🚨A NEW study explores a theoretical #geoengineering approach to combat global warming — by altering Earth’s orbit.
Simulations suggest that shifting Earth ~5.8% farther from the Sun could cool the planet by roughly 7K, effectively offsetting projected warming.
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2/ Climate models suggest global temperatures could rise by 7K by 2100, driven by greenhouse gas emissions.
This study asks: what if, instead of changing the atmosphere, we changed our position in space?
Specifically: increase Earth’s orbital radius.
3/ Basically, the paper builds on the science of Milankovitch cycles which is slow, natural variations in Earth’s orbit and tilt that have triggered past ice ages.
These cycles show that even slight orbital changes can dramatically affect climate.
4/ So, using Newton’s laws (gravitational and motion) and the Stefan-Boltzmann law, the authors built a simulation of the Earth-Sun system.
They calculated how Earth’s equilibrium temperature would change at different distances from the Sun.
5/ KEY FINDINGS:
To offset a 7K warming, Earth would need to move from 1.0 AU (current distance) to about 1.0578 AU — ~5.8% farther (9 million km away) from the Sun.
This would lower average planetary temperature back to ~247K (pre-industrial levels without greenhouse effect).
6/ Furthermore, small tweaks (like a 2.5% increase in the semi-major axis) showed a significant drop in temperature — without catastrophic cooling.
7/ But this comes with a big change:
A year would grow from 365.25 days to 394.9 days.
That would mean longer seasons, major changes to ecosystems, and serious disruptions to agriculture and biological cycles.
8/ Researchers are also clear that:
-We can’t actually do this with today’s tech.
-It would require shifting the orbit of a 6 sextillion ton planet.
-But they concluded that the purpose of this study isn’t practicality — it’s to expand the boundaries of geoengineering thinking.
9/ Simulations were run using MATLAB and are open-source on GitHub.
They show how orbital changes affect both temperature and orbital period, validating the model with known data on Earth and Mars.
🚨A new study [preprint] shows that injecting sulfur at 50km could make #SolarGeoengineering much safer.
It cools the planet more effectively, speeds ozone recovery & avoids stratospheric disruptions. This could be done using a fleet of clean, reusable H2 rockets.
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2/ SAI involves spraying SO₂ into stratosphere, where it forms aerosols that reflect sunlight—cooling Earth. It mimics volcanic eruptions like Mt. Pinatubo (1991), which temporarily cooled the planet.
But current “SAI models” inject SO2 at a rate of 10 Tg/yr at ~25km altitude.
3/ But Injecting at 25 km creates problems
Aerosols accumulate in the tropical lower stratosphere, causing up to 6°C warming in that layer.
This disturbs jet streams, increases stratospheric water vapor, and delays the ozone layer’s recovery—by 25–55 years in Antarctica.
🚨A new study has revealed for the first time that ancient carbon, stored in landscapes for thousands of years or more, can find its way back to the atmosphere as CO₂ is released from the surfaces of rivers at a rate of 1.2 billion tonnes per year.
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2/ To understand the true source of river CO₂, researchers compiled a global dataset of 1,195 radiocarbon measurements of dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), CO₂ & CH₄ from rivers & streams.
This let them determine whether the emitted carbon was modern—or much older.
3/ Using radiocarbon signatures (¹⁴C), they found that 59% of river CO₂ emissions come from "old" C—millennia-old soil carbon & even petrogenic carbon (rock-derived, >55,000 years old)
Only ~41% came from recent biological sources like plants & microbes (decadal carbon).
CALL FOR RESEARCH PRESENTATION PROPOSAL—RFF and the Harvard Solar Geoengineering Research Program invite individuals to present research at their upcoming workshop