Note of caution: I would not put too much weight on the leaked DIA assessment: it’s low confidence; it came too quickly; not available in full text; it got politicized; and done by one of the least impressive outfits of the USIC, if I may stick my neck out just a little bit.
https://twitter.com/barakravid/status/1937872709796675614
First off, proper BDA needs to be done on the ground in Fordo, in ways that are highly likely very difficult to pull off, given the nature of the damage, and therefore need time. The IRGC, obviously, has the best ground access.
The IRGC, however, also has the an interest in misdirection and deception, in both public and private statements, given that they know they are owned — meaning any SIGINT here is perhaps not as reliable a source as it otherwise might be.
Israel highly likely has better ground access to sensitive sites than any U.S. intel agency. The IDF also has more skin in the game here. Therefore I would put most trust in Israeli intelligence assessments for now, for sure at this stage of the cycle. ynetnews.com/article/rk11qv…
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