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Aug 13 4 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Expert Says Only Few Will Be Able to Retire With $XRP Historical Pump, But Majority Will Become Exit Liquidity. #Ripple 🧵🧵🧵 Image
Technical analyst Jaydee is renewing his warning to XRP holders as the coin prepares for a massive historical pump.

Jaydee noted that the upcoming surge could mirror XRP’s legendary 2017 rally. However, he cautioned that while a small group of traders might walk away with life-changing profits, the majority risk becoming exit liquidity for “smart money.”

According to Jaydee’s chart, XRP is building toward a breakout that could surpass recent price action. For context, XRP has surged approximately 650% since its November breakout, reaching a local high of $3.66. He believes further gains of up to $21 are possible.

Jaydee predicts that once the rally peaks, the market could repeat its historical pattern: a sharp, parabolic rise followed by a devastating crash of more than 90%, trapping latecomers at the top.

“The majority will lose,” the technical analyst warned, adding, “Some may be able to retire.”
Jaydee’s warning draws from XRP’s 2017–2018 cycle, during which it skyrocketed from under $0.0060 to over $3 within a year. From the initial breakout in 2017, XRP posted a staggering 70,000% surge by the end of the rally.

As XRP neared its $3+ peak, Jaydee recalls, optimistic investors or “moon boys” were calling for aggressive price targets like $589, frequently repeating the phrase, “know what you hold.”

However, just weeks after peaking in January 2018, XRP crashed by 95%. In perspective, just 14 days after hitting $3.84, the price had tanked to as low as $0.8978.

From that point onward, XRP struggled to regain momentum. Its situation worsened with the SEC lawsuit, which drove the price down to $0.17 in December 2020.

Jaydee’s annotated chart compares that historic run to the current long-term setup, highlighting similar consolidation patterns and breakout structures.

According to his analysis, retail investors who hold on for too long may again find themselves at the mercy of institutions and seasoned traders selling into the frenzy. He is projecting another potential 95% crash scenario.

Notably, other bullish XRP analysts such as EGRAG acknowledge this possibility. In an analysis last month, EGRAG suggested XRP could peak at $27 before crashing to $0.80, or peak at $9 and drop to $1.30.Image
Meanwhile, not everyone in the XRP community shares Jaydee’s bearish outlook. Responding to his comments, trader Moon Jay argued that XRP’s evolving role as a utility asset could lead to different market dynamics.

He claimed that institutions acquiring XRP for cross-border payments and financial infrastructure are unlikely to dump their holdings the way speculative traders did in the past.

“Retail ownership means nothing,” Moon Jay said, adding, “We won’t move the needle when people take profit.”

Still, Jaydee’s warning aligns with the long-standing fear in the crypto market. When the hype reaches its peak, most traders are left holding the bag.

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More from @thecryptobasic

Aug 14
#Ripple CTO Says $XRP Ledger Ready to Power the Future of Global Financial Infrastructure.🧵🧵🧵 Image
Ripple CTO David Schwartz embraces the growing trend of payments and stablecoin companies introducing their own blockchains.

In a lengthy post on X today, Schwartz acknowledged the influx of new stablecoin and payment companies launching their blockchain. He pointed out that the recent trend serves as proof that the broader market considers blockchain an integral part of financial infrastructure.

While many are just realizing the blockchain’s relevance in finance, Schwartz said Ripple has believed in this prospect for more than 13 years and has been building toward it on the XRP Ledger (XRPL) all along.

He stated that while it is challenging to launch a new blockchain, it is even more challenging to build an ecosystem with trust, liquidity, real-world usage, and developers. In his view, XRPL has gained traction and institutional adoption because of its long history of consistent updates and improvements.
Schwartz pointed out that some blockchains rely on permissioned validators, which place control in the hands of a small group or a single entity. While this setup can facilitate compliance and centralized control, it also limits the network’s resilience and global reach.

On the contrary, he emphasized that XRPL is public and permissionless by default, which positions it as a core infrastructure for the world’s financial system. In addition, Schwartz revealed that the blockchain comes with optional permissioned features for regulated use cases.

Further, the Ripple CTO also highlighted some core features of XRPL, including the fact that it offers low and predictable fees.

Unlike most blockchains, Schwartz said XRPL does not have a separate gas token. According to him, users can pay for transactions using XRP, with the token also serving as a bridge asset for global payments.
Read 4 tweets
Aug 13
#XRPL Validator Shares Transaction Data Allegedly Showing #XRP Price Manipulation.🧵🧵🧵 Image
Grapedrop, an XRP Ledger (XRPL) validator, has revealed what he believes could be signs of XRP price manipulation.

