🇦🇺Craig Tindale Profile picture
Jul 20 6 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Welcome to the terminal stage of consumer capitalism, where the core engine , waged labor in exchange for production, consumption, and taxation

It is breaking down due to the automation of human toil.

And without toil, there is no wage, no mass consumption, and no broad-based taxation to fund the state or support debt service.

No mortgages

The collapse of the wage-consumption-tax loop that sustained the post-WWII model of growth. Gone

As AI and robotics replace labor across white- and blue-collar domains, we’re entering a world where:

•Human labor is no longer needed at scale.

•Wage income collapses, especially for the middle class.

•Consumption shrinks, not because needs vanish, but because purchasing power does.

•Tax receipts implode, as governments lose the broad base they once taxed to fund infrastructure, services, and welfare.

•Debt systems default, as people can no longer service mortgages or personal loans—because income no longer flows predictably.

Asset prices collapse

The end of industrial-era capitalism and the beginning of something else. But what replaces it?

And what do humans do once they fully realise the implications ?

Because this period we are in —— is the calm before the storm
1. Resilient Thriftiness: The Return of Autarky

Yes—one likely response is a return to localized, small-scale resilience. The ability to:
•Grow your own food.
•Generate your own power.
•Fix, build, and repurpose instead of buy.
•Form mutual aid communities not governed by money but by reciprocity and necessity. Shelter in exchange for work

It’s not so much regression as it is adaptive re-localization. You’re not going back to the past, you’re reactivating dormant capacities in a high-tech context but humans have at least done it before .

A decentralized survival economy.
2. Post-Wage Value Systems

If work no longer provides identity or income, society must replace it with:
•Purpose not tied to earning ? .
•Systems of resource distribution not tied to productivity.?
•Possibly UBI or machine-generated public goods—but only if the political elite cedes power (which is unlikely without rupture/ rapture )
3. Collapse → Reformation

There will be pain. Those in mortgage debt serfdom, as I noted, will find that the contracts they signed depended on a wage system that no longer exists. When that unwinds:
•Housing bubbles collapse.
•Asset values become unstable.
•States attempt to prop it up with debt until sovereign default or inflation hits.

What emerges will likely be networked micro-economies—skills-based, gift-based, partially automated, with barter, token systems, or local ledgers filling the gap. Think neo-agrarian tech enclaves or post-industrial monasteries—places of self-sufficiency, knowledge retention, and high-survival density.
4/ And Capitalism?

What you called “capitalism”—based on labor producing surplus, buying goods, paying taxes—dies here. What gives it life wanes .

What might survive is a new machine-based capitalism where:
•Machines produce.
•Algorithms distribute.
•Ownership of machines is the new class divide.

Unless ownership is socialized, or radically redistributed, we get hyper-oligarchy: a few own the robots, the rest serve via digital feudalism, universal credits, or rebellion.

And it happens very quickly
5/The resilient, thrifty, order-creating individual becomes the core archetype again.

He or she is antifragile in a system where state and market become unstable.

That person:
•Grows food.
•Builds shelter.
•Uses tech selectively.
•Forms tight local bonds.
•No longer relies on wages.
•No longer believes in the permanence of centralized institutions.

You’ve circled back to Thriftville—but now it’s built with solar panels, decentralized AI, and off-grid systems. It’s ancient in ethic, modern in tools.

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More from @ctindale

Jul 20
1/ The New Serfdom: Mortgage Debt in Australia’s Hollow Economy

In medieval Europe, serfs were bound to land they did not own, tethered by custom, obligation, and the implicit understanding that freedom meant starvation. In 21st-century Australia, this same dynamic persists, repackaged in glossy brochures, sanctified by central bank policy, and secured by 30-year mortgage contracts. The Australian dream of home ownership has become a modern serfdom: a ritual of financial bondage masked as economic aspiration. Through the lens of historical and political analyses by Postan, Domar, Hayek, Thompson, Graeber, Piketty, and Standing, it becomes clear that Australia’s housing system does not elevate its citizens, it enslaves them in a meticulously constructed edifice of debt. We slave & toil all week in order to pay banks for the privilege of somewhere to sleep. These provide less zero productive benefit to anyone yet we pay 30-50% of our incomes to them for what? What have they done for us? What have they done for the country? We are their slaves.
2/Feudalism Without the Lord

M.M. Postan’s accounts of medieval serfdom make one thing clear: serfdom was never just about agriculture. It was about control, over land, labor, and destiny.

Evsey Domar famously theorized that serfdom arises not in poor land-scarce regions, but where land is abundant and labor scarce. That contradiction the availability of land, yet inaccessibility for ownership required a mechanism to tie people down. This the same mechanics of serfdom we experience today

Australia, one of the most land-rich nations on Earth, has recreated this system. It is not feudal lords who monopolize access to land today, but banks, speculators, and planning authorities who artificially restrict supply, drive up prices, and funnel demand through the spigot of credit.

Citizens are not legally bound to the land, but they are economically indentured, with debt burdens that tether them more tightly than any feudal contract ever did. You're a indentured peasant, enslaved by the system no differently than a few centuries ago
3/Debt as Chain, Not Choice

David Graeber’s Debt: The First 5,000 Years teaches us that debt has long been a tool of subjugation. In modern Australia, mortgage debt is imposed as a precondition for basic stability. Want to raise a family? Better get on the property ladder. Want to avoid eviction in retirement? Better buy, not rent. The message is clear: submit now, or suffer later.

But what is the nature of this debt? A standard Australian mortgage now spans 25 to 30 years, often twice as long as the average job tenure. The financial commitment outlives careers, relationships, even health. In essence, it is a lifelong tax to the banking system, with the home serving as collateral not just for the loan, but for compliance.

The highest level of binding they can place on you is your home .

Miss payments, lose income, face a rate hike — and the illusion of ownership shatters. The serf may lose the hut.
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