Hello Folks! Over the past few weeks, we have delved into Kenya's Trade and Economic Landscape. Today, we delve into balances of trade as we look at the STRUCTURAL ISSUES IN KENYA'S TRADE LANDSCAPE this week:
1. WHAT DOES KENYA TRADE AND WHO DOES IT TRADE WITH?
☕Coffee (2024): Export Volume - 53,519 tonnes of coffee
Export Earnings - KSH 38.4 Billion
Key Buyers - Belgium, USA and Germany
🌷Horticulture (first 10 months of 2024):
Key Buyers - The Netherlands, Germany, France, UK and Italy.
Vegetables - 80,141 tonnes worth KSh 22.17 Billion.
Fruits - 151,770 tonnes worth KSh 31.8 Billion.
Cut flowers - 83,694 tonnes worth KSh 68.1 Billion.
🚢Imports (Ksh. 2.6 Trillion) [2024]
🛢️Fuel: Import Value - KSH 575.5 Billion.
Import Volume - 5.2 million tonnes
Key Sellers - Saudi Aramco (Saudi Arabia), Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) (UAE) and Emirates National Oil Company (ENOC) (UAE).
🏗️Machinery (2024): Total Value - KSH 312.9 Billion.
It consists of computers, cranes, refrigerators and heavy construction machinery etc.
Key Sellers: China, UAE and India
💊Pharmaceuticals: Import Value - US$ 612 million
Import Volume - 37,079 tonnes
Key Sellers - India, USA, China and EU
🌾Foodstuff:
Total Value - US$ 2.065 B
Total Volume - Wheat ~2.1 million tonnes, Rice 800K tonnes, Maize & Sugar volumes declined.
Key Sellers - Russia (wheat), Uganda (maize/sugar/milk), South Africa, India (rice/sugar), EU & USA.
2. WHAT ARE THE IMPLICATIONS OF KENYA'S PERSISTENT TRADE DEFICIT?
✅Foreign exchange: Kenya’s trade deficit increases demand for dollars, putting pressure on the shilling.
✅Inflation: A weaker shilling makes imports like fuel and food more expensive, raising the cost of living.
✅Vulnerability: Heavy reliance on imported fuel and food leaves Kenya exposed to global price shocks.
✅Industry: Local industries struggle to compete with imports, keeping manufacturing small and limiting factory jobs.
✅Jobs and credit: Borrowing to finance the gap raises interest rates, reducing business investment and job creation.
Ends!!
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Hello Folks! Kenya is a participant in global trade. The rapid shifts in the existing world trade order have led to uncertainty. Today, we delve into the position of Kenya in the global trade: 🧵
1. WHAT ARE THE VARIOUS TRADE AGREEMENTS KENYA IS PARTY TO AND WHERE DO THEY STAND?
🚚African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA – U.S.): AGOA gives Kenya duty-free access to the U.S. market, especially for textiles, apparel, and agricultural goods.
It has created tens of thousands of jobs, but the program is set to expire in 2025, raising major risks for Kenya’s exports. Implementation is therefore regressing, with uncertainty over a possible new Kenya–U.S. trade deal.
Hello Folks! Kenya is a large exporter of raw and intermediate goods. But why is Kenya yet to transition to high value exports? Today, we delve into the slow development of exports and opportunities in the horizon: 🧵
1. WHY IS KENYA STUCK AT LOW VALUE EXPORTS?
⭐Over-dependence on Traditional Crops: Kenya still relies on bulk tea and green coffee exports, mostly unprocessed.
⭐A Weak Manufacturing Base: Local industries struggle to process crops into branded, high-value products. For example most tea is sold in bulk auctions rather than packaged like Sri Lanka’s.
Hello Folks! It is evident that Kenyan manufacturing as a share of GDP has been on a decline.However, is the future any better? Today, we look at Policy Shifts, Emerging Technologies and Global Best Practices that will shape the future of Kenya's industrialization:🧵
1. WHICH POLICY REFORMS ARE BEING IMPLEMENTED TO SPUR INDUSTRIALIZATION?
📄The Updated Industrial Policy:
The Government plans to review and modernize Kenya’s industrialization policy and enact an Industrialization Bill. It is expected to...
have clearer sector priorities, stronger coordination and new implementation instruments.
📄Local Content Requirements:
Public procurement reservations for locally made goods and citizen suppliers will pull demand toward domestic industry and deepen supplier bases.
Hello Folks! Development in Manufacturing and Industrialization can only be achieved through consistent, systematic and strategic government policy. Today, we look at Laws and Policies guiding INDUSTRIALIZATION in Kenya: 🧵
1. WHICH KENYAN LAWS GOVERN INDUSTRIALIZATION?
📖The Constitution of Kenya – The Constitution guarantees property rights, (art 40), fair competition(art 46) and environmental protection (art 42). It allows counties to promote local industries (Chap 11)...
and protects labor rights (art 41), creating a stable environment for industrial growth.
📖Special Economic Zones (SEZ) Act: It establishes SEZs with incentives such as tax breaks, simplified licensing and modern infrastructure to attract local and foreign investors.
Hello Folks! Every day, we consume manufactured products. From apparel to construction materials to chemicals; these products improve our quality of life. Today, we delve into the evolution and state of the MANUFACTURING SECTOR in Kenya: 🧵
1. HOW HAS KENYA'S MANUFACTURING SECTOR EVOLVED OVER TIME?
⭐Colonial Era(1885–1963):
Manufacturing under colonial rule was small, export-oriented and tightly linked to settler agriculture. Policies and infrastructure decisions were aimed at extracting...
agricultural raw materials and facilitating exports rather than creating a broad domestic industrial base.
⭐Early Post-Colonial Period (1963 - 1985):
After independence Kenya pursued import-substitution and state-led industrialization...
Hello Folks! Ports and Airports are the Gateways to Kenya. But are they well equipped to support Vision 2030? Today we delve into Kenya's Ports and Airport infrastructure, capacity and development: 🧵
1. WHAT ARE THE KEY VISION 2030 TARGETS REGARDING PORTS AND AIRPORTS?
✅Jomo Kenyatta International Airport (JKIA) Modernization - Expand and modernize JKIA to handle increased passenger and cargo traffic,
with a design capacity increase to accommodate over 195,000 aircraft movements annually by 2030 (almost 2x current numbers).