The Missing Data Depot Profile picture
Jul 1, 2025 2 tweets 1 min read Read on X
Feminists have been more supportive of "trans rights" than others.

E.g. In 2022, self-described feminists were ~30-points more favorable toward “allowing trans high school athletes to compete on teams that match the gender they identify with” than non-feminists. Image
The relationship b/w feminism & pro-trans sports attitudes is not simply the result of feminists being more liberal, Democratic, younger, secular or educated. Feminist self-identification is a strong predictor of even after controlling for all of these factors. Image

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More from @data_depot

Sep 1, 2024
"The active-duty Army stands at 445,000 soldiers, 41,000 fewer than in 2021 & the smallest it has been since 1940."

Why? There are a number of important factors left out of this Vox explanation.

A thread.
The military faces a recruitment crisis b/c fewer young people feel positively about the military. E.g. Since 2002, the % of young Democrats saying the military does a "good job" for the country has fallen from 84% to 39%. Image
Military families have soured on the military.

The % of military family members who would recommend service to their children dropped from 55% in 2016 to 32% in 2023. Image
Read 4 tweets
Jul 30, 2023
Blacks have worse jobs, income & housing than Whites.

White libs & blacks believe "racist policies & practices" explain this.

White cons reject this explanation. They also, however, reject "culture" & "biology" as explanations. So there's no theory they endorse.

A data thread:
To what extent is racial inequality due to "cultural differences"?

Despite being polarized on most other racial issues, white liberals & white conservatives agree (w/ 25% of both groups saying “a great deal" or "a lot").

By contrast, 43% of blacks say "a great deal" or "a lot." Image
There are also no meaningful differences b/w white libs & white cons on the role that "biological differences" play.

16% of white liberals & 10% of white conservatives say biology matters "a great deal" or "a lot."

By contrast, 35% of blacks say "a great deal" or "a lot." Image
Read 4 tweets
Feb 17, 2023
Is the "Great Awokening" over? There's been a flood of data on this question in the last 2 months. Almost all of it suggests that while we've passed "peak wokeness," we are far more "woke" than we ever were before.

This thread summarizes everything we know so far:
New organizations are now discussing race & racism far less than they did in 2020 but far more than they did in 2010.
There are fewer attempts to sanction controversial scholars now than two years ago but the number of sanctioned speakers is still 4x what it was in 2012.
Read 9 tweets
Dec 26, 2022
Feminism is declining among all women except white liberals. In 2015, 80% of white lib. women identified as a “strong feminist”/“feminist.” In 2022, 81% did.

The % of white cons., black & Hispanic women identifying as a “strong feminist”/“feminist” fell ~26% b/w 2015 & 2022. Image
3 points:

#1: I present only subgroups with N>100 (so no Asians, no lib/con for nonwhites). This is standard. Smaller samples have MOE that are too large. E.g. there are 24 black cons women & 63 Asians in the 2022 ANES. Would be great to see ideo w/in all races but not possible.
#2: MOE’s for these estimates are ~8%. (discussion: pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016…) (easy calc to help: surveymonkey.com/mp/margin-of-e…).

MOE's most relevant for comparing subgroup %’s to each other (e.g. white libs vs. blacks) but less so for change over time (the focus of the graph). Image
Read 4 tweets
Aug 2, 2022
Affirmative action is unpopular. Despite this, Google, Meta & Apple have filed a brief w/ the Supreme Court in favor of using racial preferences in college admissions. Sadly, their argument rests on the same, misappropriated social science I covered here:
The pro-affirmative action argument presented in the brief relies heavily on 9 peer reviewed studies. It uses these to claim, “Empirical studies confirm diverse groups make better decisions thanks to increased creativity, sharing of ideas & accuracy."
supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/20/2…
The claim that "diverse groups make better decisions thanks to increased...accuracy" is sourced to Levine et al.’s experiment involving anonymous fake stock trades among college students. I covered the problems w/ generalizing from this work here:
Read 6 tweets
Jun 29, 2022
My new Substack post (entitled “Cherry-Picking in the Endless Orchard of Diversity Studies”) is now up:
themissingdatadepot.substack.com/p/cherry-picki…
The post examines how the Navy is attempting to make a case for expanded DEI initiatives using highly selective references to social science research.
The Navy’s “Task Force One Navy” report attempts to build a case for more aggressive diversity & inclusion efforts in the military by suggesting “diverse teams are 58% more likely to accurately assess a situation &…35% more likely to outperform their non-diverse counterparts.”
What’s the evidence for this claim? The TF1N cites only two studies: a non-peer-reviewed report based on proprietary data by McKinsey & a 2014 peer-reviewed study by Levine et al. entitled “Ethnic Diversity Deflates Price Bubbles.”
mckinsey.com/~/media/mckins…

pnas.org/content/111/52…
Read 19 tweets

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