William Huo Profile picture
Jun 27 10 tweets 2 min read Read on X
ASML’s days as an untouchable monopoly are numbered. China’s EUV breakthrough is real, and Western media is pretending it doesn’t exist. Here's what they're hiding.

ASML: Time To Cash Out (NASDAQ:ASML) | Seeking Alpha share.google/orxlDg2aeC4ktQ…
For years, ASML has been propped up as an untouchable monopoly. The only firm capable of making EUV machines. The crown jewel of the West’s semiconductor stack. (1/9)
But this myth only survives because no one in Western media wants to acknowledge the truth. China has developed its own EUV tech. It uses LDP. And yes, it's real. (2/9)
No one wants to cover it because ASML’s moat is their retirement plan. Journalists, analysts, and fund managers are all overexposed to one Dutch firm caught between China and Washington. (3/9)
Foundational chips don’t grab headlines. DUV systems don’t impress retail investors. But Chinese firms like SMEE, AMEC, and Naura have done the boring work. DUV machines are already in production. (4/9)
What spooked the Street wasn’t just the export ban. It was that Chinese fabs didn’t collapse. They adapted. They kept scaling. Their appetite for ASML’s bleeding-edge tools dried up. (5/9)
Barclays just downgraded ASML. China demand is down. High-NA units are barely moving. And now Seeking Alpha is talking about cashing out. The monopoly is looking fragile. (6/9)
ASML’s edge was never eternal. It relied on free access to U.S. optics, unlimited Chinese demand, and zero political interference. All three are now breaking. (7/9)
So the media plays dumb. Pretends SMEE doesn’t exist. Pretends LDP isn't viable. Pretends China can’t innovate. Because if they admit otherwise, the entire ASML myth collapses. (8/9)
Here’s the article that says it all without spelling it out:
“ASML: Time To Cash Out” via Seeking Alpha
(9/9)share.google/orxlDg2aeC4ktQ…

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More from @wmhuo168

Jun 28
If you want to know which countries are next in line for "democratization" by coup, don't look at voting records. Look at who's signing Chinese high-speed rail deals. There's a pattern. 🧵

cfr.org/article/coup-c…
Thailand. Chinese rail from Laos into Bangkok? Greenlit. Construction underway. Suddenly: reformist chaos, military coup rumors, and a US embassy the size of a football stadium in the capital. That’s not a coincidence. That’s a red flag with a QR code. (1/14)
Myanmar. China signs off on the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor. Includes rail, ports, and pipelines. Within months: a coup, Western outrage, sanctions, and NED-backed opposition flooding the airwaves. Same script. Different cast. (2/14)
Read 15 tweets
Jun 28
Why isn’t AGI a “thing” in China, despite its deep AI integration?
Because AGI is mostly a Silicon Valley fiction. A hype vehicle. China doesn’t play that game. It builds systems.🧵

wired.com/story/openai-f…
AGI in the West is a marketing stunt.
OpenAI’s so-called AGI clause exists to reshuffle power with Microsoft. China doesn’t chase ghosts. It builds infrastructure. (1/9)
Silicon Valley treats AGI like prophecy.
It’s the Second Coming of Intelligence. China doesn't believe in singularity cults. It believes in material outcomes. (2/9)
Read 10 tweets
Jun 28
Huawei and China Telecom just launched a 5G-A uplink tech that puts the U.S. telecom system to shame. What they built in China can't be replicated in America. Not now. Maybe not ever. 🧵

(1/13)

China Telecom, Huawei debut 5G-A uplink tech share.google/x0fJ1pKHzU91gz…
This isn’t just a product launch. It’s the result of a system that still functions. One that builds instead of debates. Huawei’s uplink tech is faster, leaner, and more future-proof than anything deployed in the U.S. (2/13)
China treated 5G like NASA treated the Moon landing. A national mission. Huawei didn’t wait for a market signal. It built what the country needed. (3/13)
Read 13 tweets
Jun 28
Huawei isn’t quietly letting Google back in. It’s doing the opposite. HarmonyOS sideloading is for China’s devs, not YouTube addicts. No APKs. No GMS. No backdoor. 🧵

HarmonyOS PCs will support apps sideloading in future, says Huawei - Huawei Central share.google/c3Y0Ufu4KRIrXq…
Huawei says sideloading is coming to HarmonyOS PCs. Western pundits jumped to the same fantasy: maybe it’s a stealthy way to bring back YouTube or Gmail. It’s not. (1/11)
HarmonyOS NEXT doesn’t run Android. It doesn’t support APKs. It doesn’t include Google Mobile Services. Even if you sideload an app, it’ll either crash or fail silently. (2/11)
Read 12 tweets
Jun 28
Goldman Sachs finally said it: Tariffs won’t save American manufacturing. The factories aren’t coming back. The jobs aren’t coming back. Your Rust Belt revival fantasy? Stillborn.

Machines will make America great again. Not people.🧵

fortune.com/2025/06/28/gol…
Tariffs are political theater. You use them when you've run out of ideas but still want to look “tough on China.”

Goldman doesn’t buy it. Import taxes don’t offset offshore cost advantages. They just raise prices and tank earnings. (1/14)
The real lever is automation. Goldman’s bet is on robots, code, and machines that never call in sick.

You don’t need welders. You need autonomous forklifts and vision models on the line. (2/14)
Read 15 tweets
Jun 28
China doesn’t slap noisy tariffs on Nvidia. It just quietly shuts the door, builds its own chip, and leaves the world wondering when it happened.

China debuts new generation of self-developed, fully controllable server processor chips - Global Times share.google/rOVkKNMz6Kbv5l…
The world hasn’t seen a civilizational divorce like this since China invented paper and gunpowder.
This isn’t just a trade war. It’s the collapse of technological trust between two empires. A thread:🧵
China once gave the world the tools of civilization: paper, the compass, printing, and gunpowder. The West ran with them. What followed was 500 years of Western dominance. (1/15)
Read 17 tweets

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