🚨🇮🇳🇺🇸 Shocking 50% US tariffs on India begin today.
But this is a geopolitical and economic blunder.
The disastrous tariffs are isolating America, accelerating “Make in India” and strengthening India’s relations with Russia and even China!
Thread by @Kanthan2030🧵👇
📞🥺🇺🇸 Modi refuses to answer the US President’s desperate phone calls!
Europe, Japan, South Korea, Canada, Australia, UK… everyone has bowed to the US so far regarding the tariffs.
🇮🇳🔥 But not India!
The European Union, for example, agreed to lower tariffs on US goods, while the US has increased tariffs on European goods. The Japanese and Koreans have agreed to invest vast sums of money in the US, while the latter imposes higher tariffs on those Asian countries.
🕵🏻 This is pure extortion like what the Mafia would do.
But Modi’s government has refused to bow to the US Empire or sacrifice India’s strategic autonomy. According to German media, President Trump has tried to call PM Modi four times in the recent weeks, but the phone has not been answered.
2/10
🤔🇺🇸 For starters, the US demands are neither fair nor logical.
The entire premise of the extra 25% tariffs is India buying Russian oil. Who gave America the right to dictate India’s trade policies? This is tyranny.
🇷🇺 Does Russia ever tell India to not buy American goods and services? No.
Second, the US is not punishing the EU, China or other countries for buying Russian energy. China is the #1 buyer of Russian oil and coal; EU is the #1 buyer of Russian LNG and pipeline gas; and Turkiye is the #1 buyer of Russian petroleum products.
👉 Heck, even the US buys Russian uranium, fertilizers and other commodities.
3/10
🇺🇸🇷🇺 With a forked tongue, the US befriends Russia, while trying to harm the Russian economy and Russia’s geopolitical relations.
The Trump-Putin meeting in Alaska was historic, no doubt. However, if the Ukraine war were to end, the US must demonstrate goodwill, which should include lifting of all anti-Russia sanctions.
🤔 So, how does it make sense to attack Russia’s exports while negotiating peace?
Smiling and stabbing do not go well together in international diplomacy.
4/10
🇺🇸🇮🇳 Yes, the US is the largest export destination for Indian goods, but the overall effect will be negligible. Here’s why.
📊 India exports less than $90 billion of goods to the US, which is about 2% of Indian GDP. So, it’s not the end of the world. But… there’s more.
These exports include a lot of American goods – such as iPhones – and essentials such as pharmaceuticals, which will be exempted from the new punitive tariffs.
👉 The only sectors that will be truly affected are textiles, apparel and diamonds which can find other buyers around the world. Thus, the total impact on the Indian economy will be around 0.5%. It’s a nothingburger.
5/10
🇮🇳📝 This economic war is also an opportunity to reform Indian taxes and regulations.
The first lesson in trade is not to be too dependent on any one country. The vulnerability was created because India trusted the US too much.
👉 Well, this crisis is now the perfect opportunity to reform the Indian economy. Its time to cut the bureaucratic red tape, while creating incentives to boost domestic consumption.
6/10
🇮🇳🛠️ Indian PM Modi is now fired up about “Make in India” or Atmanirbar Bharat or self-reliant India.
In fact, Modi has been talking about this since 2014, but the Indian bureaucrats and corporations have not been very diligent in implementing this wise policy. The share of manufacturing in India’s GDP has been stuck at 14%.
🏭 Improving manufacturing means less imports and more exports, which would boost economic growth and diversify trade partners.
But there are some positive changes. For example, by next year, all the iPhones sold in the US will be assembled in India. And Modi just visited an electric car factory that will start exporting EV all over the world.
7/10
🇮🇳💻 Equally important, it’s time for India to start replacing American software, which has monopoly in many critical sectors in India.
It’s time to learn from China and create replicas of all the American software – from Google and WhatsApp to Amazon AWS and ChatGPT. This will create high-quality jobs and protect national security.
🌐 In this endeavor, India should leverage Russia, China and perhaps BRICS partners. Let’s forge a joint venture project of the Global South to free ourselves from the clutches of the US Empire.
8/10
👉 This is not India’s first rodeo.
🇺🇸 Throughout the Cold War, the US waged hybrid war on India many times. Famously, in 1989, the US tried to coerce India into a Plaza Accord (which eventually destroyed Japan’s economy).
🇮🇳💪 However, India bravely resisted the American pressure to pry open the Indian economy. Eventually, the US relented and backed off after a 12-month stand-off.
The situation, of course, is much different. Countless American companies have significant presence in India. One just needs to visit an Indian mall for a few minutes to witness the US penetration.
👉 However, this also gives India enormous leverage through taxes, sanctions and regulatory hurdles on US companies.
⚠️ So far, India has been patient, but don’t count on it to last forever.
9/10
🤔 We are witnessing profound and confusing times in geopolitics.
🇺🇸 The unipolar moment of the US Empire is coming to an end; and the imperialists are lashing out at everyone and everything.
❌ The American Empire’s war on Russia has failed, its war on Iran was a disaster, and its economic war on China has been an epic failure as well.
💰 Thus, the US is extorting its vassals – Europe, Japan, Korea etc. – and trying to subjugate its friends like India.
However, none of these tactics are sustainable. In fact, they are backfiring as witnessed in the expansion of BRICS, de-dollarization movement around the world, resistance to Western hegemony in Africa, and the strategic autonomy of countries like India.
