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Jul 24 4 tweets 2 min read Read on X
The memes about Gaza's population having grown are utterly false. The big drop in Gaza's population, due to death and migration far exceeding births, raises a broader point that again illustrates Gaza's unique destructiveness.

When a population is young (with lots of young adults) and has high birth rates, it is actually very hard to kill or displace more of them than are born. In fact this is a rarity in wars fought in countries with such demographic profiles. (Obviously it is another story for a war being fought in a place with a low birth rate/old population.

Hence populations in Afghanistan and Iraq increased by millions under US occupation, despite bloody wars. Even Vietnam's population steadily increased during the brutal Vietnam War (1955-1975), despite millions of deaths and the post-war departure of millions of refugees ("boat people")

Despite a terrible famine that has killed over 100,000 children, the population of Yemen has increased by millions throughout the Yemeni Civil War (2014-present).

In terms of violent deaths, the Syrian Civil War is the bloodiest war of this century. Yet it appears the Syrian population slightly increased during the civil war, in spite of 600,000 violent fatalities and millions of refugees, although it fell sharply during the bloodiest years of the war and the rise of ISIS in Syria.

Conversely, across the entire war - I'm not singling out a particularly bloody period - and despite the general inability of the population to leave, Gaza's population has fallen by a huge margin, probably more than 10%. This is despite a very young population (very similar to Syria's in the % of adults who are young).Image
Reposting with a better chart for Syria’s population data
@dhimmi2025
@phl43, not trying to argue genocide right now, just thought you’d find this interesting, another case where Gaza is exceptional.

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More from @History__Speaks

Jul 26
Defenders of the so-called "war": this may be the last chance you have to come to reason before being defined as advocates of murder the rest of your lives, with the only (pathetic) excuse being 'Western man good! It no murder when Western man do it!'

The IDF has repeatedly shot tanks and artillery at starving unarmed civilians, including fleeing civilians. (American thugs also have shot civilians.) Not only is this supported by overwhelming testimonial evidence from Palestinians, but now a veteran of multiple wars, a Green Beret and career combat soldier who was working for GHF, is confirming this, saying they are the worst war crimes he's ever seen.

There is no excuse available for this. No "human shields" (these were unarmed civilians). No racist argument about how 'the Palestinians always lie.' Nothing. It's just mass murder, under the laws of war and common sense. I wouldn't expect the Chinese or Saudi Army to behave this way, much less the "most moral army in the world."

Will you come to reason, and accept the overwhelming convergence of evidence as to what the IDF has become? Or will you fall back on 'the green beret/all Palestinian witnesses are lying and antisemitic?" Time to make a choice. Way Past time.
Directed at @noam_dworman, @EliLake, @coldxman, @CoreyWriting, and others.
@noam_dworman @EliLake @coldxman @CoreyWriting @dhimmi2025 they're hopeless I imagine but might as well try for a last appeal. An American combat vet of multiple wars testifying to this.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 16
It is well-known that Israeli Druze tend to be patriotic Israelis. However, non-Israeli Druze tend to have anti-Israel views. For example about 86% of Druze in Lebanon supported the 7 October attack on Israel.

Are we supposed to believe Israel feels "brotherhood" with non-Israeli Druze and wants to go to war to help them? They don't even treat their own (again, largely patriotic) Druze citizens with equal rights in Israel.Image
@AviBittMD do you think Israeli policymakers are naïve about the views of non-Israeli Druze, or still see them as brothers in spite of them, or do you accept that the humanitarian intervention is likely a sham pretext?
@dhimmi2025 fact check these results for us.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 24
1/10 Israel flunkies (@Aizenberg55, @Mr_Andrew_Fox, etc) insist the Gaza Ministry of Health (MoH) inflates its death-toll estimate to smear 🇮🇱.
A new expert survey suggests the opposite: ≈75,200 Gazans violently killed through Jan 2025, 39% more than MoH estimated through Jan. Image
2/10 This was a household-based survey conducted by a team of experts, including economist @Michael_Spagat, & Gaza-based pollster Khalil Shikaki (of @PCPSR1). They measured the Gazan death toll (both natural & violent) through 5 Jan 2025.

The main results are summarized below. Image
@Michael_Spagat @PCPSR1 3/10 While already much (39%) larger than the MoH estimate, the 75,200 figure for violent deaths is surely underestimated by thousands and perhaps many thousands. For it excludes persons (equivalent to 0.6% of Gazans) reported as disappeared (but not arrested) by families. Image
Read 10 tweets
Jun 17
1/20 On 31 March—in a widely circulated charge—@Aizenberg55 accused the Gaza Ministry of Health (MoH) of faking 1,079 child deaths the MoH had removed from its fatalities lists.

My new @AOAV piece debunks Aizenberg's charge, based on original research I'll summarize in this 🧵. Image
2/20 The basis for @Aizenberg55's charge is that between Aug 2024 & March 2025, 1,079 children—& over 3,000 Gazans—were removed by the MoH from its list of fatalities in Gaza.

(He erroneously says the MoH removed 1,080 children - the figure is 1,079 - but this isn't important.) Image
@Aizenberg55 3/20 Despite their flimsy & speculative basis, Aizenberg’s accusations of faked deaths were not only circulated by the usual charlatans and Israel flunkies—, @Mr_Andrew_Fox, @SpencerGuard, etc—but by seasoned journalists writing for publications such as @Telegraph and @FoxNews. Image
Read 20 tweets
May 27
We're done analysing the child deaths removed from the MoH list, debunking @Aizenberg55's claims that these deaths "never happened." I'm writing an article on our findings now.
You can help: find cases where people/orgs/media repeated Aizenberg's claim, & share them in replies. Image
1/x: Our old friend @SpencerGuard writing for the @nypost, repeats the claim uncritically.

Spencer also falsely claimed the removals "sharply alt[ered] the previously reported demographics." nypost.com/2025/04/05/opi…Image
2/x @melanieswan from the @Telegraph also uncritically repeated Aizenberg's claims (also citing @Mr_Andrew_Fox as a source). Her headline also gives the impression that the removals changed the demographics - which are not claimed by the MoH to be 70% women and children, but about 51% - when they did not.Image
Read 7 tweets
Mar 30
1/25 The hasbara streamer @BoxLoner scoffed at my claim that the Oct 2023 bombing of Gaza by IAF was the bloodiest month of bombing for civilians since the Korean War (if not since WWII). Let’s dismantle LB's sneer with facts that justify my charge against Israel.

It's 🧵time.
2/25 My claim—that the IAF’s bombing of Gaza in October 2023 surpassed all monthly civilian casualty totals since the Korean War—relies on the baseline assumption of at least 6,000 civilian deaths caused by the October 2023 IAF bombing.

How do I justify this figure? Image
3/25 I infer ≥6K civilians killed from a list of 6,747 Gazans violently killed between 7-26 Oct 2023, published by the Ministry of Health in Gaza on 27 October (pre-IDF ground invasion)

But the list does not distinguish civilians vs combatants. So how can I infer 6K civilians? Image
Read 26 tweets

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