Shaun Pinner Profile picture
Sep 6, 2025 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
🚨 Why Igor Girkin’s prison letters matter
One of Putin’s own warlords is openly declaring Russia’s war in Ukraine a failure. Who is Girkin, what does he say, and why will he probably die in prison? Let’s break it down 🧵

1/6 Who is Igor Girkin?

🇷🇺 Girkin (aka Strelkov) isn’t just another prisoner. He’s a former FSB officer, one of the architects of Russia’s 2014 invasion of Ukraine, commander of Donbas “separatists” (word used loosely), and tied to the MH17 shoot-down that killed 298 civilians.Image
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2/6 Why his words matter

From prison, Girkin writes that Russia’s “SMO” has failed. Moscow can’t defeat Ukraine, can’t hold Kherson or Zaporizhzhia, and faces either capitulation or total war. That’s open defiance of Kremlin propaganda. Image
3/6 Nationalist, Not a liberal critic.

Girkin is no opposition democrat. He’s a hardline nationalist who once led the war to carve up Ukraine. When he says the war is doomed, it pierces straight through the Kremlin’s lies, pointing out Putin is failing. Image
4/6 Putin’s red lines

In today’s Russia, even ultra-hawks can’t criticize the war. The Kremlin tolerates no dissent. Girkin’s blunt honesty crossed Putin’s invisible line and that’s a death sentence in itself like Yevgeny Prigozhin and Navalny before him.

Pic: Yevgeny Prigozhin and his plane hit by an Air Defence missile after a coup attempt in 2023Image
5/6 The prison warning

Russian jails are silent execution chambers. I know, I’ve experienced them. Accidents, sudden illness, torture or poisoning are the regime’s way of erasing critics. Girkin himself admits he may not survive.

Pic: Navalny, another critic and opposition leader murdered by PutinImage
6/6 — The irony

Girkin once served Russia’s imperial project. He even admitted to rounding up “Crimean Deputies” at gunpoint during Russia’s takeover of Crimea. Now he’s trapped by the very system he helped build. His prison letters expose not only Russia’s military failures, but Putin’s fear of the truth. That’s why Igor Girkin will likely die in prison.
Just to expand on the comments from Former Donbas separatist commander and FSB Officer Igor Girkin-Strelkov, responsible for the 2014 invasion of Ukraine:

•“The current ‘SMO’ format is exhausted and can’t deliver victory over Ukraine. Moscow’s push for new ‘borders’ proves it.

•Abandoning Kherson & Zaporizhzhia shows the Kremlin can’t win on the battlefield. Costly tactical gains mean nothing.

•Kyiv won’t concede unless defeated and our forces cannot defeat them.

•The choice: capitulation or total war.

•For now, the Kremlin just drags out time, waiting for orders from Beijing.

•Without a revolution in leadership, this war is doomed to catastrophe.

• • •

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More from @olddog100ua

Dec 21, 2025
1/6 THIS IS STRATEGIC NONSENSE:

This claim by Tulsi Gabbard is fundamentally wrong.
Russia doesn’t have the capability to “conquer and occupy Europe” or to pose a serious threat. That’s a strawman, not a military assessment.
2/6 SALAMI SLICING & THE EASTERN FLANK

Modern Russian strategy is about coercion, destabilisation, intimidation, and salami-slicing, to put it bluntly and all backed by nuclear threats, not Napoleonic marches to Lisbon.
Denial of sovereignty is enough.
ft.com/content/78c901…Image
3/6 UKRAINE 🇺🇦

Ukraine itself disproves the claim.
Russia occupies Crimea and parts of four Ukrainian regions right now, with forced deportations, filtration, and Russification. That is occupation, even without total control. Image
Read 6 tweets
Oct 12, 2025
🧵1/6 Putin’s Winter Obsession:

Every year like clockwork, Putin launches missiles at Ukraine’s energy grid. The shift from striking training grounds and infrastructure to energy facilities has become the norm.

Every year, it fails, after he spends billions and billions trying to freeze Ukrainians through the winter.