🤨 The US needs a new vision, but so far the elites seem quite blind.
10/10
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🚨🇨🇳🇺🇸 China's Rare Earth Revenge: How Beijing Threatens to Cripple US Military-Industrial Complex, Gaining Upper Hand in Trade Negotiations!
Stunningly, China can even potentially stop Taiwan + South Korea from selling semiconductor chips to the US!
Thread by @Kanthan2030🧵👇
🇨🇳👀 Let’s first look at how China dominates the global supply chain of rare earth elements (REE).
◾️ China has 40% of rare earth minerals reserves in the world. God didn’t give much oil or gas to China, but compensated for it with REE!
◾️ China accounts for 70% of the world’s mining of REE.
◾️ For many specific rare earths, China’s share of global production of refined REE is a staggering 95% to 100%.
◾️ For products such as “permanent magnets” that are made from rare earths, China’s global market share is 90%
2/10
🤔⛏️ Why are rare earth elements so vital for the US military and economy?
You cannot make fighter jets, missiles – from Tomahawk to Patriot air defense missiles, Predator/Reaper drones, radars, submarines, aircraft carriers, Abrams tanks, satellites and space systems… the list goes on and on for dependency on rare earths.
🇺🇸📊 Consider that Lockheed Martin is the biggest consumer of rare earth elements in the US! A single F-35 requires nearly 1000 pounds of REE. And a single nuclear submarine needs 10,000 pounds of REE.
📺 As for the civilian economy, everything from a smartphone, TV and a computer to an electric vehicle and an MRI machine needs rare earths or permanent magnets made out of REE. Sophisticated equipment – like the lithography machines from ASML – also use rare earths.
👉 And the US depends on China for 70-100% of the rare earth needs, depending on the specific element.
Tectonic shifts in geopolitics as India joins China, Russia & the Taliban to foil US' dream of re-establishing military bases in Afghanistan.
This shocking twist heralds a new era for South/Central Asia.
Thread by @Kanthan2030. 🧵👇
🇺🇸 The US Empire desiring a foothold again in Afghanistan should not be surprising, since it would serve as a tool to target China as well as Russia’s influence in Central Asia.
Remember that Afghanistan borders Xinjiang, which could be destabilized by the flow of CIA’s weapons and radicalized Uyghurs, many of whom are battle-hardened after a decade of fighting in Syria alongside al Qaeda* and ISIS*.
The Bagram air base can also be used to attack Iran, which is still public enemy No. 1 for Israel and the US.
*under UN sanctions for terrorism
2/10
🇨🇳 Given the geopolitical risks for China, why would India oppose the US? The answer is two-fold: Pakistan and a vision of the Asian Century.
Lately, the US has been backstabbing India.
First, it was the US-led color revolution in Bangladesh, which got rid of a pro-India leader (Madam Hasina) and replaced her with a pro-Pakistan leadership.
Next, the shocking embrace of Pakistan by the US this year. The Pakistani army chief, Asim Munir, has visited the White House three times. The US is giving Pakistan military aid as well as air-to-air missiles for F-16 fighter jets. Pakistan has even invited the US to build and operate a new sea port. All these present serious national security threats for India.
Letting the US into Afghanistan will only bolster the US-Pakistan alliance.
Thus, an independent Taliban that pivots towards India, China and Russia is good for regional stability.
🚨🚨BOMBSHELL: US instigated Gen-Z protests in Nepal to TARGET 🇮🇳India & 🇨🇳China
Newly surfaced docs expose the role of International Republican Institute (IRI) (affiliated with NED) in funding Nepal's youth to put "pressure" on local govt.
Details in🧵
🇺🇸🇳🇵An IRI project report dated 19 Apr 2022 indicates that Nepal's political processes were seen as being influenced by foreign powers, including India & China that "frequently manipulate its internal politics for their own strategic aims."👇
2/7
💰The IRI partnership with Nepalese organizations saw a $350k project aimed at creating “sustainable networks” to promote democratic change among Nepalese youth.
🚨🇮🇳🇺🇸 The US has unintentionally lit a spark of self-reliance in India, and that spark could turn into a forest fire.
What's happening with Zoho might be the beginning of an economic, national & even spiritual revolution that India has always needed.
Thread by @Kanthan2030 🧵👇
🇺🇸 Thanks to the US crackdown on H1-B visas and open hostility from many American social media influencers, many Indians finally started to discuss indigenous tech ecosystem.
💬 That inquiry led to Arattai, a chat software developed by Zoho a long time ago!
Within a couple of days, the dormant Arattai – which means casual conversation – leapt to #1 on the smartphone chart for Apple and Android systems in India!
Can Arattai replace WhatsApp which has 500 million users in India? It will be hard but not impossible.
2/10
🇮🇳 The story of Zoho’s founder should be an inspiration to all Indians dreaming of a career in the US.
Sridhar Vembu comes from a small town in the state of Tamil Nadu. He went to IIT, the top tech university in India, and then did his PhD at Princeton University.
Then, in 1996, he returned to India to start his own firm that had US corporations as clients. When the dot-com bubble burst in 2001, Vembu switched to focusing on small/medium businesses in India.
His SaaS (Software as a Service) suite expanded steadily over the years. Now, Zoho has a revenue of $1 billion and a market cap of $12 billion.
Vembu even opened up his own university where he recruits students from humble backgrounds and turns them into world-class engineers.