🚨JUST IN: Senate Republicans have released the updated draft of the One Big Beautiful Bill — Trump’s 1,000-page megabill — with just DAYS left before the July 4 deadline.
Here’s what changed, what got cut, and why this is the linchpin of Trump’s second-term agenda
🧵
2/ The bill is designed to pass via budget reconciliation — which means no filibuster, just 51 votes needed.
But Senate parliamentarian Elizabeth MacDonough ruled several provisions out of bounds, triggering an urgent rewrite to keep Trump’s legislative agenda on track.
3/ 🧾 KEY CHANGES:
✅ SALT cap raised to $40K through 2029 (phasing out after $500K income)
✅ $25K tip tax exemption (House wanted no cap)
✅ EV tax credits END
✅ Auto loan interest now tax-deductible (up to $10K for U.S.-built cars)
4/ 🔋 ENERGY:
The Senate bill:
• Accelerates end of clean energy tax credits
• Kills hydrogen subsidies by 2028
• Blocks new EV incentives
• Eliminates fines for not meeting Biden’s “fuel economy” edicts
Senate Republicans included full repeal of the $200 tax stamp on:
• Suppressors
• Short-barrel rifles
This is the biggest rollback of gun-related taxation in decades — and it passed the Byrd Rule test.
6/ 🏥 RURAL HEALTH & MEDICAID:
Rural hospitals get $25B
Medicaid “provider tax” loophole phased out from 6% → 3.5% by 2032
BUT the parliamentarian stripped out the bans on Medicare for illegals, & taxpayer-funded gender surgeries.
7/ ⚠️ HIGH-STAKES VOTE:
Sen. John Kennedy (R-LA): “We vote Saturday. If you don’t like it, fill out a hurt feelings report.”
GOP needs near-perfect unity to pass this with their razor-thin Senate majority.
Deadline: July 4. Debt ceiling breach: August.
8/ 🚫 FILIBUSTER RULES:
The Byrd Rule blocked:
• State enforcement of immigration law
• Federal workforce cuts
• Repeal of Biden green slush funds
• Fed employee pay caps
Some want to overrule the parliamentarian. Thune says no. For now.
9/ ⚖️ HOUSE vs. SENATE:
Both chambers MUST pass identical text.
Options:
• Senate passes House version (unlikely)
• House accepts Senate version (possible)
• Conference committee (likely)
Speaker Johnson says they’ll stay in D.C. until this is on Trump’s desk.
10/ 🇺🇸 WHY IT MATTERS:
This isn’t just a budget bill. It’s the foundation for:
• Tax reform
• Border enforcement
• Energy independence
• Federal agency cuts
• Trump’s second-term strategy
The next week will determine whether it succeeds — or stalls.
11/ 🔥 GOP UNITY IS THE BALLGAME:
This bill rises or falls on Republican solidarity.
Will moderates cave on Medicaid cuts?
Will conservatives hold the line on SALT and spending?
Or will McConnell’s old sabotage games return?
12/ 📅 TIMELINE:
✅ June 27: Senate releases revised text
🗳️ June 29 (Sat): Tentative Senate floor vote
🎆 July 4: GOP target for full passage
🧾 August: Debt ceiling crisis if bill fails
The clock is ticking.
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🧵Democrats still cite Sweden as proof socialism works.
They’re lying.
The real Sweden survived by rejecting socialism — abolishing wealth taxes, protecting capital, expanding school choice, and becoming one of the world’s great startup nations.
Here’s the story they hope you never hear. 🧵
2/ By 1990, Sweden was a warning, not a model.
Bloated government. Banking collapse. Currency crisis. Public debt nearing 80% of GDP.
Socialism had run out of other people’s money.
Sweden hit the wall — then chose to change course instead of digging deeper.
3/ The reset was serious and bipartisan.
The 1991–94 center-right government began it. Social Democrats continued the reforms.
Together they made the central bank independent, imposed real spending ceilings, reformed pensions into a sustainable system, and created nationwide school vouchers.
Even the left admitted the old model was killing the country.
🧵Justice Clarence Thomas just explained why Progressivism is collapsing — and why the only fight that now matters is what will replace it.
One of the rare speeches that's truly important.
This thread breaks it down. 🧵
2/ The core message: Progressivism is dying because it is fundamentally opposed to the American idea.
The Declaration of Independence did not create government. It stated its purpose: to protect God-given inalienable rights that all individuals equally possess.
Those ideas were powerful enough to end slavery and segregation. They cannot coexist forever with Progressivism.
3/ At the beginning of the 20th century, a foreign set of principles entered American life.
Woodrow Wilson and the Progressives imported them from Otto von Bismarck’s Germany — a centralized system Wilson openly admired and called “nearly perfected.”
To Wilson, inalienable rights were “a lot of nonsense.”
He redefined liberty as whatever the government decides the people need.
🧵 Xi Jinping just invoked the Thucydides Trap with Trump.
Most assume this is a threat. But what if Xi is signaling something else — that he recognizes China is now in a weakened position against the United States and thus needs to avoid a war?
The historical record and current realities both suggest he has reason to worry.
Thread 🧵
2/ So what is "Thucydides Trap"?
Graham Allison documented 16 cases of rising powers challenging established ones.
Four ended in peace. But in the twelve that led to war, the established power defeated the rising power 7-5.
If Xi knows this history, he understands the odds are stacked against China — especially right now.
3/ China faces severe structural weaknesses.
Its economy depends heavily on exports to the U.S. market, and imported energy through straits it can't control.
Its demographic collapse is roughly a decade from becoming catastrophic.
Constant leadership purges reveal a brittle regime.
These are not the conditions of a confident rising power.
Centrally planned climate targets have delivered higher energy costs, industrial decline, and political revolt instead of the promised green utopia.
While Europe stagnates under mandates, America shows what market-driven progress looks like.
Thread 🧵
2/ Electricity in Europe now costs two to three times more than in the U.S. or China.
Taxes make up nearly a quarter of the bill. Binding net-zero rules, nuclear phase-outs, and unreliable renewables have created volatility and strangled industry.
Energy can be 30% of production costs. The result: deindustrialization.
3/ The auto sector reveals the damage.
It represents 7% of EU GDP and 14 million jobs. The 2035 combustion engine ban is forcing a rushed EV shift.
86,000 jobs lost since 2020. Up to 350,000 more at risk. Mercedes CEO warned they’re driving “full speed into a wall.”