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THE BEGINNING OF THE END? THE ISRAELI NAVY ATTACK IN YEMEN: My Initial Analysis
Why did the Houthis fail to detect the Israeli ship? What this reveals about possible on-the-ground collaboration, and what it all means tactically?
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1. THE TACTICAL EXPLANATION: How The Israeli Ship Managed To Approach The Port Undetected?
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A. USING CIVILIAN SHIPPING LANES:
The Israeli ship could have traveled within busy commercial shipping corridors, possibly under the radar or disguised (e.g., moving close to merchant vessels). This would make it hard for the Houthis to single it out.
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Israel had similar covert achievements with this method back in 1973:
To protect its oil supply route from the Persian Gulf to the Israeli port of Eilat, which passes through the vulnerable Bab el Mandeb strait, Israel secretly deployed elite commandos to occupy uninhabited islands near the strait. These forces established a covert radio and radar base on Zuqar Island (part of the Hanish group), just off the coast of Yemen. The Israeli soldiers operated without uniforms or flags and were rotated secretly every three months. Though Israel denied the operation, it was exposed after a suspected Israeli spy was caught in Yemen. Yemen, lacking military power, could only protest.
Northern Red Sea lanes near Hudaydah are among the busiest maritime routes globally:
Dozens of merchant vessels, tankers, and container ships pass through daily.
These create “maritime clutter”, making it difficult for a non-integrated force like the Houthis to distinguish between routine and suspicious activity.
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B. ELECTRONIC WARFARE (EW):
Israel may have jammed Houthi radar and surveillance systems, rendering their maritime detection capabilities ineffective during the ship approach.
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Modern Israeli warships, particularly the Sa’ar 5 and Sa’ar 6 corvettes, feature stealth shaping and radar-absorbent materials to reduce Radar Cross Section (RCS). Combined with LPI radar systems (e.g., EL/M-224).
These use electromagnetic spectrum to detect, deceive, disrupt, or deny an adversary’s ability to sense, communicate, or respond effectively.
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C. LOW-PROFILE NAVAL TACTICS:
In Israeli Navy ships (such as Sa’ar 5-class corvettes) are fast and low-observable. Operating at night or in poor weather, they can reduce their radar and visual signature significantly.
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2. STRATEGIC EXPLANATION – Why Weren’t The Houthis Aware?
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A. DISTRACTION / OPERATIONAL FATIGUE:
The Houthis operate on multiple fronts, inside Yemen, against Saudi Arabia, and in the Red Sea. Their surveillance focus may have been elsewhere at the time of the approach. I would dare to say that there was an engineered diversion created with the help of local opposition and maybe even common enemies like Saudi Arabia.
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A very obvious and possible diversion was the evacuation notice issued by the IDF spokesman, caused the Houthis the attack would happen via air, as in the past year. It made them completely rule out a naval possibility. Nothing better than the good old element of surprise!
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B. LIMITED MARITIME DOMAIN AWARENESS (MDA):
Despite public claims of “full control” over the Bab al-Mandab and northern Red Sea, the Houthis face severe structural and operational limitations.
Here’s why:
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Unlike state navies, the Houthis lack a persistent ISR (Intelligence, Surveillance, Reconnaissance) architecture. They rely on a patchwork of Coastal observers,Drones (e.g. Sammad or commercial-grade), Occasional radar systems, Open-source ship tracking tools, Iranian support for early warning (delayed or regionally limited).
This setup does not provide continuous real-time coverage of the sea, especially north of Hudaydah where the shipping lanes are wide and busy.
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An Israeli missile ship, if properly masked (via EW, spoofed AIS, or night-time stealth), could blend into this maritime “noise floor” and move undetected within a few dozen kilometers of Hudaydah, particularly if the Houthis aren’t actively tracking that sector at the moment.
Their lack of layered sensor fusion, and absence of persistent surveillance assets, gives Israel or any blue-water navy a significant tactical window for denial, deception, and approach.
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B. USE OF PORTS / ISLANDS NEAR ADEN:
I previously mentioned that I believe that the way to bring down the Houthis in my opinion is only through the legal government of Yemen, the Houthi opposition in Aden.
Seems like Israeli authorities arrived to the same conclusion, and it is possible that the vessel may have launched from or passed near UAE/Saudi-controlled areas in southern Yemen or nearby islands, which would imply clear coordination with anti-Houthi authorities in Aden.
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B. ACESS VIA WATERS CONTROLLED BY ADEN:
The Israeli ship may have approached via the southern Yemeni coast, controlled by the Saudi- and UAE-backed Yemeni government - Where Houthi surveillance is weaker.
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3. THE ACHIEVEMENTS:
• Destroyed IRGC-linked infrastructure in Yemen, disrupting arms smuggling and logistics.
• Israeli helicopters (e.g., SH-60, Seahawk-type platforms) can operate off Sa’ar-class corvettes deep into the Red Sea:
👉 Enables ISR, extraction, or even limited SOF insertion missions from the waterline, without needing land-based assets.
