- Rates are about to giga rip
- All deposits at SVB are protected
- Gov creates $100bn+ TARP style response for other banks
- Fractional banking + bailouts show system failing again
- BTC + ETH win as decentralised stores of value + given lower rates
3/ Theoretical Bear Case
We get cascading bank runs starting in the US then across the globe of banks that didn’t hedge a duration mismatch which then spreads to anything not top tier…
We have interviewed 10 top risk-takers so far on @rektradio_.
Here are my top 5 takeaways 🧵
1. Risk management is everything
No one is able to make it consistently with YOLOs. Build a portfolio of safe, risky and super risky bets. Try to build in some underlying yield. Always have liquidity to buy dips/fear. You never want to be a forced seller.
2. Focus on your downside
Risk-reward is an important metric but in particular focus on trades where downside is limited. This will allow you to make +EV plays with confidence. Never risk it all. If you can, make sure you are protected by a stop loss (even if its in your head).
The Trial of Jimmy the Monkey is a skill-based mint game from @yugalabs.
Dookey Dash will be an “endless runner” style web-browser-based game where the goal is to survive in as long as possible whilst collecting rare fragments and destroying obstacles.
3/ Timeline:
- Jan 17: Sewer pass claim
- Jan 18: Play the game (3 weeks)
- Feb 15: The summoning - mint depending on your score in the game