NewRulesGeopolitics Profile picture
Aug 29, 2025 12 tweets 5 min read Read on X
🚨 BIG: Russia’s unmanned boats SANK a Ukrainian Navy ship in the Danube Delta—slipping through narrow river channels like silent assassins.

This attack isn't just a blow to Ukraine, it's also a WARNING SHOT to NATO 🧵 Image
The target? The Ukrainian reconnaissance ship "Simferopol," caught in the tightest spot near Vilkovo in Odessa Oblast.

🔸 Russian USVs (unmanned surface vehicles) navigated from the Black Sea into the Danube’s narrow arms and blew it up.

🔸 First confirmed combat use for these drones.
Why drones instead of missiles? Simple: overkill avoidance.

🔸 "Simferopol" was a small patrol vessel acting like a river boat.

🔸 Firing supersonic anti-ship missiles would’ve been wasteful and pricey.

🔸 USVs get the job done precisely, cheaply—dozens of times less expensive.Image
Geography played a huge role too.

🔸 The Danube Delta’s shallow waters, tricky terrain, and winding channels make rocket strikes risky and imprecise.

🔸 These drones snuck in like a sabotage team, striking up close in areas where bigger weapons falter. Image
Plus, Russia was testing this tech in real combat. The delta served as a perfect proving ground.

🔸 This strike came just a month after their "July Storm" exercises showcased USV tactics publicly.

🔸 Talk about quick turnaround from drills to action.
It’s a classic sabotage operation: from intel gathering on the target to pinpoint navigation in cramped waters.

One small boat slipping past defenses and exploding under the ship proves that smart, low-key strikes can match massive rocket barrages in impact. Image
Now, consequences: This flips Black Sea warfare.

🔸 Russia isn’t just defending anymore—they’re proactively hitting back.

🔸 With heavy shipping traffic to Odessa, targets abound.

🔸 If USVs scale up, they could paralyze western Black Sea routes and choke Ukraine’s sea supplies.
Scaling depends on two things: ramping up mass production in Russia and Ukraine’s countermeasures.

Will Kiev develop tech or tactics to shield their paths?

No target shortage means constant demand for these drone strikes.
Here’s the irony—call it the boomerang effect.

🔸 The West hyped Ukrainian sea drones as the ultimate tool to push Russia out of the Black Sea.

🔸 Russia studied, adapted, and now flips the script, using improved versions against Ukraine.

What goes around comes around, harder.Image
Broader implications: Amid NATO’s escalation games—like talks and actual attempts to intercept Russia’s "shadow fleet" of oil tankers bypassing sanctions—Russia now has a potent counter to potential piracy from hostile nations. Image
Examples? In May 2025, an Estonian patrol boat tried to stop and inspect a suspected Russian shadow fleet tanker in the Gulf of Finland, prompting Moscow to scramble a fighter jet that briefly violated NATO airspace.

EU and UK sanctions hit nearly 200 such ships too. Image
These USVs aren’t just attackers—they can scout, patrol, relay for other drones, or even escort larger warships.

In a world of rising maritime tensions, they’re Russia’s asymmetric answer to any aggressive moves at sea. Game on.

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More from @NewRulesGeo

Oct 17, 2025
🚨🇮🇱Israel's Global Spy Network: Meet the Countries Helping Mossad

Let's dissect the myth of Israeli intelligence supremacy. The recent assassinations operations in Iran and Lebanon weren't solo triumphs but exposes a regime dependent on external backing.

Here's how🧵 Image
🇸🇦🇦🇪Saudi Arabia & UAE:

Provide critical financial channels, political cover, and share vital intelligence on Iranian proxy movements through joint command centers. Image
🇪🇬🇯🇴Egypt & Jordan:

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The US just launched its most aggressive trade salvo yet with new tariffs. But this time, China isn't flinching, 2018 playbook is obsolete.

Here’s why the dynamics have shifted against the US🧵 Image
Factor 1: A Radically Different Global Macro Backdrop.

In 2018, China faced a perfect storm: aggressive Fed rate hikes and a domestic deleveraging campaign. This hurt global demand & Chinese exports.

