Kanan Bahl Profile picture
Jul 5 20 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Jane Street made ₹43,289 CRORES from Index Options in ~2 yrs by manipulating markets

And retail investors lost ₹1.31 LAKH CRORES in F&O from FY22-24

I read the 105-page SEBI order so you don't have to

Simplified for you to understand how they pumped & dumped the INDEX🧵👇
[1] About Jane Street

It is a New York-based quant-trading firm that operates in India through a web of entities.

In SEBI's interim order, they've been accused of manipulating markets and profiting, worth ₹36,502 crores, largely at the expense of retail investors. Image
[2] Understanding markets in India

Crores of retail investors from remotest of towns try their luck in F&O

So much that if cash segment traded value of Bank Nifty Index shares is "X" Cr.

The relative size of BANK NIFTY options cash equivalent traded is "353 X" Cr. Image
[3] Why do people dabble in F&O?

If you think stock X will rise from ₹100 to ₹110, here's how much you need to invest while buying stock:

a) In cash: ₹100
b) In futures*: ₹20
b) Using call option*: ₹1

*Over-simplified. Capital in F&O may require more investment at times
The payoff may be the same in all cases if stock X rises from ₹100 to ₹110 in a quick time.

People want to get rich quick. So with whatever little capital they have, they prefer dabbling in F&O.
[4] Manipulation method

A trader with huge cash can buy/sell stocks and build opposite positions in derivatives

After pumping shares, a trader can buy puts (downside bets) when they get cheap

And then dump shares in cash & profit from puts

Jane Street did this at scale👇
[5] Strategy called "Intra Day Index Manipulation Strategy"

January 17, 2024:

It is one of those days when Jane Street made ₹734.93 crores of profits across BANK NIFTY options.

Here's how they did this👇
[6] Phase 1

Jane Street had massive cash to manipulate stock values.

They bought BANK NIFTY constituent shares worth ₹1,852 crores within ~2 hrs of mkt opening.

As much as 25% of all value of a company's shares (INDUSINDBK) bought during this time was by them. Image
Similar pattern was observed in the futures market, where they purchased long positions on all BANK NIFTY index constituent shares.

They bought as much as 37.93% of HDFC Bank’s all future-long value quantity purchased during this period.
They were the biggest buyers of these stocks during that time.

By a BIG MARGIN! Image
[7] Phase 2: Buying very large short positions through index options

As share prices rise, calls become expensive and puts cheaper.

The group bought puts and wrote calls to build huge short positions worth ₹8,751 crores, i.e., 15x cash position in cash & futures.
[8] Phase 3: Dumping in shares in the afternoon

The dumping quantities as a percentage of total market SELL quantities were also very high.

Values were as high as 25%. Just like buying value volumes. Image
The stock prices and thus the Bank NIFTY Index, plummeted enough to make Jane Street Group huge profits.

They made a net profit of ₹673.33 crores IN A SINGLE DAY! Image
Image
[9] “Extended Marking The Close” Strategy

In this strategy, Jane Street Group did nothing during the day.

But closer to market closing, they aggressively sold/bought index constituent shares in huge quantities.
On July 25th, 2024, an expiry day, they sold aggressively.

In 3 days, they made ₹560 crores from index options using this strategy. Image
[10] Thick-skinned

Even after receiving notices from NSE and agreeing to comply with not deploying such manipulative methods, Jane Street continued such tactics.

They last deployed similar strategies as recently as May 15th, 2025.
[11] SEBI Order

While SEBI has tested only for 21 trading days with maximum profits. For those days, they’ve ordered impounding of ₹4,843.58 crores.

Investigation of more days may lead to more impounding. However, what if Jane Street remits back all its assets from India?
Definitely a great move in making markets more efficient.

From FY22-24, individual traders lost ₹1,31,904 crores (gross) in the F&O segment.

Jane Street, through its manipulation, did play a big role.

Kudos to Mr. Ananth Narayan G. sir, a WTM of SEBi for passing this order.
I've been strongly voicing my opinion against F&O and how the system is not in favour of the retail traders making a profit.

Not just through market manipulation but otherwise also.

This won't be just limited to Jane Steet. @flyingbird308 yesterday highlighted this.
Like the content?

Follow me (@BahlKanan) for more on personal finance and investing.