In a recent disclosure on X, Grapedrop confirmed that since launching his XRPL validator on July 12, 2025, he has tracked blockchain activity that raised concerns about market manipulation.

He pointed out that while the XRPL network has about 1,000 nodes worldwide, only 150 to 170 actively validate transactions on the main network, and his is one of them. With this access, he began monitoring transactions in real time.

The community commentator revealed that he built a Python tool that flags any XRP payment larger than 10,000 tokens. He insisted that the results were hard to ignore, as large transfers continued to move tokens every few minutes.
Some of the transactions he tracked involved 49,900 XRP, 67,655 XRP, and even 146,757 XRP. He claimed many of these high-value transfers linked back to exchange addresses such as Bitget and other platforms. To him, these amounts exceed normal retail trading behavior, suggesting coordinated or institutional activity.

Grapedrop argued that such movements matter because crypto prices often rely on volume-weighted averages. As a result, if the same players shuffle large amounts of XRP between exchanges, a practice known as wash trading, they could inflate reported volumes, influence price indexes, and market cap data.

He warned that this could create the illusion of higher demand, trigger algorithmic trading bots, shift market sentiment, and, in thinner markets, even push prices slightly. Grapedrop noted that while wash trading is banned in traditional finance, the crypto markets still lack consistent enforcement, leaving space for manipulation.
Read 4 tweets
Aug 13
Ex #Ripple Developer Says $XRP Did Not Prioritize ISO 20022 Whatsoever.🧵🧵🧵 Image
A former Ripple developer has debunked the XRP ISO 20022 compliance claims. However, XRP could still benefit from RippleNet’s alignment.

The latest argument started with Jake Claver, CEO of Digital Ascension Group, praising XRP for what he sees as a forward-thinking move. He claimed that XRP recognized early on the importance of ISO 20022, a global standard that lets financial institutions exchange data in a common, streamlined format.
Claver argued that this focus is now paying off, claiming the network now processes hundreds of billions of dollars in daily transactions. He described ISO 20022 as one of the most important upgrades in finance, yet it is still misunderstood by much of the crypto industry.

The community pundit believes many blockchain projects build great technology but ignore the bigger challenge of connecting with the existing financial system. He noted that ISO 20022 can trigger this connection, and Ripple’s technology could become relevant in tokenizing traditional monetary systems.

However, Matt Hamilton, a former Ripple developer, debunked these claims. Hamilton stressed that XRP has never had anything to do with ISO 20022 and insisted there’s nothing in the XRP Ledger’s code or network that connects to the standard.

He called the idea that XRP itself is ISO 20022 compliant a complete misunderstanding. According to him, this misunderstanding is fueled by misleading statements in the crypto space. In response, Claver admitted to erroneously conflating Ripple with XRP in his original statement.

Notably, the latest argument resurfaced a long-running discussion around the “XRP ISO 20022 compliance” claims. For context, much of the confusion comes from people blurring the lines between Ripple, the company, and XRP, the cryptocurrency.
Read 4 tweets
Aug 12
Expert Explains Why $1,000 $XRP Price Won’t Be the Ceiling but the Floor. #Ripple 🧵🧵🧵 Image
Versan Aljarrah, co-founder of Black Swan Capitalist, is reinforcing his long-term bullish stance on XRP.

This month, he predicted that once XRP becomes the bridge asset for global financial infrastructure, $1,000 will mark the floor, not the ceiling.

Aljarrah’s statement implies that the XRP price would need to expand massively from today’s value to efficiently serve its utility in the financial market. He sees $1,000 as a base price, not the top. Notably, XRP is trading slightly above $3 today.

Aljarrah argued that the future of finance will be built on tokenized assets, real-time foreign exchange settlements, and sovereign debt swaps. This paints a vast ecosystem where trillions of dollars could move seamlessly across borders.

In this scenario, he envisions XRP playing a central role as the bridge currency connecting these tokenized systems. He believes XRP will necessarily become more valuable than it is today.

This latest projection builds on Aljarrah’s earlier position that a $3 XRP price is unsustainable in a tokenized economy worth trillions of dollars. At that level, he suggested, XRP’s liquidity pool would be too small to efficiently facilitate the massive flows expected in such a financial framework.

