Shaun Pinner Profile picture
Aug 15 4 tweets 2 min read Read on X
1/4 The Ukrainian General Staff has said that the situation on the Pokrovsk front, where a group of Russian troops recently broke through near the town of Dobropillia, is stabilising. Image
2/4 As I’ve said previously, the ground around Pokrovsk is extremely difficult terrain, especially if you are an aggressor army. Rather like East Anglia, it’s flat with heavy agricultural, ploughed fields and crops with thin tree lines and little cover.
3/4 Russian “motorbike breakthrough” near Pokrovsk is turning into a disaster. 🇷🇺 sources admit their troops are cut off & without supplies. Flanks unprotected, units isolated, POWs taken. Ukraine has sent Azov & reinforcements, what began as a push is fast becoming a trap. Image
4/4 Over 110,000 Russian troops massed in the Pokrovsk sector for this summer offensive, timed ahead of the Trump–Putin summit in Alaska. But without secured lines, Russia’s “breakthrough” may instead become its latest disaster.

Azov statement “As a result of fighting over the past two days within the corps' area of responsibility, 151 occupiers have been killed. Over 70 invaders have been wounded. In addition, eight Russian servicemen have been taken prisoner during this period."Image

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More from @olddog100ua

Aug 12
1/6 Russia’s Maximalist Dream vs. Reality

Putin can’t win militarily. Russia’s economy is flatlining. Yet Trump’s Alaska meeting may hand the Kremlin a political victory it couldn’t earn on the battlefield. Here’s how Russia’s “maximum ambition” is shrinking and why that’s dangerous.Image
2/6 Military Stalemate

Putin’s maximum ambition in Ukraine was never just about Donbas. It was the destruction of Ukrainian sovereignty and locking in a puppet state. But 2½ years later, he’s stuck. No decisive breakthrough. No path to Kyiv. The Kremlin’s dream is collapsing under its own weight.

Even with mass mobilisation, Russia can’t take Ukraine militarily. Attritional advances cost thousands of lives for metres gained. Equipment losses are unsustainable. The idea of conquering all of Ukraine is dead, they can barely hold what they’ve stolen.Image
3/6 The Economic Time Bomb

Russia’s economy is flatlining. Recent figures show oil & gas revenues tanking, foreign reserves haemorrhaging, and the Kremlin budget far more precarious than they admit. War spending keeps the lights on short-term, but long-term it’s eating their future alive.
kyivindependent.com/russian-econom…Image
Read 6 tweets
Aug 11
1/7 Inviting Vladimir Putin to Alaska

Accused of multiple crimes against humanity, being invited to the US doesn’t just insult Ukraine. It undermines the rules-based international order, gives an indicted war criminal legitimacy, and tells other aggressors that might makes right.

Here are six of the worst charges against him, with the legal basis for each.Image
2/7 Forced Deportation of Ukrainian Children

The ICC issued an arrest warrant for Putin under Articles 8(2)(a)(vii) & 8(2)(b)(viii) of the Rome Statute for “unlawful deportation and transfer of children” from occupied Ukraine to Russia.

zmina.info/en/news-en/the…Image
3/7 Mass Deportations of Civilians

A UN investigation concluded: “Russia is guilty of committing crimes against humanity in the occupied regions of Ukraine,” citing Kremlin-directed mass deportations.
atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainea…Image
Read 7 tweets
Aug 11
1⃣/6 What we actually know.

Yes, it’s happening. U.S. President Donald Trump confirmed that he will meet Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska on Friday, August 15, 2025.

bbc.com/news/articles/…Image
2/6 Confusion & Scrutiny

The intent is to discuss a ceasefire and potential peace deal in the Russia–Ukraine war. It would be the first face‑to‑face Trump–Putin summit in the U.S. since 1988. As it unfolded, it’s coming under much scrutiny, why?
theguardian.com/world/2025/aug…Image
3/6 Putin’s International Arrest Warrant

Location matters, Alaska was chosen due to its historical ties to Russia but mainly because it lies outside the jurisdiction of the International Criminal Court, which has issued an arrest warrant for Putin.
mezha.net/eng/bukvy/icc-…
Read 7 tweets
Aug 10
1/6 Putin in Alaska

Putin flying to Alaska to meet Trump isn’t diplomacy, it’s a sell-out for Ukraine. For the invaded nation, the symbolism is brutal, not neutral ground, but U.S. soil, with a U.S. president who’s already been dangling “concessions” Ukraine never agreed to.
bbc.com/news/articles/…Image
2/6 The “Concessions” Lie

Zelensky had to publicly repeat what’s always been clear, the expected concessions are not on the table, they never have been. Giving Putin territory for a handshake is not a peace deal, it’s a reward for genocide and a blueprint for the next invasion.
kyivindependent.com/ukrainians-wil…Image
3/6 Trump’s Curve Ball

Trump’s move blindsided Kyiv, London, and even parts of Washington. Now there’s an imminent scramble: U.S., Ukraine, and Britain huddling to work out a plan before Trump offers Putin something no one else agreed to, in exchange for headlines and a Nobel photo-op.Image
Read 6 tweets
Aug 9
1/6 Trump has officially sold out Ukraine.

He came in with talk of “killer sanctions” on Russia, sanctions he had no intention of ever implementing. It was always theatre, designed to sound tough while keeping Putin comfortable. Image
2/6 Trump Demands Concessions of Ukraine

Now, he’s demanding Ukraine make concessions before he’ll sit down with Putin. Imagine that, the invaded country forced to give up ground just to get a meeting. That’s not diplomacy. That’s surrender dressed up as negotiation and rewarding a genocidal indicted war criminal.
meduza.io/amp/en/feature…Image
3/6 “Peace through strength”

This is the same man who claimed “peace through strength” and promised he’d stand firm against Putin. Instead, he’s using Ukraine’s survival as a bargaining chip for his own political stagecraft, “The Art of the Kneel” Image
Read 6 tweets
Aug 8
🧵1/6 Why Putin Won’t Meet Zelensky

Putin fears a direct confrontation with Zelensky, not because of personal danger, but because a face-to-face would expose the false narrative he’s spent years building, that Ukraine is just a pawn, and Zelensky is irrelevant. A meeting would legitimise both.Image
2/6 No Strategic Benefit for Putin

Putin gains nothing from such a meeting. He’s not interested in negotiation, only in submission. A photo op with Zelensky would show parity, not dominance. And if Zelensky stood firm (as he would), Putin risks looking weak. He’d rather bomb cities than face that. It would be a PR disaster for the bunker midget.Image
3/6 Zelensky Is a Threat to the Kremlin’s Propaganda

Putin sells the idea of “denazification,” “Ukrainian collapse,” and a puppet regime. Zelensky, a Jewish, elected war-time leader with global recognition, shatters all of that. Standing beside him would be a propaganda disaster and ultimately portraying Putin as weak.Image
Read 6 tweets

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