I pulled off an all-nighter to read the order and prepare this content for you.

Kindly retweet the first tweet so that people know what happened:

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More from @BahlKanan

Apr 8
There are at least ₹1 lakh crore+ worth of unclaimed shares with IEPF.

After death, nominees don't know what their loved ones held.

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Here's a step-wise detailed breakdown on all you need to know🧵👇
[1] Problem of unclaimed assets

This problem has only been growing.

People die and their loved ones never get to know if such shares/mutual fund (MF) units existed.

While there have been many steps that the SEBI has taken in the past, let's talk about this recent change👇
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Consolidated Account Statement (CAS) is generated by a depository, say CDSL, that tells you which MFs and shares you

I discovered MFs worth ₹60,000 that I had purchased during my articleship.

Now, you can update your CAS on DigiLocker. How:
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The new capital gains tax method is beneficial only if your property price increased by >10% p.a. in last 14 yrs.

As per RBI's Housing Price Index, only 2 of 8 major cities saw this growth.

Lakhs of homebuyers were stuck with delayed projects in this period. Unfair for them! Image
Source: RBI Data Image
@VishalBhargava5
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Mutual Fund Sahi Hai!✅

Par kaunsa sahi hai?🤔

Scientific way of analysing 2,000+ equity mutual fund schemes to hold for long-term. [A thread…🧵👇]
[1] Past Returns?

Absolutely, not. We analysed data from the past 10 years.

Mutual funds that get the maximum return in 3 years hardly even remain in the top 100 performers in the subsequent years.

Then how do we analyse mutual funds? These 5 parameters on👇
[2] Sharpe Ratio

It means how much your MF made over risk-free rate for each unit of volatility (std dev.) or, say, risk taken.

We assume in equity risk to be more than risk-free rate (say govt bond/FD).

Don't invest in a fund that generates 1% over Rf for 5 units of std dev Image
Read 10 tweets
Jan 22, 2024
I used to agree with arguments like: "Why a temple/statue, and not a school/factory?"

But I dug deeper to find that the Ayodhya Ram Temple🚩 will generate at least ₹4,00,000 Crores every year🤯

Here's how India🇮🇳 stands to benefit from the Ram Mandir [A thread🧵👇] Image
[1] At least 1 Lakh tourists daily

UP govt is expecting at least 1 Lakh tourists everyday and 2 Cr tourists within next 6 months.

Jefferies estimates that Ayodhya will see 5-10 Cr tourists each yr

But a lot of infra work is needed. Here's what the CG and UP Govt are doing👇 Image
[2] The Ayodhya Airport

Phase 1 of the airport has become operational. Capacity: 10 Lakh passengers. Cost: ₹1,450 Cr

Direct flights from DEL, BLR, KOL & MUM have begun

Additional domestic capacity and international terminal is expected by 2025 to handle 60 Lakh passengers Image
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Dec 28, 2023
Insurance regulator IRDAI’s Annual Report 2022-23 was released yesterday. It has some great insights about:
🔸Cases of mis-selling reported
🔸Insurance sector's growth etc

Some extremely interesting insights. A thread🧵👇

Do re-tweet to educate more investors Image
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Premiums de-grew/grew at abysmally low rates (YoY) across the world due to macro concerns and inflation

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India is the 10th largest insurance market and is projected to get to 6th by 2032 Image
[2] Share of premiums volume

While advanced markets have a 61.07% share of non-life insurance, India has just 24.4%.

This indicates the scope of untapped growth in non-life insurance in India Image
Read 12 tweets
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Dream 11's ₹40,000 Cr GST tax demand is the biggest in the history of GST🔻

On what grounds is the tax department doing it?

Is the government to be blamed?🤔

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A thread on the entire matter🧵👇
[1] Year 2021: GST Department speaks to the industry

Say, if the users pool-in ₹100 and the gaming company distributes ₹95 as winnings, ₹5 is the Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR).

Gaming companies used to pay GST at 18% on ₹5 [18% of ₹5 is GST of ₹0.9].

Contd👇
This first came to the GST department's notice in 2021.

They told the Gaming industry to prospectively charge 28% on the entire value of ₹100 collected.

[GST of ₹28. A massive increase of 3,111.11%+]
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