I've got a lot of notifications today with people (could well be bots tbh) losing their minds over a fun wee video on a small tactical difference I've noticed of Pep Guardiola recently so I thought I'd add some context to the idea for fun
1. Correct: doing this with your full-backs is not new. Yes I have seen Liverpool do it before. No, Guardiola did not invent it. Also, Gary Neville and Dennis Irwin were doing this in the 90s. Also, Brazil were doing this in the 70s. etc
2. In Guardiola's first City team he brought in attacking full-backs so he could do something this at times. And again, I am aware it's not new 😂
3. This genuinely is something a little different from City, which they started doing last season, O'Reilly holding width (or underlapping) and Marmoush as a winger but also a central forward and attacking midfielder. But Alvarez did something similar before that too
4. Just because they've done it once doesn't mean that is suddenly the only thing they're going to do. Sometimes the LB will go inside and attack like a forward - Gvardiol did it last season. Cucurella does it lots for Chelsea. Dani Alves did it at Barcelona.
5. You can't really drag and drop the same tactics into each game. You can have principles that are the same, but every game is different. And every manager has their own ideas how to combat the opposition tactics, so things evolve pre/mid/post game to deal with that
6. Guardiola is the most influential manager in world football, to the extent that he has changed how football coaches at kids level run fun sessions, or how amateur 11aside or 5aside teams play. I've seen it happen in England and Scotland, it's a good thing
7. Therefore, when he starts doing something different to what he's usually done, and looks to be adding a new way of playing to his deck, it's worth looking at and talking about.
Which brings me to
8. To grab attention in short form video you need to hook people in immediately and there are ways that work better than others. Videos are meant to be entertaining (that's how I view them) so if I can tell a wee story in under 60 seconds (which limits how much info you include)
8.1 ... then that's what I try and do. I like to entertain. But dear reader/viewer: none of it matters. If I had 30 minutes to explain all of the moving parts and to describe the many reasons it could or couldn't be this or that, people wouldn't watch, it's boring
9. I have no idea why everyone is so aggressive all the time to each other but it really doesn't matter that much who moved a full-back higher up first. Guardiola influences others, if he's doing something slightly different to his usual, it's worth going 'oh I wonder why'
10. The way people consume football analysis is very different now to when I joined in 11 years ago. Articles with screengrabs didn't really exist, there were no youtube tactics board people. It is nice that these things exist now.
11. Some people go too far with it and spot things that just aren't real. Some go into overly meticulous detail on things that are just 'this player runs fast' or 'this player passes good'. Some get it wrong.
But lots more add really interesting points, new ways of thinking...
11.1 ... and spot things that I wouldn't spot. I like that, even if the lyrics to 'Losing My Edge' have grown louder and gotten closer the longer I've been trying to have fun doing analysis of games.
And those who I don't agree with, I don't feel the need to attack
12. At least they're making something and contributing to the world. Good for them. It's very easy to criticise though, and we have all fallen for that in the past.
But in terms of tactics stuff: chill out. Guardiola's full-backs aren't doing what he was doing 2 years ago
13. and finally, enjoy all the videos and articles and substacks and people who have gotten really good at analysing tactics. There are too many on here to list that I like. But it isn't a battle.
Now, I'm off to make up some amazing songs about Guti and Gabriel Batistuta
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Really enjoying all of the lovely tactics in the Arsenal v Newcastle game. I think Mr Howe might just have come up with a very very smart way of playing against Mikel Arteta's team. Gonna try and offer some observations since I'm in work mode
🧵
We know how Arsenal play, we know they tend to work in these yellow areas and mostly leave the middle empty. So Newcastle are in a basic 541 OOP shape in their half. And that means...
They can do this kinda hybrid zonal then man marking system so that everyone is covered. And if Arsenal players go beyond the midfield line, they cover the passing lanes really well so they can't really get forward
🔎 Just rewatching the Scotland game from last night to try and properly analyse (without 7 pints in me) what on earth happened and you can see basically everything wrong with how the players performed and how Steve Clarke set them up in the opening 55 seconds (thread)
Germany kick off, send players forward, Scotland defenders are understandably nervous and just hoof the thing clear. Adams is out of position and doesn't compete for the hoofed ball cos he's 20 yards away near the wing and then Germany settle on the ball, and you see this:
Nagelsmann knew Scotland were gonna be in 541 with a narrow midfield, so he has forwards ready to run wide and his full-backs positioned to tempt the Scotland wing-backs onto them, which will leave the space behind/wide for forwards...
Absolutely great seeing an Aberdeen team that can press collectively, has players in position to counter-press, actually tries to do that against Celtic, and when they win the ball doesn’t immediately shell it up the channel. This is what a well coached team looks like 😍😍😍
It’s sooo good 😭. Non-Aberdeen/Scottish football fans might not understand this, but Dons just went from a smart compact 433 in their own half, getting a man extra in wide areas, Celtic have no options, the ball has to go back. Abdn then squeeze up, Clarkson bites…
… the ball has to go back, the team shifts up and then Joe Hart decides to clear the ball long cos of the pressure… and Aberdeen have the ball. I’m not joking when I say I have never ever seen this very simple out of possession approach before in a game against Celtic 😂
Aberdeen were absolutely brilliant in the first half of the Charlton pre-season friendly on Saturday so I am v surprised to see quite a few absolutely dreadful takes on it, the squad building, and other such items so here comes a small thread of pointless analysis
1st: it’s a friendly in preseason so the result DOESNT MATTER AT ALL. What does matter is building fitness, seeing training ground work executed on the pitch so you can check what’s good and what needs tweaked, and players getting used to their roles and instructions
2nd: despite the great but meaningless result (3-2 win) we saw soooo much great stuff in the first half.
Biggest takeaway for me is the changing team shape and how well coached we look in transition - and especially how well we defended deep and high
Aberdeen's Expected Goals Against number this season is incredible. They are the worst in the league by an absolute mile, should/could have conceded roughly 12 goals more than they actually have. Points towards either a badly coached team, poor tactics, or incredibly bad players
Transitioning from a 'sit deep and punt the ball into space' model to a high press, high line attacking possession team is very difficult, particularly with the budget that a club like Aberdeen has. But the system(s) is/are leaving the defence wide open. And the thing is...
... Stephen Glass, who was hounded out the club cos the team could not kick a jelly bean, is the opposite. It's a full season tbf but there's Aberdeen with 4th best xGA... and the numbers show they underperformed! That points to bad luck and mistakes being made, or a bad goalie
Already seeing one of the big problems present in Argentina's defeat to Saudi Arabia. In buildup they're leaving this circle below vacant, so the CBs passes out from the back are really easy to predict and Mexico can step up on them in a high press
This means it's really really easy to press them and stop them progressing through lines. Feel like I've seen it many times before because Aberdeen used to have this problem (lol) for years and were reduced to playing channel balls or shelling it to a big man
Very easy to be a sofa manager here, but if the build up shape was more like the below with the movements on dotted lines...