Thread by @Acquired_Savant

The Poll results are in, and I was right. $XRP holders are the MOST unvaccinated sub-group in the world aside from the Amish.

Let's break down what that means and why it matters.

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https://twitter.com/Acquired_Savant/status/1954534340974490083

Not Just Coincidence, But a Pattern of Resilience

The Poll specifically targeted $XRP holders, the results were striking: Out of 18,846 total votes, 66% identified as unvaccinated against COVID-19, 14% as vaccinated, and 21% chose to view results without voting. Excluding the "results" option which isn't a substantive choice and accounts for those just peeking at the data. The effective split among actual responders is about 82.5% unvaccinated and 17.5% vaccinated.

x.com/Acquired_Savan…

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This isn't a one-off; it echoes earlier insights from the $XRP community. Back in 2021, community discussions and surveys suggested around 81% hesitancy toward the COVID-19 vaccine among $XRP Ledger users, a figure that's remarkably consistent with today's poll.

The COVID-19 vaccines rush: participatory community engagement matters more than ever.
Lancet. 2021;397(10268):8–10.
[PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]

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This raises intriguing questions: Why is the unvaccinated rate so much higher in this niche group, 0.004% of the population, compared to the global average?

How many coincidences before it becomes a mathematical impossibility?

Let's dive into the statistics in simple terms, break down the math, and explore why this might reflect a shared mindset of perseverence whether from government lawsuits to public health mandates.

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Understanding Statistical Significance: Like Spotting a Unicorn in a Horse Field

First, let's talk about statistical significance in laymen's terms. Imagine you're at a horse race, and most horses are brown (say, 70% of them). But in one particular stable; the $XRP holders' "stable" 82.5% are Albino.

Is this just a fluke, like a random bunch of albino horses ending up together? Or is there something special about that stable that attracts or breeds rare horses? Statistical significance helps us figure out the odds that this difference happened by pure luck.

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In stats, we start with a "null hypothesis": Assume there is no real difference, and the $XRP group's unvaccinated rate should match the world's. Globally, as of August 2024, about 70.6% of the world's population has received at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose, meaning roughly 29.4% remain unvaccinated according to official sources.

If the XRP poll was just a random slice of humanity, we'd expect around 29.4% unvaccinated; obviously not 82.5%.

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To test if this gap is "significant," we calculate how unlikely it is under the null hypothesis. If the probability (called the p-value) is super low; say, less than 5% (or 0.05) we say it's statistically significant. That means there's strong evidence the difference isn't random; something else is at play.

Here, the p-value is essentially zero, way below any standard threshold and beyond entropy. In other words, the odds of this happening by chance are like winning the lottery multiple times in a row, not just astronomically low, but 'this doesn't happen' low.

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The Z-Score: Measuring How "Extreme" the Difference Is.

To quantify this, we use the Z-score, a simple way to measure how far off an observation is from what's expected, in terms of "standard deviations" (a unit of typical variation). Think of it like grading on a curve: A Z-score of 0 means right on average. ±1.96 is the cutoff for "significant" at 95% confidence (about two standard deviations away). Anything over, say, 3 is very significant; over 10 is off the charts.

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A Z-score of 143 is enormous. Way beyond the usual 1.96 or even 3. It's like saying the difference is 143 standard deviations away from expected. To put that into reference, @JoelKatz recent IQ evaluation by Grok was a 145 which is only 2.25 standard deviations from the norm. A Z-score of 5 might happen once in a million; 143 is practically impossible by chance. This confirms the unvaccinated rate in the XRP community is highly statistically significant, not a fluke by any measure, but an 'intentional?' gathering of strong-willed individuals.

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I know, correlation isn't causation. I also calculated the phi coefficient (a correlation measure for binary traits like "owns XRP" vs. "unvaccinated"), which came out very small (~0.002) because XRP holders are a tiny fraction of the world (0.01-0.08%).

The association exists, but it's diluted by the group's rarity. Still, within the community, the pattern holds strong.

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Not an Accident: Enduring the SEC Lawsuit and Vaccine Pressure as Parallel Battles

So, if it's not random, what's going on? I suggest it's not an accident that so many XRP holders who have weathered years of institutional pressure also resisted vaccine mandates. Both scenarios tap into a mindset of skepticism toward authority, resilience under fire, and a commitment to personal sovereignty.

While $BTC and $ETH communities may 'talk' of soveriengty, $XRP community members ACT on soveriegnty.

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What does it all mean?

This means that if you are an #unvaccinated $XRP holder you are of the heartiest stalk of mental fortitude that the human race has to offer. I do not think that you or I are here by coincidence, I think that we have been sorted and assigned to a task by the universal consiousness that cries out for a group of individuals to champion the values that are threatened in today's world.

Dare I say... (END THREAD)