Thread by @Alex_Oloyede2

‼️🇷🇺🇦🇿 Rising tensions between the Russian Federation and Azerbaijan.

Baku trying to stand up against Moscow in a show of justified resistance or just being a foolish proxy like those before it. Here's my detailed analysis on the situation.

🧵1/10

Relations between Russia and Azerbaijan has undoubtedly been shaky in recent years.

The recent rift according to Azeri media, was provoked by the massive crackdown of the Russian FSB on the Azeri citizens in Yekaterinburg, claiming Russia was targeting it's population.

2/10

But that opinion is far from reality.

What truly occured in Yekaterinburg was a raid on the Azeri drug mafia who originally were under investigation for 20yrs+ murder case.

During the raid 2 were said to have died from health issues.

3/10

In response Azerbaijan cancelled all Russian cultural events in the country and issued that Russian-language schools be stopped immediately.

Baku then launched its own raid operations arresting Russian journalists and IT specialists on alleged charges of "espionage".

4/10

An unfounded level of aggression by Baku over a simple FSB raid... Or is there more to it?

Baku seems very distressed.

The operation taken over by the FSB wasn't just a crackdown on migrants, it was linked to foreign NGOs in the country and newly discovered spy rings.

5/10

Into the crackdown of the Azeri mafias it was found out that they were tied to sabotage operations against the Russian Federation.

While still under speculations there's a strong case to believe Azerbaijan took part in the attack on Russia's Nuclear capable bombers

6/10

Back in early June, the Ukrainian SBU carried out operation "spider web", while 25% of it's targeted goal, it was still successful in damaging 12 bombers.

The SBU, a low tier agency known for IED bombing didn't do this alone. The CIA, MI6 and now Azerbaijan were involved.

7/10

How are we to believe the SBU planned and operation so huge independently for 1½ yrs? How did they get into the country with such a tight western border?

Well, look no further than the southern border in the Caucasus region. A state harbouring new hatred for Russia.

8/10

The recent FSB crackdown initially thought to be a migrant raid has transformed into a counterintel raid on spy rings and their affiliates.

Just yesterday, the head of the Azerbaijani diaspora in the Urals, Shahin Shikhlinsky was detained.

9/10

Multiple others have been detained in mass on charges from illegal migration to drug trafficking to espionage.

If found guilty, Azerbaijan is about to face serious consequences.

10/10

Letting your country to be a staging ground to attack not only Russia but Iran in thesame month isn't a great look.

Aliyev better have a good excuse or he's about to find out. Azerbaijan playing proxy? Turkey won't save you.

From my personal opinion this is a new front to drag both Russia and Iran into by the west. It's just never ending provocations after provocations.

I can just hear them in Brussels maniacally laughing. What's your speculation? Add them below and I'd try reading it all.

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https://x.com/Alex_Oloyede2/status/1940495804646805758?t=hGt_ezfiKaGDvAKONkjXtQ&s=19

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Now let me go get something to eat it's 11pm, I'm starving.😇

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