👉Expands Israel’s “floating airbase” model into the southern Red Sea arena.
• Collected real-time SIGINT/ELINT on Houthi and IRGC radar, comms, and drone systems.
SITUATION OVERVIEW | THE REALITY YOU WON’T HEAR IN THE NEWS
The collapse of the Palestinian Dream, the panic in the Arab world, why ‘Nakba’ is the way to normalisation, how come everyone but Israel fear Iran and what Israeli officials are failing to see?
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When the Saudis buy American weapons, it’s not for peace nor glory, it’s protection money.
When they cozy up to France, it’s not diplomacy, it’s panic.
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And in Israel? Senior officials are sweating, not because they lack power, but because they come from a culture of stability, not of decisive action.
But here’s a basic rule in geopolitics: when your adversary is panicking, you’re probably on the right track. You need to keep going. He’ll break before you do..
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IS HEZBOLLAH DISMANTLED?
THE IRGC PLAN TO REBUILD ITS AXIS
Iran’s IRGC is trying to rehabilitate its axis via crown proxy Hezbollah, but Jolani’s Syria is complicating it for the Ayatollahs. Now they found alternatives, far from the Mid-East and Israeli intelligence..
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Hezbollah has recently relocated the families of nearly 400 of its leaders to Latin America, while some have opted to seek asylum in Africa.
According to Lebanese sources, the families of the 400 Hezbollah leaders were deported to Latin America with them.
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In a video posted to his X account, journalist Ali Hamadeh ( @AliNahar ) revealed information, while denying its validity, citing a “Latin American diplomat” who claimed that a large number of mid-level Hezbollah leaders’ families had been expelled from Lebanon.
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THE MISSILE THAT GOT AWAY:
WHY THE HOUTHI MISSILE WHICH HIT THE AIRPORT WASN’T INTERCEPTED?
How did the failure to intercept the Houthi missile happen, and how might it be connected to Trump halting American strikes on the Houthis in Yemen?
Prepared to be shocked
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On Sunday, May 4th, Israel’s defense systems detected a launch from Yemen. By 9:19 a.m., news channels were already reporting the missile launch.
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Just a few minutes later, at approximately 9:23 a.m., sirens were activated from the Shfela region to northern Sharon, including at Ben Gurion Airport. This indicates that the sirens worked correctly and the Israeli detection systems picked up the launch in time.
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NEW DETAILS ANALYSIS ON THE SO-CALLED “FREEDOM FLOTILLA” TO GAZA
The ship attacked off the coast of Malta on May 2nd was part of a Turkish flotilla intended to break the Gaza naval blockade, with ties to IHH and IRGC Quds Force.
Here’s the full breakdown:
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The ship was reportedly part of a pre-planned Turkish flotilla aimed at challenging the Israeli blockade on Gaza. It was linked to the IHH organization, the same group behind the 2010 Mavi Marmara flotilla.
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On the ship you can spot the HANDALA logo, a cyber-Terror group responsible for several attacks against Israel, including on the Iron-Dome defence system.
Handala operates with support from IRGC intelligence agencies, particularly Iran’s Ministry of Intelligence (MOIS).
This is Mahmmad Ali Khalil Dawood Sheet.
A Hezbollah operative who was eliminated a week ago in Berj LeMluk (رج الملوك) in the Nabatiyeh district, South Lebanon by a targeted IDF drone strike.
Here is Mahmmad visiting the Shrine Of Imam Hossain in Karbala, Iraq.
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It all starts with Identifying the suspect in order to determine rather he is worth following or not.
Mahmmad Sheet is in the ‘close friends’ list of many familiar figures in Hezbollah, therefore after recognising him, the drone operator continues the surveillance process.
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𝐀 𝐏𝐄𝐀𝐂𝐄 𝐀𝐆𝐑𝐄𝐄𝐌𝐄𝐍𝐓 𝐃𝐎𝐄𝐒𝐍’𝐓
𝐆𝐔𝐀𝐑𝐀𝐍𝐓𝐄𝐄 𝐒𝐄𝐂𝐔𝐑𝐈𝐓𝐘 | Israel Must Remain Vigilant Against Egypt
As Egypt rapidly builds its military and strengthens its presence in Sinai, Israel must ask: Who is Cairo really preparing to fight?
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Egypt faces no significant external threats. Aside from Israel, it has only 2 neighboring countries: Libya, which is in chaos, and Sudan, which is preoccupied with its internal crises, both of which are militarily weak.
This raises the question: why is Egypt aggressively expanding its military capabilities?
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In recent years, Egypt has acquired warships, attack helicopters, and advanced fighter jets from France, as well as S-300 air defense systems from Russia and American Abrams tanks. This buildup is not intended to combat terrorist organizations like ISIS in Sinai but rather to counter a modern conventional army. Since Israel is the region’s strongest military power, one must ask: does Egypt still view Israel as a long-term adversary?