Today? The mirror image. Central banks are easing, and major economies are deploying fiscal stimulus. Resilient Chinese exports now reflect resistant global consumption (especially in the US), not weak external demand. The tide is lifting all boats, China's included.Image
Factor 2: Structural Gains in Export Competitiveness.

This is the silent game-changer. Over the past 7 years, a prolonged domestic deflationary environment acted as a pressure cooker for Chinese manufacturers.

They've climbed the value chain, becoming more efficient and innovative. The result is a price-performance advantage that is extraordinarily difficult for competitors to replicate, even with subsidies. They are simply leaner and more competitive.Image
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Oct 15, 2025
🚨🇷🇺🇺🇦Russia's Energy War 2.0: A Strategic Shift from Shock to Siege

Russia's campaign against Ukrainian energy is no longer about spectacle. It has evolved into a methodical, multi-year strategy to weaponize winter & fracture society.

Here's how👇🧵 Image
Phase 1 (2022-23): The Blunt Instrument.

Objective: Demonstrate capability & test resilience.

🔸Mass, indiscriminate strikes on large generation assets.

🔸Result: Severe but manageable via emergency measures (rolling blackouts, load maneuvering). The system, while wounded, proved adaptable.
Phase 2 (2024): From Disruption to Degradation.

A strategic pivot triggered by Kiev's escalation (e.g., Kursk incursion). The goal shifted:

🔸Old: Temporary disruption.

🔸New: Create a permanent energy deficit.

🔸Outcome: Rolling blackouts became the grim norm, exhausting rapid recovery capacity.
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Oct 14, 2025
🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱🇵🇸Why Trump's Gaza Ceasefire is Doomed to Fail

The spectacle of world leaders gathering for a "peace plan" signing in Sharm El-Sheikh, is a significant political optic.

But the most telling detail was who wasn't in the room: neither Israel nor Hamas attended. 👇🧵 Image
This wasn't a peace signing. It was a "wedding without a bride or groom."

You can't forge an agreement between two warring parties when they refuse to even show up. This highlights a fundamental lack of buy-in from the primary actors in the conflict. Image
Why was Netanyahu absent?

A key reason: most attendees had recently recognized Palestinian statehood. Bibi, whose government explicitly rejects a Palestinian state, wanted no photos suggesting endorsement. This reveals an unbridgeable chasm between Israel's aims and the international consensus.Image
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Oct 10, 2025
🚨🇺🇦🇷🇺Ukraine Plunged Into Darkness: Massive Retaliatory Strikes Cripple Energy Network

Russia launches massive, coordinated attack on Ukrainian energy infrastructure. This is a response to recent Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian territory.

Here's a breakdown🧵 Image
📍Kiev: Capital in total darkness

🔸30+ explosions reported in the capital by Geran drones.

🔸2 thermal power plants hit.

🔸Left bank district without power & water.

🔸Metro & train services disrupted.

Strikes are reported to be ongoing.
📍Krivoy Rog:

About 30 explosions reported in the city. Widespread power outages are being experienced by residents.
Read 11 tweets
Oct 9, 2025
🚨🟨📈Gold Rush 2025: The Great Pivot Is Here

As gold smashes through $4,000/oz, a specific group of nations is leading a historic shift away from traditional reserves like the dollar.

These are the 10 countries ramping up now🧵 Image
🇷🇺 Russia

Russia is the textbook example of a nation rushing to ramp up its gold reserves. It added a massive ~450 tonnes in just the first half of 2025, a 43.8% increase from H1 2024. This aggressive buying spree has brought its total reserves to 2,329.63 tonnes (as of Q2 2025), valued at over $217 billion.Image
🇺🇸 United States

The US is not actively buying new gold; its strategy is one of holding. It maintains the world's largest reserve at 8,134 tonnes (261.5 million ounces). While it isn't "rushing to ramp up," the surge in the gold price to $4,000/oz has pushed the market value of its existing reserves to a historic $1+ trillion.Image
Read 12 tweets

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