After the US strike on Iran earlier this week, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and President Donald Trump agreed on a rapid end to the war in Gaza and expansion of the Abraham Accords. 1/4
Trump and Netanyahu agreed in their phone call that the war in Gaza would end within two weeks. Four Arab states, including the UAE and Egypt, would jointly govern the Gaza Strip in place of Hamas. The terror group's leaders will be exiled, and all hostages will be released. 2/4
They were joined on the "euphoric" call late Monday night by Marco Rubio and Ron Dermer.
Gazans who wish to emigrate would be absorbed by several unnamed countries. Saudi Arabia and Syria will establish diplomatic ties w Israel. Other Arab/Muslim countries will follow 3/4
Israel, for its part, will express its support for a future two-state solution, conditioned on reforms made by the Palestinian Authority. Meanwhile, the leaders agreed, Washington will recognize Israeli sovereignty in some parts of the West Bank. 4/4
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Israel has some significant achievements in its campaign against Iran's nuclear program.
But success depends on its ability to strike one site - Fordo.
And Israel can't take it out from the air on its own.
Here's where the campaign stands:🧵
1) On Monday, Netanyahu listed many of Israel's achievements since last Friday:
Israel has taken out Iran's military leadership, struck ballistic missiles and launcher sites, destroyed half of Iran's UAVs, killed 10 top nuclear scientists and gained air superiority in west Iran
2) Israel began the campaign by striking Iranian air defense systems to allow the air force to operate freely.
Also, as of Tuesday the IDF announced that it wiped out 40% of Iran's ballistic missile launchers, but Iran still has abt 1800 missiles.
Israel operation against Iran could take 2-3 weeks, but the timeframe depends on decisions made by the political echelon on the scope of the campaign, an Israeli official tells me. 🧵
“There’s a bank of military targets that we can complete pretty quickly,” says the official. “If they decide to expand it to more like government symbols, economical targets, all that, then it will take longer.” >>>
The complete destruction of the Iranian nuclear program is *not* the goal.
A tighter nuclear deal between Iran & Western powers is the goal, says the official.
Israel is aiming to “cause enough damage [to the nuclear program] to revert to diplomacy and get a good agreement.” >>
What you should know about the planned expanded Israeli ground operation in the Gaza Strip 🧵 --
The security cabinet last night unanimously approved a plan to “conquer Gaza” and hold on to the territory, an Israeli official said Monday morning. >>>
The official also said the cabinet approved a proposal to renew aid deliveries into Gaza while overhauling the mechanism in order to minimize diversion of the goods by Hamas to benefit its operatives >>>
A senior Israeli defense official says the IDF will launch Operation “Gideon’s Chariots,” if no hostage deal is reached the end of US President Donald Trump’s visit to the region next week. >>>
The Bibas family tells Netanyahu to 'shut up' after he details the murders of Shiri, Ariel and Kfir for the 2nd time this week, calling the publishing of unapproved information ‘abuse for its own sake.’ 🧵
- Netanyahu, speaking before the America Israel Public Action Committee on Tuesday, and while holding a picture at a military service on Sunday, graphically described the murder of the young Bibas boys.
- The Bibas family sent a cease and desist letter to Netanyahu's & other govt offices requesting they stop sharing details of Shiri, Ariel & Kfir's murder, acc to Ynet. Via the Hostages & Missing Families Forum on Saturday, the family requested media outlets stop adding details.
I just spoke to a senior Israeli official about what the next steps are in hostage release/ceasefire talks.
Here's what I can say - 🧵
Isr expects the release of the final 4 bodies from the 1st phase on Thursday.
Once that happens, Hamas has 3 options - 1) Accept Israel's demands - disarm, exile, give up rule - and move to the 2nd phase 2) Keep releasing hostages & maintain ceasefire 3) Go back to war
>>>
The official notes that the war will be different this time - a new defense minister, new chief of staff, and full backing from the White House >>>