1) You’ve likely heard of the Power Law and its application for predicting the future price of #Bitcoin.
As George Box said, “All models are wrong, but some are useful.”
@21st_capital dives into the math to determine if it’s signal or just more noise (a 🧵).
2) As a reminder, the Power Law states that a relative change in one quantity creates a proportional change in the other (regardless of the initial size).
Within the Bitcoin ecosystem, we take a look at two unique Power Laws:
- Power Law in Time
- Power Law in Bitcoin Addresses
3) The Power Law in Time is the relationship between Bitcoin’s price and time.
Using a simple logarithmic regression analysis, the curve implies the following AVERAGE prices Bitcoin over the next cycles:
$100,000 in 2025
$500,000 in 2030
$1,000,000 in 2033
1/ Ever been asked to explain how #bitcoin mining works and not been sure how to give a simple answer?
Here's a thread🧵to break it down for ya 👇
1️⃣ What is #bitcoin mining?
Bitcoin mining is the process of validating and adding new transactions to the blockchain, the public ledger that records all #Bitcoin transactions.
2⃣ Who gets the right to validate a block?
Miners compete in a lottery every ten minutes by using their computational power to repeatedly guess different inputs until they find a hash that meets certain criteria.