
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Ding said China should "establish a resource allocation system with capital markets at their core, employing the core role of capital markets in resource allocation, and strengthening the ability of finance to support economic transition."
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7/15
China will continue to refine its "multi-tier capital system," driving the coordinated development of equity and bond financing, as well as supporting and entry of medium-and-long-term capital into the market.
A key focus for Beijing will be strengthening the supply of financial resources for strategic emerging industries and scientific and technological innovation.
8/15
Second is improving China's central banking system.
This will involve
- Smoothing out monetary policy transmission mechanisms.
- Deepening interest rate marketisation reforms.
- Improving the benchmark interest rate formation system.
- Raising the guidance role of policy rates.
- Raising the responsiveness of financial institutions.
- Optimising the design and incentive mechanisms for structured monetary policy tools.
- Driving the "precision irrigation" of key areas of the economy using financial resources.
9/15
Third is "consolidation of stable financial protections and strengthening regulation."
Beijing will "strengthen the coordination of macro and micro-prudential regulation, lawfully include all financial activity under supervision and regulation, and clarify the division between central and local regulatory responsibilities."
10/15
A key focus will be reform and disposal of risk in relation to small and medium-sized banks, as well as raising their corporate governance capabilities and capital supplementation mechanisms.
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11/15
Fourth is "firmly abiding by the essential role of finance," as well as raising the "quality and effectiveness of financial services."
Ding said that Chinese financial institutions need to focus on their "chief responsibility and business" of servicing the real economy.
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He wants the Chinese financial system to "raise its efficiency and professional ability to allocate resources, as well as strengthen internal corporate management, risk controls and auditing.
13/15
Beijing will endeavour to prevent finance from "moving away from the real towards the empty," while also guiding the standardised implementation of fintech innovations and accelerating digital transformation.
14/15
Fifth is "vigorously driving the high-level opening of the Chinese financial sector, and accelerating the development of a great financial power."
This will entail "firmly driving renminbi internationalisation, and raising its cross-border payments, financing, investment and store of value functionality."
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To this end, China will:
- Strengthen connections and ties with offshore markets.
-Develop offshore renminbi products.
- Accelerate the development of international financial centres within China.
- Expand the openness and depth of its financial markets.
- Increase the influence of China's voice in matters of finance.
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The Chinese central bank is unleashing an arsenal of monetary policy measures to deal with Trump-induced economic turmoil.
The goals are also to drive Chinese technological innovation and boost lacklustre domestic consumption.
A thread (🧵):
2/12
Pan Gongsheng (潘功胜), the governor of the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) - China’s central bank - said the authority would launch 10 key monetary policy measures in the wake of the economic uncertainty unleashed by Donald Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs.
3/12
Pan made the announcement at a press conference held by China’s State Council on 7 May, on the topic of “a raft of financial policies to support stable markets and stable expectations” (一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期).
The imminent threat of Trump's trade war has smashed a long-standing Chinese taboo on deficit spending.
That's the opinion of a leading Chinese economist, who highlights Beijing's plans for a record-high deficit ratio in 2025 (🧵):
2/11
At the end of last year, Beijing signalled plans for a major stimulus package in 2025, when it made reference to the need for "even more active fiscal policy."
Beijing followed by raising the official deficit ratio to 4% for the first time on record, at the 2025 Two Sessions congressional event held in March.
3/11
Domestic commentators say these measures were launched in preparation for aggressive tariff measures from the incoming Trump administration.
Luo Zhiheng, chief macroeconomic researcher at Yuekai Securities, says the threat of Trump's trade war has led to a profound change in the nature of China's fiscal policy.
The head of China's central bank just met with the central bank governors and finance ministers of other Asian economies in Milan.
He called for Pan-Asian unity in the face of Trump's tariff war.
Here's what you need to know (🧵)
2/8
Pan Gongsheng (潘功胜) the head of the People's Bank of China (PBOC - the Chinese central bank) attended the 29th ASEAN + 3 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors' Meeting in Milan, Italy, from 4 -5 May 2025.
3/8
In addition to the 10 nations of ASEAN, other Asian nations that participated in the event included China, Japan and South Korea.
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1/9 China unveils new law to drive the growth of private enterprise.
On 30 April, the Chinese central government officially released the "Private Economy Expediting Law" (民营经济促进法). The law is scheduled to come into effect on 20 May.
According to domestic commentators, the new law is China's first item of "foundational legislation that focuses on the development of the private economy."
2/9
Jiang Zemin first affirmed the role of the "socialist market economy" in China 33 years ago, at the 14th National Congress of the Communist Party.
The Private Economy Law now seeks to enshrine the role of private enterprise in China's socialist market economy system.
3/9
The law firstly affirms the "important status and role" of the private economy in China's socialist market system.
1/6 Our briefing on critical developments in China's economic policy discourse as of 2 May, 2025.
2/6
China's use of macroeconomic policy to prop up growth is unsustainable, according to Huang Yiping (黄益平), head of Peking University's National School of Development. He believes China's economic future depends upon the greater use of industrial policy and reforms to support private enterprise.
3/6 Consumer loans are now a "disaster zone" for bad debt, according to Xue Hongyan (薛洪言), deputy-head of the Xingtu Financial Research Institute. Non-performing loan ratios in the Chinese bank sector have continued to decline, however, on the back of improving corporate loan quality.
1/12
The Chinese cabinet just released a special white paper on the rapidly escalating trade war between Beijing and Washington.
It spells out China’s official stance, and how it’s portraying the conflict for a domestic audience.
Everything you need to know (🧵):
2/12
On 9 April, the State Council’s media office released the “Chinese Stance on Several Issues in Relation to Sino-US Economic and Trade Relations” (关于中美经贸关系若干问题的中方立场).
The white paper seeks to “clarify the facts of Sino-US economic and trade relations, and fully explain China’s policy stance on related matters.”
3/12
According to the white paper, the “intrinsic nature of the economic and trade relationship between China and the United State is one of mutual benefit and joint victory.”
“China and the US can use equal dialogue and mutually beneficial cooperation to resolve economic and trade disputes.”