William Huo Profile picture
Jun 27 10 tweets 2 min read Read on X
ASML’s days as an untouchable monopoly are numbered. China’s EUV breakthrough is real, and Western media is pretending it doesn’t exist. Here's what they're hiding.

ASML: Time To Cash Out (NASDAQ:ASML) | Seeking Alpha share.google/orxlDg2aeC4ktQ…
For years, ASML has been propped up as an untouchable monopoly. The only firm capable of making EUV machines. The crown jewel of the West’s semiconductor stack. (1/9)
But this myth only survives because no one in Western media wants to acknowledge the truth. China has developed its own EUV tech. It uses LDP. And yes, it's real. (2/9)
No one wants to cover it because ASML’s moat is their retirement plan. Journalists, analysts, and fund managers are all overexposed to one Dutch firm caught between China and Washington. (3/9)
Foundational chips don’t grab headlines. DUV systems don’t impress retail investors. But Chinese firms like SMEE, AMEC, and Naura have done the boring work. DUV machines are already in production. (4/9)
What spooked the Street wasn’t just the export ban. It was that Chinese fabs didn’t collapse. They adapted. They kept scaling. Their appetite for ASML’s bleeding-edge tools dried up. (5/9)
Barclays just downgraded ASML. China demand is down. High-NA units are barely moving. And now Seeking Alpha is talking about cashing out. The monopoly is looking fragile. (6/9)
ASML’s edge was never eternal. It relied on free access to U.S. optics, unlimited Chinese demand, and zero political interference. All three are now breaking. (7/9)
So the media plays dumb. Pretends SMEE doesn’t exist. Pretends LDP isn't viable. Pretends China can’t innovate. Because if they admit otherwise, the entire ASML myth collapses. (8/9)
Here’s the article that says it all without spelling it out:
“ASML: Time To Cash Out” via Seeking Alpha
(9/9)share.google/orxlDg2aeC4ktQ…

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More from @wmhuo168

Jun 27
Exhibit Q8: The Empire That Milton Built. Then Gutted.

America is in decline. But this wasn’t caused by China, or Russia, or immigration, or wokeism.

The culprit is Milton Friedman. And the class that turned his ideas into a wrecking ball. (1/17)

asia.nikkei.com/Opinion/The-re…
Friedman taught that the only social responsibility of business is to increase profits. From that seed grew a system that stripped America to its studs and sold the drywall to China. (2/17)
In this worldview, workers are costs. Communities are irrelevant. The nation-state is an afterthought. Only shareholders matter. If that means dismantling your own country for better margins, so be it. (3/17)
Read 17 tweets
Jun 27
Exhibit Q.2
Bloomberg says China’s industrial profits are sinking due to US tariffs and deflation. Once again, Western media mistakes a war footing for collapse. (1/10)

China’s Industrial Profits Sink on US Tariffs, Deflation Woes - Bloomberg share.google/NHqMFSelbItMS5…
China’s factories aren’t losing money because they’re inefficient. They’re losing money on purpose. This is margin warfare. Bloomberg won’t say that. (2/10)
A third of China’s industrial firms are running at a loss. But they’re not folding. They’re backed by local state support. The mission isn’t quarterly profit. It’s industrial control. (3/10)
Read 10 tweets
Jun 27
American AI doesn't stand a chance.

Not because of China’s models, but because our own labs answer to Wall Street instead of Washington.

Every American AI lab reports to a stock ticker.

That’s the difference. RAND just showed us what a national AI strategy actually looks like. It’s time to name the problem. Thread 🧵

(1/9)
You want public AI infrastructure? Good luck getting that from Nvidia, Google, or OpenAI.

Their goal isn’t national resilience. It’s quarterly returns. They serve shareholders, not the public. (2/9)
Read 10 tweets
Jun 27
China wants to be the global AI superpower by 2030.

Unlike the West, it's not waiting on OpenAI or Nvidia to hand it over. China is using full-spectrum industrial policy to dominate the entire stack. From fabs to foundation models. Image
RAND just mapped it out. Thread 🧵

(1/9)
Forget the Silicon Valley myth. China’s strategy is not emergent or chaotic. It’s orchestrated.

National funds, provincial grants, compute vouchers, startup parks. Every layer of the AI stack is mapped, funded, and controlled. (2/9)
Read 10 tweets
Jun 27
Millions of qubits? Cryogenic chip breakthrough? Western media hypes Australia. But China already runs 1,000+ qubits under cryo.

They won’t say it. We will.

Millions of qubits on a single chip now possible after cryogenic breakthrough | Live Science share.google/perzUTD5Y8bf9H…
Exhibit Q: #001 – Cryo Control but No China? 🧵

(1/9)
Live Science headline:
"Millions of qubits now possible after cryogenic breakthrough."
Not a single mention of China. No context. No acknowledgment that China already achieved what the West claims is just around the corner.

(2/9)
Read 10 tweets
Jun 27
China just handed Trump a “deal” that’s barely a truce. Here’s what really happened, and why Beijing’s not playing to help him win. 🧵

US, China Have Finalized Tariff Understanding, Commerce's Lutnick Says - Bloomberg share.google/Pwg0WTEHoEHk4T…
Trump got a handshake. Xi kept the steering wheel. (1/10)
The “rare earth export restart” is a drip, not a flow. China kept the licensing system intact. Each shipment will crawl through red tape. (2/10)
Read 11 tweets

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