By contrast, a higher price point in the hundreds or thousands of dollars would enable the necessary scalability and liquidity for large-scale cross-border settlements, central bank transactions, and institutional use cases.
Moreover, Aljarrah strengthened his argument by highlighting XRP’s fixed maximum supply and its built-in transaction burn mechanism, which gradually reduces the circulating supply over time.

He explained that with a capped supply and transaction-based burns, XRP’s overall supply decreases while demand increases. This dynamic follows fundamental supply-and-demand principles, which could drive the value of XRP significantly higher over time.

In an earlier statement, Aljarrah argued that XRP’s max supply of 100 billion tokens is insufficient for global economic needs. As a result, he called burning XRP “unnecessary,” suggesting that future demand will outstrip supply, supposedly pushing the price higher.
Read 4 tweets
Aug 9
$XRP Price May Rise to $5 or Even $24 as MVRV Ratio Flashes Another Golden Cross, Analyst Ali Martinez Highlights. #Ripple🧵🧵🧵 Image
XRP price could observe another impressive upsurge from the current level, as the MVRV Ratio flashes its third golden cross since November 2024.

Market analyst Ali Martinez first called attention to this development in a recent analysis. Notably, the analysis comes on the back of XRP’s recovery push following the final resolution of the SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit, with XRP attempting to recover its yearly peak of $3.66.

Amid this push, Martinez found that the MVRV Ratio has flashed a bullish sign. For context, analysts use the MVRV ratio to measure how a crypto asset’s market cap compares to the average purchase price of all coins in circulation. It helps to assess whether the coin is overvalued or undervalued at its current price.
Notably, a golden cross occurs on the MVRV Ratio when the short-term MVRV moves above the long-term MVRV. It often materializes during sharp short-term price spikes, indicating that the market is showing strengthening momentum.

Data from Martinez’s chart shows that such a golden cross has historically been an important indicator of an imminent surge in XRP price. According to the chart, it appeared in early November 2024, as XRP observed an initial short-term price spike following Donald Trump’s victory.

After the MVRV ratio flashed the golden cross, XRP price skyrocketed further, eventually breaching the $2 and $3 psychological marks in one fell swoop. According to Ali Martinez, during this run, XRP rallied by an impressive 630% following the golden cross.

The event occurred again in early July, as XRP showed signs of recovery after the consolidation that lasted from February to June 2025. Following the golden cross in early July, XRP surged again, rallying to a new peak of $3.66 by July 18. Martinez noted that this second rally involved a less explosive 54% increase.
Read 4 tweets
Aug 8
Here’s How High $XRP Could Climb by 2025 End as #Ripple and SEC Lawsuit Now Officially Over.🧵🧵🧵 Image
AI chatbots Google Gemini and Grok predict XRP price by the end of the year (EOY) as Ripple and the SEC file to officially end their lawsuit.

For context, Ripple and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission have finally brought their long-running courtroom fight to an end. Both sides filed to withdraw their appeals, closing a legal chapter that dragged on for nearly five years.

Notably, this development clears one of Ripple’s biggest obstacles since 2020 and gives the company the long-awaited regulatory clarity in the United States.

Interestingly, within hours of the announcement, XRP shot up 12% in less than 12 hours, hitting a new monthly high of $3.37. The price has since hovered around this level, but the sharp rise shows just how much confidence this development has sparked. Now that the legal cloud has lifted, the question is how far XRP can run by the end of 2025.

To assess this, we sought answers from prominent AI models, Google’s Gemini and xAI’s Grok. Both chatbots presented varying projections, highlighting different scenarios depending on adoption speed, market sentiment, and economic conditions.
Specifically, in the first scenario, which is its bull case, Google Gemini sees XRP soaring to the $5.50 to $10 range by December 2025. According to the chatbot, in this scenario, the end of the lawsuit leads to a new wave of institutional capital.

It suggested major banks, payment processors, and investment funds could begin using Ripple’s ODL solution (now Ripple Payments) on a much larger scale. Further, it noted that an SEC-approved XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) could also draw in traditional investors.

Gemini predicts that XRP might first settle between $3 and $4 for a few months before smashing past its all-time high, entering price discovery, and ending the year with a strong rally.

Meanwhile, in the second scenario, Gemini’s base case puts XRP between $4.00 and $5.00 by year-end. Here, adoption still grows but at a slower pace. Financial institutions may take their time integrating Ripple’s tech, and while the market stays bullish, it avoids the euphoric spikes seen in past cycles.Image
Image
Read 4 tweets

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