🧵 Aguilar in #Gaza – A forensic thread
War criminal — or Hamas-aligned propagandist?
A U.S. Green Beret veteran, 25 years of service claims to have witnessed Israeli executions.
We analyzed it.
#DURCHD8
War criminal — or Hamas-aligned propagandist?
A U.S. Green Beret veteran, 25 years of service claims to have witnessed Israeli executions.
We analyzed it.
#DURCHD8
1/
“Thou shalt not bear false witness against thy neighbour.”
– Exodus 20:16
“Thou shalt not bear false witness against thy neighbour.”
– Exodus 20:16
2/
Note:
Aguilar’s claims directly challenge our previous findings on:
– UN Geneva narratives
– sniper incidents
– famine documentation
If validated, they would falsify key data structures.
This makes his account critical for our research.
Note:
Aguilar’s claims directly challenge our previous findings on:
– UN Geneva narratives
– sniper incidents
– famine documentation
If validated, they would falsify key data structures.
This makes his account critical for our research.
3/
Tony Aguilar claims:
– children were executed by Israeli snipers
– civilians were lured into kill zones
– aid centers were turned into bait
– all under his watch, as a U.S. Green Beret vet
He says he saw it.
But what exactly did he do?
Tony Aguilar claims:
– children were executed by Israeli snipers
– civilians were lured into kill zones
– aid centers were turned into bait
– all under his watch, as a U.S. Green Beret vet
He says he saw it.
But what exactly did he do?
4/
We assessed:
– his statements across 5 major platforms
– his primary video (Democracy Now!)
– his behavior under alleged live fire
– tactical coherence vs SF protocols
– legal duties for contractors and veterans
– and relevant international law
We assessed:
– his statements across 5 major platforms
– his primary video (Democracy Now!)
– his behavior under alleged live fire
– tactical coherence vs SF protocols
– legal duties for contractors and veterans
– and relevant international law
5/
Aguilar provides:
– no timestamp
– no coordinates
– no IDF unit designation
– no SITREP
– no reporting trail
– no eyewitness names
– ambiguous video clips with no known validation
Aguilar provides:
– no timestamp
– no coordinates
– no IDF unit designation
– no SITREP
– no reporting trail
– no eyewitness names
– ambiguous video clips with no known validation
6/
Video:
– Aguilar stays upright under supposed sniper fire
– civilians show no evasive behavior
– no tactical movement is made
– no field commands issued
– no defensive measures initiated
This is not standard operating behavior.
Video:
– Aguilar stays upright under supposed sniper fire
– civilians show no evasive behavior
– no tactical movement is made
– no field commands issued
– no defensive measures initiated
This is not standard operating behavior.
7/
A trained SOF operator, when facing civilian targeting, would:
– assess fire geometry
– secure team and sector
– relocate civilians
– submit a structured SITREP
– report via military or contractor channels
– initiate escalation procedures
None of that occurred here.
A trained SOF operator, when facing civilian targeting, would:
– assess fire geometry
– secure team and sector
– relocate civilians
– submit a structured SITREP
– report via military or contractor channels
– initiate escalation procedures
None of that occurred here.
8/
Instead, Aguilar:
– returned day after day
– brought cameras
– filmed civilians under alleged fire
– took no protective measures
– issued no report
– broadcast his version months later
This isn’t combat behavior.
It’s media choreography.
Instead, Aguilar:
– returned day after day
– brought cameras
– filmed civilians under alleged fire
– took no protective measures
– issued no report
– broadcast his version months later
This isn’t combat behavior.
It’s media choreography.
9/
This breaches:
– U.S. Rules of Engagement (RoE)
– duty to protect non-combatants
– contractor obligations to report unlawful acts
– and Article 8 of the Rome Statute (if claims are accurate)
No military rationale supports inaction here.
This breaches:
– U.S. Rules of Engagement (RoE)
– duty to protect non-combatants
– contractor obligations to report unlawful acts
– and Article 8 of the Rome Statute (if claims are accurate)
No military rationale supports inaction here.
10/
So:
If Aguilar told the truth,
→ he witnessed war crimes and failed to act or report.
→ that would constitute complicity.
If he fabricated,
→ he weaponized his service identity to construct false accusations.
→ that constitutes information warfare.
So:
If Aguilar told the truth,
→ he witnessed war crimes and failed to act or report.
→ that would constitute complicity.
If he fabricated,
→ he weaponized his service identity to construct false accusations.
→ that constitutes information warfare.
11/
This assessment is independently supported by two external sources:
– one with senior military leadership experience
– and another with operational background in Special Forces
Both concluded: Aguilar’s account lacks tactical-operational plausibility.
This assessment is independently supported by two external sources:
– one with senior military leadership experience
– and another with operational background in Special Forces
Both concluded: Aguilar’s account lacks tactical-operational plausibility.
12/
Key indicators:
– no fire geometry coordination
– no escalation via chain of command
– no mapping or perimeter control
– no protective action for civilians
– no complaint or legal relay
This conduct deviates from every standard in SOF or contractor doctrine.
Key indicators:
– no fire geometry coordination
– no escalation via chain of command
– no mapping or perimeter control
– no protective action for civilians
– no complaint or legal relay
This conduct deviates from every standard in SOF or contractor doctrine.
13/
His story has since spread across:
– Al Jazeera (documented Hamas-aligned framing)
– Democracy Now! (flagged in 2024 for disinfo on Gaza)
– TikTok and IG networks
– and was publicly endorsed by @BernieSanders
This was not passive reporting.
It was active amplification.
His story has since spread across:
– Al Jazeera (documented Hamas-aligned framing)
– Democracy Now! (flagged in 2024 for disinfo on Gaza)
– TikTok and IG networks
– and was publicly endorsed by @BernieSanders
This was not passive reporting.
It was active amplification.
14/
We do not speculate motives.
We map inconsistencies.
And trace narrative impact.
Aguilar’s story now influences:
– U.S. public perception
– global discourse on Israel
– UN-level proceedings
It demands command-level review.
We do not speculate motives.
We map inconsistencies.
And trace narrative impact.
Aguilar’s story now influences:
– U.S. public perception
– global discourse on Israel
– UN-level proceedings
It demands command-level review.
15/
We formally urge:
– @DeptofDefense
– @TheJusticeDept
– @realDonaldTrump
to initiate appropriate oversight mechanisms.
Aguilar’s military identity was used in a narrative accusing a strategic ally of war crimes.
That warrants institutional response.
We formally urge:
– @DeptofDefense
– @TheJusticeDept
– @realDonaldTrump
to initiate appropriate oversight mechanisms.
Aguilar’s military identity was used in a narrative accusing a strategic ally of war crimes.
That warrants institutional response.
16/
@BernieSanders, who publicly shared Aguilar’s claims, now carries institutional responsibility — to verify or retract.
This is not a matter of opinion.
It’s a matter of protocol, military credibility, and geopolitical consequence.
Transfer. Verify. Report.
#DURCHD8
@BernieSanders, who publicly shared Aguilar’s claims, now carries institutional responsibility — to verify or retract.
This is not a matter of opinion.
It’s a matter of protocol, military credibility, and geopolitical consequence.
Transfer. Verify. Report.
#DURCHD8
@BernieSanders @GBNT1952 @JackMurphyRGR @SeanParnellUSA @thejointstaff - Forensic review of Tony Aguilar’s public narrative in Gaza.
Military logic. Tactical contradictions. Legal implications.
Military logic. Tactical contradictions. Legal implications.
@BernieSanders @DrEliDavid @GHF @IDF @koshercockney - the case Tony Aguilar - a Hamas propagandist?
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