He’s fighting a 21st-century nation with 20th-century tactics, and proving only one thing: he’s run out of ideas.Image
2/6 The Generator Economy:

In 2022, he tried to freeze Ukraine into submission. Instead, Ukrainians powered up.
Generators, EcoFlows, solar panels, power banks, a new black-market of resilience was born. Putin’s campaign created what it tried to kill, ‘independence.’ Image
3/6 The Engineers Became Soldiers:

By 2023, Ukraine had turned repairs into rapid operations.
Substations rebuilt overnight, crews working under fire.
While Russia wasted billions in missiles, Ukraine’s grid got faster, smarter, tougher. Image
Read 6 tweets
Oct 5, 2025
1️⃣ The Harsh Truth:

Ukraine will save Ukraine.
Not America. Not Europe.
Every trench dug, every drone launched, every act of defiance is Ukrainians refusing extinction while the world debates “fatigue.” Image
2️⃣ The U.S. Vacuum:

Under Trump, Ukraine faces abandonment.
He’s halted direct aid, failed in his peace negotiations and not placed any additional pressure on Putin, insisting weapons be sold to NATO, not given to Kyiv. 🇺🇸➡️🇪🇺➡️🇺🇦

Polls show only 34% approve of his Ukraine stance, while 57% disapprove.
Isolationism doesn’t make America safer, it strengthens dictators.
Putin fears Ukrainian resistance, not NATO speeches.Image
3️⃣ Europe’s Dilemma:
Europe now stares down the very threat it once outsourced to Washington.
Putin’s drones have crossed into Poland, Romania, Estonia, NATO’s airspace.
The war has already spilled over;

Europe can’t fence-sit any longer. Image
Read 6 tweets
Sep 30, 2025
1/4 Hegseth’s Ineptitude Continues….

Hegseth is wrong on every level. The Geneva Conventions aren’t “stupid rules”, they’re the line that separates soldiers from the terrorists like who tortured me and many others in Mariupol.

Because they exist, I can chase Russia & Putin through the courts for war crimes. Without them, there’s no justice, just barbarism.
2/4 Why we need rules

I’ve lived this. I fought in Mariupol, was captured, tortured, and sentenced to death in a sham trial. Russia denied me POW status. That’s what happens when you abandon the rules, human beings reduced to pawns, stripped of dignity & rights. Image
3/4 Trumps Administration wan’t Immunity, from what?

The Geneva Conventions were created after WWII for a reason: to stop atrocities. They protect civilians, prisoners, and even soldiers on the battlefield. Without them, war descends into pure savagery. Ukraine follows them. That’s why I was eventually exchanged and why I can pursue justice through UK & Ukrainian courts today. Every Russian war crime we document, torture, deportations, executions, only stands in court because the law exists.Image
Read 5 tweets
Sep 13, 2025
🚨 THREAD: Zapad 2025, Russian drones & NATO’s red line 🚨
Russia’s war games + drone incursions aren’t “accidents.” They’re stress tests on NATO. Trump downplays, Poland warns, and Article 5 looms closer. 🧵👇 #Ukraine #NATO #Zapad2025

1/6 WAR GAMES WITH TEETH

Russia’s Zapad 2025 drills aren’t routine.
They simulate nuclear use, “crushing the enemy,” & securing the Union State (Russia+Belarus).
All staged right on NATO’s borders.
Image
2/ DRONES OVER POLAND
⚠️ 19–23 Russian drones crossed into Polish airspace from Belarus.
✈️ Airports in Warsaw, Lublin & Rzeszów shut down within 300 km of the border.
🇵🇱 Jets scrambled. Warsaw invoked Article 4.
This wasn’t an accident. It was a probe.
3/ AMBIGUITY IS A WEAPON

🇵🇱 PM Tusk: deliberate.
🇷🇺 Russia: denies responsibility.
🇺🇸 Trump: “could have been a mistake.”
That’s the fog Moscow thrives on, testing unity, sowing doubt, splitting allies. Image
Image
Read 6 tweets
Aug 27, 2025
1/6 – 🎯 Ukraine’s Precision Strikes

Ukraine’s drones have knocked out 17 % of Russia’s oil refining capacity, over 1.1M barrels/day gone. A devastating blow to Putin’s “untouchable” energy lifeline. Image
2/6 – ⛽ Shortages in the Empire of Oil

Across Russia’s Far East, Crimea & southern regions: gas stations ration fuel and queues stretch for hours. A petro-giant suddenly “running on empty.” Image
3/6 – 🔥 Burned by Rising Costs

Gas prices have shot up about 50 % since January, even reaching the equivalent of $10 a gallon in some areas. Meanwhile, the average monthly wage in Russia is around ₽88,000–99,000 (~$980–$1,113). That means for most working Russians, fuel now eats up a painfully large share of income, turning a simple commute into a financial burden.Image
Read 6 tweets

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