Pre-Columbian Mississippians built titanic mounds, demonstrating labor mobilization at least on par with early European feudalism. The academic story is "These guys lived in loose chiefdoms much like those Europeans encountered 500 years later, idk don't worry about it."
At the Cahokia mounds there were mass human sacrifices of apparent war captives at a scale even the Aztecs would respect. Am I going crazy or does this look like an advanced state with an imperialist war machine launching expeditions to distant lands?
Scholars will jump through some pretty wild hoops to downplay the sophistication and stratification you’ll get from a plain reading of the archaeological record of pre-contact Mississippians.
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The problem isn't that academic scientists sometimes lie. The problem is that their peers don't care when they do. When scientists are caught making up fake data, universities sweep it under the rug. There are too many examples at the top. 1/
After letting fraudsters run wild for about 25 years, and putting them in charge of major labs and departments, academia has now trained a generation of scientists who mostly don't care about truth very much. 2/
People ask me how the universities can be reformed. Ten years ago it might've been possible, but now I think it's too far gone for that. If we want institutions which society can trust to tell truth from lies, we'll have to build new ones from scratch. 3/3
At Bismarck Analysis we’ve had a fairly easy time hiring excellent analysts. This surprises a lot of people. Here’s how we do it. 1/
There’s three pieces to our hiring success. The first is that we’ve maintained a public presence online and through in-person communities so the right people can find us. This is important but it’s not special, lots of people are better at this than we are. 2/
Our second advantage is that when we read someone or talk to them, we can tell who’s good at social analysis. Very few false positives. (Maybe some false negatives?) There's less need for proxies like credentials or career stage when we can directly look at the skills we need. 3/
I see lots of people assuming that the health establishment's anti-mask crusade was a Noble Lie to keep the masses from using up valuable masks.
But why assume this? A pervasive yet uncoordinated conspiracy seems way more complicated than just "they were wrong".
1/
"But Ben, experts would never make such an obvious and boneheaded mistake!"
Look these are largely the same people who saw an exponential curve with a low absolute value and decided this meant everything was fine and the biggest problem was that people might "panic".
2/
These are the public health bodies who *to this day* make a big show of hand-washing and wiping down surfaces despite us knowing that has ~nothing to do with COVID transmission since, what, maybe April or so IIRC.
3/
You can learn a lot about a culture by reading their fiction and noticing what they take for granted.
In honor of the season, let’s look at A Christmas Carol.
1/
The thing people overlook in A Christmas Carol is the depth of Scrooge and Marley’s friendship.
Scrooge is this horrible old loner who everyone hates… except Marley, his business partner, who *comes back from the dead* for Scrooge.
2/
And they weren’t just business partners! They were extremely close! Scrooge is still torn up about Marley’s death seven years later! He was Marley’s “sole friend, and sole mourner”!
3/
1/ Economic prosperity depends mostly on a society’s ability to produce physical goods. Factories and railroads are more fundamental than loans or interest rates.
2/ The consensus view is usually simplified but correct. It should be your starting point in most investigations.