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Warfare Analysis

@warfareanalysis

Jul 19

What happened in Suwayda?

Here’s everything we know,

🧵 Thread: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, ,6,7,8,9,10,11,12

1. What‘s Suwayda?

Suwayda is a province in southern Syria, home to around 450,000 Syrian residents, roughly two-thirds Druze and one-third Sunnis (mainly Bedouins), at about 150,000.

The Druze in Syria are a religious minority, numbering around 700,000 to 800,000 Syria wide almost half of them in suwayda.

Though ethnically Arab, the Druze follow their own distinct religion (Druze faith) they are nicknamed also Bani Maaruf, they are not Muslim.

Druze exist primarily in Syria, Lebanon, and Israel.

Israel even has a Druze brigade in its army, with Druze soldiers actively participating in Gaza.

The highest-ranking Druze officer killed by Hamas in Gaza is Colonel Ehsan Daxa, commander of the Israeli army’s 401st Armored Brigade. He was killed by Hamas in Jabalia on October 20, 2024 (#photo 1).

The Bedouins

#Photo 2: Map of the Houran region that spans southern Syria (mainly Daraa, Suwayda, and Quneitra) and northern Jordan (especially Irbid, Mafraq, and parts of Ajloun and Amman) Hourani tribes are not limited to this region alone,

And the Hourani tribes in Syria alone number in the millions, with cousin tribes spread throughout Syria and beyond.

The Hourani tribes are part of Syria’s Sunni majority.

After the Assad regime, representing the Shia Alawite minority, launched a war on the population with support from Iranian-backed Shia militias and the Russian air force, the overwhelming majority of victims were Sunnis.

Over 6 million Syrians became refugees in neighboring countries, and 7 million were displaced within Syria, many of whom still live in tents.

The death toll exceeds 656,000,
the vast majority of those killed and displaced were Sunnis

(Feel free to fact check these figures)

2.

On July 13, 2025,

Israeli-backed Hijri Druze militias stormed the Maqous neighborhood in Suwayda, home to Sunni Bedouins.

They killed numerous civilians, set fire to homes, and kidnapped women and children (#video 1).

They also handcuffed Bedouin civilian men and executed them (#photo 2).

Entered Bedouin homes and executed its residents (#photo3)

To this day (July 13), the Syrian Interim Government has no presence in Suwayda, as the Israeli-backed Hijri militias have refused to allow any presence of the revolutionary government in the province.

Read 13 tweets

Warfare Analysis

@warfareanalysis

Jul 1

President Morsi vs. Coup General Sisi

Their statements on the same events.

🧵 Thread: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7,

1,

1- Elected President Morsi:

“As you know, I still live in a rented apartment at my own expense in Fifth compound, (a district in New Cairo), and I will continue to live there.”

2- Coup General Sisi:
“I built presidential palaces, and I will build more.”

2,

1- Elected President Morsi:

“Bribery، NO. Favouritism, NO. Injustice against the people through corruption, NO. Wasting people’s time, NO. Wasting the Egypt’s opportunities, NO.”

2- Coup General Sisi:

“You mentioned local administrations and said there’s corruption, HAHA…… what do you want me to do? HAHA.”

Read 8 tweets

Warfare Analysis

@warfareanalysis

Jun 20

In the 17th wave of Iran’s attack on israel earlier today,

Here’s all the available information and footage from the attack.

🧵 Thread: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6,7,8,9,10

1,

About 3 hours ago, Iran launched a missile attack at Israel,

Israeli home-front command activated sirens all over Israel.

Hebrew media, citing security sources, report that Iran launched 25–30 missiles.

2,

An Iranian missile stuck Haifa

Read 10 tweets

Warfare Analysis

@warfareanalysis

Jun 19

In the 14th wave of Iran’s attack earlier today,

here’s a thread of what Iran struck in Israel

🧵 Thread: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6,7,8,9,10

1.

Iran directly struck Soroka Hospital in Be’er Sheva, the main medical center that receives Israeli army casualties from Gaza.

2,

The Israeli Stock Exchange building in Ramat Gan, east of Tel Aviv

Read 11 tweets

Warfare Analysis

@warfareanalysis

Jun 1

For the record,

This thread documents the American-Israeli “Aid” massacre near the American company in Rafah, southern Gaza.

