Yusuf Abbas Profile picture
Jun 22 16 tweets 3 min read Read on X
@IranSpec (1/n)
Iran, is now standing at a critical juncture of history, which is going to define what the country will be in the next 50 years.

Iran mostly has 04 options. It is on them, which they would choose.

A look on this thread:
@IranSpec (2/n)
The First option:
Iran submits to the U.S and Israel and gives up Uranium enrichment. This may stop bombing by the aggresors for a moment but in long term this would cause Iran to be harrassed by Israel (As it has done with many countries), and potentially may further
@IranSpec (2/n: continued)
weaken Iranian position within the middle East.

Public dismay would also be a concern to the Iranian government.
@IranSpec (3/n)
The Second option:
Iran does not give up Uranium enrichment, but doesn't build the bomb.
This is totally an useless option. Atm Iran is seen practising this option.

This would lead Iran to nowhere and on the Enrichment allegation, Israel and U.S will bomb Iran again
@IranSpec (3/n: continued)
further causing destruction and monetary loss.

The already strained Iranian economy would have much more bad days ahead. Chances of Iranian military leadership being wiped out, just like last week would be high.
@IranSpec (4/n)
The Third Option:
Iran enriches uranium, builds the bomb and Tests it.
This is certainly a risky option.

This would certainly give Iran a deterrence, Iran can now threaten its enemies with the nukes and every country will definitely think twice before attacking it.
@IranSpec (4/n: continued)
But, Iran would also have to invest in Counter-Espionage as CIA and Mossad will try Sabotaging the bomb.
@IranSpec (4/n: continued)
On the other hand, It also can hurt Iran, more spending would be done towards securing and maintaining the bomb with further R and D on the bomb delivery, again the already strained economy would have to manage all this.
@IranSpec (4/n: continued)
Also, there is a small chance that Iranian allies reduce trade with Iran due to its nuclear activities. A nuclear Iran would attract UNSC sanctions, but since Russia and China are Allies of Iran, this is highly unlikely.
@IranSpec (4/n: continued)
Note: Iran is already too heavily sanctioned, more sanctions aren't going to cause any significant damage, unless done by an ally.
@IranSpec (5/n)
The fourth option:
Iran temporarily accepts U.S. demands, rebuilds military, secretly enriches uranium and then tests the bomb.

This is the best option Iran can practise.

Whatever demand Iran accepts, USA isn't gonna remove sanctions under Trump.
@IranSpec (5/n: Continued)
Iran can until then exercise restraint and build back its military hardware.

Iran should try buying the Chinese J35 or the 4++ and 4.5 generation fighter jets. At the same time ask Russia to buy the S-400/500 SAM.
@IranSpec (5/n: Continued)
Russia should also be asked to deliver the Su-35s at the earliest.

Iran should also improve its missiles and stockpile them.
@IranSpec (5/n : continued)
After Iran restores its military hardware and bases, it can now go for uranium enrichment. The objective should be clear — THEY HAVE TO MAKE THE BOMB.

This will be the best option that Iran can actually implement, further strengthening its position in the M.E.
@IranSpec (5/n : Continued)
Iran should also focus on having multiple allies and consider signing deals that would help Iran during War time situations.

(End: 8/8) ✅
@IranSpec @IranSpec @eghtesadnia

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