Felix Prehn 🐶 Profile picture
Sep 3 17 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Everyone's buying semiconductors at PEAK prices.

And Goldman Sachs’ news on the Fed's rate cut windows shows why they’re about to get CRUSHED.

Here’s what’s happening and the two sectors to focus on instead:
Two dates matter for rate cuts:

September 5th: Jobs report (need under 100k new jobs)
September 11th: Inflation data (just needs to stay flat)

Hit these numbers and September rate cuts become likely.
Job numbers get changed by every president.

Trump is doing something different - making them show fewer jobs.

Why? He wants rate cuts to help the economy.

It's a mind game.
Everyone loves Nvidia and chip stocks right now.

But stock prices are way higher than actual profits.

Last time this happened, semiconductor stocks dropped hard.

We're buying hope, not real earnings.
Every new technology follows 5 steps:

1. New idea gets people excited
2. Everyone thinks it'll change everything fast
3. Reality hits - it's slower and harder
4. Prices crash when people get disappointed
5. Real money gets made later
AI stocks just finished steps 1 and 2.

Steps 3 and 4 are coming - that means price drops.

But step 5 is where smart money gets made.

Don't buy at the top. Wait for the crash.
While everyone chases tech, I'm looking at boring stuff.

Healthcare company bosses are buying their own stock more than ever.

CEOs only buy their stock for one reason: they think it'll make money.
Sector #1: Healthcare

Healthcare stocks just broke out of a key pattern.

They're still down 13% since September while tech went up.

When ignored sectors break out, that's when you should pay attention.
Sector #2: Biotech

Biotech looks even better.

Down 13% from highs but forming a good breakout pattern.

Wall Street follows these patterns.

Most people miss them because they're not exciting.
Now, I've recorded a 12-minute deep dive discussing Fed policy why these sector’s are on top currently.

If you don't want to get caught buying at the top of a hype cycle...

RT this and comment "FED" and I'll DM you the video. Image
Don't get tunnel vision on semiconductors.

The risk versus reward is poor right now.

Smart money follows where Wall Street actually puts their money.
I don't care if it's the most boring sector.

Home builders, biotech, insurance - doesn't matter.

I follow money flow, not hype.

Money makes stock prices go up, not excitement.
When stock prices get way ahead of earnings, be careful.

That's gambling, not investing.

And gambling always ends with prices falling back to reality.
Innovation cycles are predictable.

We're near the top of the hype phase now.

Smart money waits for the disappointment phase to buy.

That's where real money gets made.
Two sectors to watch instead of chips:

Healthcare - company insiders buying heavily
Biotech - breaking out after being beaten down

Both boring. Both ignored. Both might be profitable.
Tired of losing money on bad stock picks?

This Saturday 10am EST, I'll teach you a simple Sunday system to help you find quality stocks for the week ahead.

No daily stress. No constant monitoring.

Just focused weekend planning.

Save your spot: felixfriends.org/trainingx
About me:

Ex-investment banker who started Goat Academy after seeing how broken financial education is.

Now helped 20,000+ regular people build wealth using trading strategies I learnt from Wall Street veterans.

If you want to make money trading profitably, let’s chat.

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More from @financefelix

Sep 2
Trump JUST added 5 minerals to the critical list.

Companies mining these are about to get free government funding, faster permits and guaranteed contracts.

Here are the 4 mining companies positioned for this:
These are the 5 minerals: potash, silicon, copper, silver, and rhenium.

In 30 days, they will officially be added to the critical list.

Companies who mine these will get funding, streamlined permits, and government support. Image
Here's why this is an opportunity:

When government made rare earth minerals "critical,” mining company, MP Materials, got federal funding and guaranteed contracts.

Their stock ran from $10 to $27 (167% gain).

Not saying this'll happen again, but that's what we're watching for.
Read 16 tweets
Aug 28
People keep asking me: "Felix, should I sell my tech stocks? My Nvidia? My Palantir?"

Here's the framework I use to make those decisions (learned from Wall Street mentors with 30+ years experience):
Money flows like water - it finds the easiest path.

Smart investors don't fight trends. They follow where big institutions put their money.

Why?

Because institutions control most of the money in the market.
There are 4 market patterns that show where money is moving:

1. Consolidation (going sideways)
2. Climbing (breaking up)
3. Exhaustion (getting tired)
4. Collapse (falling down)

Learn these and you'll know when to buy and sell.
Read 15 tweets
Aug 27
While everyone's panicking about the market dip, JPMorgan quietly told their big clients: "Buy the dip."

Here's what's really happening behind the scenes and 2 stocks positioned with heavy upside from this opportunity:
I got JPMorgan's actual client note.

It says "Quick thoughts on yesterday. It's a buy the dip opportunity."

While regular investors are selling, institutions are getting ready to buy.

Follow the big money.
Here's what JPMorgan sees:

Tech companies are growing earnings by 25% on average.

More companies are beating profit expectations than usual.

AI is actually helping companies make more money.
Read 17 tweets
Aug 25
While everyone's chasing Nvidia or panicking because the S&P is down 1.8%, there's a $2 billion company quietly becoming America's only supplier of materials that power AI data centers.

99% of people have never heard of it:
First, here's what's happening:

AI is about to cause a huge energy problem.

Data centers will use 160% more power just to keep ChatGPT running (Goldman Sachs data).

Solar and wind can't handle it. AI needs power 24/7, not just when it's sunny or windy.
There's only one solution for this: Nuclear power.

It's the ONLY answer for constant energy.

And what does nuclear need? Uranium - lots of it.

This is why we're seeing big money move into this space.
Read 16 tweets
Aug 22
Amazon was $18 in 1997. Tesla was $35 in 2012. Both went up 100x times.

While everyone’s buying expensive stocks tech stocks now, there are 5 companies under $50 that could potentially hit similar returns as Amazon & Tesla.

Here's what they are:
Here's the thing about wealth:

It's not built by safe, boring stocks.

It's built by revolutionary companies that most people think are too risky.

Small companies. Revolutionary tech. Massive markets. Under $50 prices.

I found 5 that fit this profile perfectly.
1.) Rocket Lab (RKLB) - $45

Space Launch Company

The space business is worth $400 billion today. It could hit $1 trillion by 2030.

SpaceX dominates, but there's room for a strong second player.
Read 18 tweets
Aug 18
Intel (INTC) is down 60% and has a setup for a big breakout.

Most people are missing this because they're looking at the wrong things.

Here's what Wall Street is actually watching: Image
Image
Dark pool trading shows big money has been buying Intel all week.

Monday: Bullish
Tuesday: Neutral
Wednesday: Bullish
Thursday: Bullish
Friday: Bullish

When big institutions quietly buy, smart money pays attention.
So why are they buying? For five reasons ↓

First: The US government gave Intel $7.8 billion to build chip factories in America.

Here's the thing—Nvidia doesn't make their own chips. They pay others to do it.

Intel could become that critical piece the US needs.
Read 17 tweets

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