🧵 1,2,3,4,5,6,7

1,

Early this morning, thousands of starving civilians gathered near the American company to receive the promised American aid, only to be gunned down by American mercenaries and Israeli forces.

Video of the first moments of American-Israeli shooting

2,

Another video shows thousands of starving civilians running for their lives from the American-Israeli gunfire.

Read 10 tweets

Warfare Analysis

@warfareanalysis

Jun 1

This is Hamas’s official response document to the American ceasefire proposal.

🧵 Thread: 1, 2, 3

1,

Framework for Negotiations on a Permanent Ceasefire Agreement

1.Ceasefire Duration:
A ceasefire for a period of 60 days, during which President Trump guarantees Israel’s commitment to halt fire throughout the agreed period.

2. Release of Israeli Captives and Detainees:

Ten living Israeli captives and eighteen bodies will be released. The release will proceed as follows:
•On the first day, 4 living captives will be released.
•On the 30th day, 2 living captives.
•On the 60th day, 4 living captives.
•As for the bodies: 6 will be delivered on the 10th day, 6 on the 30th day, and 6 on the 50th day

3.Humanitarian Aid and Situation:

A• After Gaza agrees to the ceasefire, humanitarian aid will be delivered in accordance with the humanitarian protocol included in the 19 January 2025 agreement, through the United Nations and its agencies, including the Red Crescent.

B• . Reconstruction of infrastructure (electricity, water, sanitation, communications, and roads), entry of essential materials including building supplies, rehabilitation and operation of hospitals, health centers, schools, and bakeries across all areas of the Strip.

C•. Allowing Gaza residents to travel to and from the Gaza Strip through the Rafah crossing without any restrictions, and the resumption of goods and trade movement.

D. Forming an international committee to assess the damages and draft a plan to rebuild homes, facilities, and infrastructure destroyed during the war. Agreement to begin implementing a five-year Gaza reconstruction plan within 3 to 5 weeks from the date of the ceasefire, under the sponsorship of a number of countries and international organizations, including Qatar and the United Nations.

4. Israeli Military Activities:
All Israeli military activities in Gaza will cease immediately upon the ceasefire agreement.

During the ceasefire period, military and reconnaissance aerial activity over the Gaza Strip will be halted for 10 hours daily. On the days designated for the exchange of captives, this suspension will extend to 12 hours

2,

5. Withdrawal of Israeli Forces:
On the first day, 4 living Israeli captives will be released in return for the withdrawal of Israeli forces to the positions they held before March 2, 2025, across all areas of the Gaza Strip, according to the maps outlined in the agreement dated January 19, 2025.

6. Negotiations: On the first day, indirect negotiations shall begin under the sponsorship of mediators aiming to reach a permanent ceasefire, discussing the following topics:

a. The criteria and conditions for the exchange of all Israeli prisoners, in return for a number to be agreed upon of Palestinian prisoners in Israeli prisons.

b. The announcement of a permanent ceasefire and the complete withdrawal of all Israeli forces from the Gaza Strip.

(After an agreement is reached on the exchange of prisoners and bodies, and before the start of the handover procedures,
the announcement shall be made regarding the permanent ceasefire and the withdrawal of Israeli forces from the entirety of the Gaza Strip.)

c. Arrangements for the next day in the Gaza Strip, which include:

•The immediate commencement of the work of a technocratic independent committee to manage all affairs of the Gaza Strip, as soon as this agreement is implemented, with full powers and responsibilities.

•Cessation of reciprocal military operations (hostilities) between both parties for a period of 5–7 years, under the guarantee of the mediators (the United States, Egypt, and Qatar).

7. Presidential Support:
The president affirms his serious support regarding the parties’ commitment to a ceasefire agreement and insists that negotiations during the temporary ceasefire period must lead to a permanent ceasefire if an agreement between the parties is successfully reached to end the conflict.

8. Release of Palestinian prisoners and detainees:

In return for the release of 10 Israeli prisoners (and 18 bodies), a mutually agreed-upon number of Palestinian captives and bodies will be released.

The release of the prisoners and bodies shall be carried out in accordance with a mechanism agreed upon.

9. Status of the prisoners and detainees:

1.On the tenth day, Hamas shall provide information on the numbers of the living and the dead among the prisoners from the Israeli side held by Hamas and the Palestinian factions.

In return, Israel shall provide complete information on all the living and the dead prisoners who were kidnapped or went missing from among the residents of the Gaza Strip since October 7, 2023.

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